Aaron Nesmith Steals Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL

Aaron Nesmith Steals

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Aaron Nesmith is projected for 0.7 steals. The best price on Over 0.5 is -111 at bet365, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +100. Aaron Nesmith has gone over 0.5 steals in 6 of the last 10 games (60%), versus the 53% the market implies.

Aaron Nesmith projections and betting odds for Steals. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 7

Props & Odds

Steals O/U 0.5

0.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 53%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
60%
6 of 10
Last 20
45%
9 of 20
Last 127
53%
67 of 127
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
0 @SA
0 @ORL
1 vs LAL
1 vs LAC
0 vs DAL
0 @BKN
1 @MIL
2 vs PHI
0 @MIA
1 vs BKN
3 @MEM
0 vs DEN

Projected range

projection 0.7
0.0 3.0

Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–2.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +100
  • Optimal +100
  • bet365 -111
  • Bally Bet -113
  • BetRivers -113
  • SugarHouse -113
  • betPARX -113
  • Underdog Fantasy -115
  • Dabble -122

Recent games

Opp Date W/L MIN PTS AST REB P+A P+R A+R P+A+R STL BLK S+B 3PM TO DD TD
vs DEN 11-07 L 27 8 1 5 9 13 6 14 0 0 0 2 2 0 0
@ MEM 11-05 W 30 16 2 2 18 18 4 20 3 1 4 2 1 0 0
vs BKN 11-01 L 30 11 4 3 15 14 7 18 1 0 1 0 3 0 0
@ MIA 10-31 L 21 9 2 3 11 12 5 14 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
vs PHI 10-28 L 27 18 1 2 19 20 3 21 2 0 2 3 2 0 0
@ MIL 10-27 L 21 13 1 0 14 13 1 14 1 1 2 3 1 0 0
@ BKN 10-25 W 19 13 2 1 15 14 3 16 0 0 0 2 2 0 0
vs DAL 10-23 L 20 9 1 4 10 13 5 14 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
vs LAC 03-27 L 35 26 2 7 28 33 9 35 1 0 1 4 5 0 0
vs LAL 03-25 L 32 14 1 3 15 17 4 18 1 0 1 2 3 0 0
@ ORL 03-23 W 35 19 2 2 21 21 4 23 0 1 1 5 1 0 0
@ SA 03-22 L 25 5 0 2 5 7 2 7 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
vs POR 03-18 L 26 15 1 3 16 18 4 19 1 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ NY 03-17 L 24 14 0 1 14 15 1 15 0 0 0 4 0 0 0
@ MIL 03-15 L 29 32 1 2 33 34 3 35 0 1 1 7 3 0 0
vs NY 03-13 L 34 12 2 2 14 14 4 16 1 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ SAC 03-11 L 35 29 3 4 32 33 7 36 0 1 1 2 0 0 0
@ POR 03-09 L 25 9 2 1 11 10 3 12 1 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ LAL 03-07 L 23 7 1 3 8 10 4 11 0 2 2 1 1 0 0
@ LAC 03-05 L 20 2 2 3 4 5 5 7 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ WAS 02-20 L 15 3 1 2 4 5 3 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ NY 02-11 W 37 11 0 8 11 19 8 19 0 2 2 1 2 0 0
@ TOR 02-08 L 23 7 1 1 8 8 2 9 1 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ MIL 02-07 L 27 12 1 1 13 13 2 14 2 0 2 2 2 0 0
vs HOU 02-03 L 33 17 2 6 19 23 8 25 0 1 1 3 1 0 0

FAQ

What is Aaron Nesmith's steals projection?

OPTIMAL projects Aaron Nesmith for 0.7 steals. Half of the projected outcomes for steals fall between 0.0 and 1.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 2.0.

What are the best odds on Aaron Nesmith Over 0.5 steals?

The best price on Aaron Nesmith Over 0.5 steals is -111 at bet365, among 7 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +100.

How often has Aaron Nesmith gone over 0.5 steals?

Aaron Nesmith has gone over 0.5 steals in 3 of the last 5, 6 of the last 10, 9 of the last 20 and 67 of the last 127 games. The best price implies 53%.

What props does Aaron Nesmith have?

Sportsbooks have posted 12 props for Aaron Nesmith: points, assists, rebounds, points + assists, points + rebounds, assists + rebounds, points + assists + rebounds, blocks and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Aaron Nesmith?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Aaron Nesmith's game logs.