Aaron Nesmith 3PT Made Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL

Aaron Nesmith 3PT Made

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Aaron Nesmith is projected for 2.2 3PT made. The best price on Over 2.5 is +167 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +168. Aaron Nesmith has gone over 2.5 3PT made in 3 of the last 10 games (30%), versus the 37% the market implies.

Aaron Nesmith projections and betting odds for 3PT Made. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 7

Props & Odds

3PT Made O/U 2.5

2.2proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 37%
Last 5
20%
1 of 5
Last 10
30%
3 of 10
Last 20
30%
6 of 20
Last 127
35%
45 of 127
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
1 @SA
5 @ORL
2 vs LAL
4 vs LAC
1 vs DAL
2 @BKN
3 @MIL
3 vs PHI
1 @MIA
0 vs BKN
2 @MEM
2 vs DEN

Projected range

projection 2.2
0.0 6.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 0.0–4.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +168
  • Optimal +168
  • Novig +167
  • Kalshi +166
  • Coinbase +166
  • ProphetX +153
  • Circa +150
  • Underdog +148
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island +148
  • bet365 +145
  • Fanduel +144
  • Polymarket US +142
  • Pinnacle +142
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) +140
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +140
  • Fliff +140
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +140
  • BetOnline +139
  • Bally Bet +138
  • BetRivers +138
  • SugarHouse +138
  • betPARX +138
  • Courtside +136
  • DraftKings +136
  • Onyx Odds +136
  • theScore +135
  • Fanatics +130
  • Sleeper +130
  • BetMGM +130
  • Caesars +128
  • ParlayPlay +127
  • Rebet +125
  • DraftKings Pick6 +118
  • Dabble +118

Recent games

Opp Date W/L MIN PTS AST REB P+A P+R A+R P+A+R STL BLK S+B 3PM TO DD TD
vs DEN 11-07 L 27 8 1 5 9 13 6 14 0 0 0 2 2 0 0
@ MEM 11-05 W 30 16 2 2 18 18 4 20 3 1 4 2 1 0 0
vs BKN 11-01 L 30 11 4 3 15 14 7 18 1 0 1 0 3 0 0
@ MIA 10-31 L 21 9 2 3 11 12 5 14 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
vs PHI 10-28 L 27 18 1 2 19 20 3 21 2 0 2 3 2 0 0
@ MIL 10-27 L 21 13 1 0 14 13 1 14 1 1 2 3 1 0 0
@ BKN 10-25 W 19 13 2 1 15 14 3 16 0 0 0 2 2 0 0
vs DAL 10-23 L 20 9 1 4 10 13 5 14 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
vs LAC 03-27 L 35 26 2 7 28 33 9 35 1 0 1 4 5 0 0
vs LAL 03-25 L 32 14 1 3 15 17 4 18 1 0 1 2 3 0 0
@ ORL 03-23 W 35 19 2 2 21 21 4 23 0 1 1 5 1 0 0
@ SA 03-22 L 25 5 0 2 5 7 2 7 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
vs POR 03-18 L 26 15 1 3 16 18 4 19 1 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ NY 03-17 L 24 14 0 1 14 15 1 15 0 0 0 4 0 0 0
@ MIL 03-15 L 29 32 1 2 33 34 3 35 0 1 1 7 3 0 0
vs NY 03-13 L 34 12 2 2 14 14 4 16 1 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ SAC 03-11 L 35 29 3 4 32 33 7 36 0 1 1 2 0 0 0
@ POR 03-09 L 25 9 2 1 11 10 3 12 1 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ LAL 03-07 L 23 7 1 3 8 10 4 11 0 2 2 1 1 0 0
@ LAC 03-05 L 20 2 2 3 4 5 5 7 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ WAS 02-20 L 15 3 1 2 4 5 3 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ NY 02-11 W 37 11 0 8 11 19 8 19 0 2 2 1 2 0 0
@ TOR 02-08 L 23 7 1 1 8 8 2 9 1 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ MIL 02-07 L 27 12 1 1 13 13 2 14 2 0 2 2 2 0 0
vs HOU 02-03 L 33 17 2 6 19 23 8 25 0 1 1 3 1 0 0

FAQ

What is Aaron Nesmith's 3PT made projection?

OPTIMAL projects Aaron Nesmith for 2.2 3PT made. Half of the projected outcomes for 3PT made fall between 1.0 and 3.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 4.0.

What are the best odds on Aaron Nesmith Over 2.5 3PT made?

The best price on Aaron Nesmith Over 2.5 3PT made is +167 at Novig, among 32 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +168.

How often has Aaron Nesmith gone over 2.5 3PT made?

Aaron Nesmith has gone over 2.5 3PT made in 1 of the last 5, 3 of the last 10, 6 of the last 20 and 45 of the last 127 games. The best price implies 37%.

What props does Aaron Nesmith have?

Sportsbooks have posted 12 props for Aaron Nesmith: points, assists, rebounds, points + assists, points + rebounds, assists + rebounds, points + assists + rebounds, blocks and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Aaron Nesmith?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Aaron Nesmith's game logs.