Aaron Nesmith Points + Rebounds Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Aaron Nesmith Points + Rebounds

ind F NBA

Aaron Nesmith is projected for 16.7 points + rebounds. The best price on Over 16.5 is +102 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +104. Aaron Nesmith has gone over 16.5 points + rebounds in 4 of the last 10 games (40%), versus the 50% the market implies.

Aaron Nesmith projections and betting odds for Points + Rebounds. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 7

Props & Odds

Points + Rebounds O/U 16.5

16.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 16.5

market implies 50%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
40%
4 of 10
Last 20
40%
8 of 20
Last 127
47%
60 of 127
Last 12 games against a line of 16.5
line 16.5
7 @SA
21 @ORL
17 vs LAL
33 vs LAC
13 vs DAL
14 @BKN
13 @MIL
20 vs PHI
12 @MIA
14 vs BKN
18 @MEM
13 vs DEN

Projected range

projection 16.7
0.0 35.9

Most likely 11.1–22.3 Typical 6.1–27.2

Odds analysis

Over 16.5 · fair +104
  • Optimal +104
  • Novig +102
  • Fanduel -104
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -104
  • ProphetX -104
  • DraftKings -110
  • Onyx Odds -110
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) -110
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -110
  • Courtside -110
  • theScore -110
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -110
  • Fliff -115
  • ParlayPlay -116
  • BetMGM -120
  • betr -120
  • Bally Bet -121
  • BetRivers -121
  • SugarHouse -121
  • betPARX -121
  • Dabble -122
  • Sleeper -125
  • Caesars -125

Recent games

Opp Date W/L MIN PTS AST REB P+A P+R A+R P+A+R STL BLK S+B 3PM TO DD TD
vs DEN 11-07 L 27 8 1 5 9 13 6 14 0 0 0 2 2 0 0
@ MEM 11-05 W 30 16 2 2 18 18 4 20 3 1 4 2 1 0 0
vs BKN 11-01 L 30 11 4 3 15 14 7 18 1 0 1 0 3 0 0
@ MIA 10-31 L 21 9 2 3 11 12 5 14 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
vs PHI 10-28 L 27 18 1 2 19 20 3 21 2 0 2 3 2 0 0
@ MIL 10-27 L 21 13 1 0 14 13 1 14 1 1 2 3 1 0 0
@ BKN 10-25 W 19 13 2 1 15 14 3 16 0 0 0 2 2 0 0
vs DAL 10-23 L 20 9 1 4 10 13 5 14 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
vs LAC 03-27 L 35 26 2 7 28 33 9 35 1 0 1 4 5 0 0
vs LAL 03-25 L 32 14 1 3 15 17 4 18 1 0 1 2 3 0 0
@ ORL 03-23 W 35 19 2 2 21 21 4 23 0 1 1 5 1 0 0
@ SA 03-22 L 25 5 0 2 5 7 2 7 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
vs POR 03-18 L 26 15 1 3 16 18 4 19 1 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ NY 03-17 L 24 14 0 1 14 15 1 15 0 0 0 4 0 0 0
@ MIL 03-15 L 29 32 1 2 33 34 3 35 0 1 1 7 3 0 0
vs NY 03-13 L 34 12 2 2 14 14 4 16 1 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ SAC 03-11 L 35 29 3 4 32 33 7 36 0 1 1 2 0 0 0
@ POR 03-09 L 25 9 2 1 11 10 3 12 1 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ LAL 03-07 L 23 7 1 3 8 10 4 11 0 2 2 1 1 0 0
@ LAC 03-05 L 20 2 2 3 4 5 5 7 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ WAS 02-20 L 15 3 1 2 4 5 3 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ NY 02-11 W 37 11 0 8 11 19 8 19 0 2 2 1 2 0 0
@ TOR 02-08 L 23 7 1 1 8 8 2 9 1 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ MIL 02-07 L 27 12 1 1 13 13 2 14 2 0 2 2 2 0 0
vs HOU 02-03 L 33 17 2 6 19 23 8 25 0 1 1 3 1 0 0

FAQ

What is Aaron Nesmith's points + rebounds projection?

OPTIMAL projects Aaron Nesmith for 16.7 points + rebounds. Half of the projected outcomes for points + rebounds fall between 11.1 and 22.3, and four in five between 6.1 and 27.2.

What are the best odds on Aaron Nesmith Over 16.5 points + rebounds?

The best price on Aaron Nesmith Over 16.5 points + rebounds is +102 at Novig, among 22 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +104.

How often has Aaron Nesmith gone over 16.5 points + rebounds?

Aaron Nesmith has gone over 16.5 points + rebounds in 2 of the last 5, 4 of the last 10, 8 of the last 20 and 60 of the last 127 games. The best price implies 50%.

What props does Aaron Nesmith have?

Sportsbooks have posted 12 props for Aaron Nesmith: points, assists, rebounds, points + assists, points + rebounds, assists + rebounds, points + assists + rebounds, blocks and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Aaron Nesmith?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Aaron Nesmith's game logs.

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