Aaron Nesmith Steals
Aaron Nesmith is projected for 0.7 steals. The best price on Over 0.5 is -111 at bet365, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +100. Aaron Nesmith has gone over 0.5 steals in 6 of the last 10 games (60%), versus the 53% the market implies.
Aaron Nesmith projections and betting odds for Steals. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.
Props & Odds
Steals O/U 0.5
0.7projHit rate vs Over 0.5
market implies 53%- Last 5
- 60% 3 of 5
- Last 10
- 60% 6 of 10
- Last 20
- 45% 9 of 20
- Last 127
- 53% 67 of 127
Projected range
projection 0.7Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–2.0
Odds analysis
Over 0.5 · fair +100-
Optimal
+100
-
bet365 -111
-
Bally Bet -113
-
BetRivers -113
-
SugarHouse -113
-
betPARX -113
-
Underdog Fantasy -115
-
Dabble -122
Steals O/U 1.5
0.7projHit rate vs Over 1.5
market implies 18%- Last 5
- 40% 2 of 5
- Last 10
- 20% 2 of 10
- Last 20
- 10% 2 of 20
- Last 127
- 13% 17 of 127
Projected range
projection 0.7Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–2.0
Odds analysis
-
bet365 +450
-
Bally Bet +410
-
BetRivers +410
-
SugarHouse +410
-
betPARX +410
-
Underdog Fantasy +377
Recent games
| Opp | Date | W/L | MIN | PTS | AST | REB | P+A | P+R | A+R | P+A+R | STL | BLK | S+B | 3PM | TO | DD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs DEN | 11-07 | L | 27 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ MEM | 11-05 | W | 30 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 18 | 4 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| vs BKN | 11-01 | L | 30 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ MIA | 10-31 | L | 21 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| vs PHI | 10-28 | L | 27 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 20 | 3 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ MIL | 10-27 | L | 21 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ BKN | 10-25 | W | 19 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| vs DAL | 10-23 | L | 20 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| vs LAC | 03-27 | L | 35 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 33 | 9 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| vs LAL | 03-25 | L | 32 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ ORL | 03-23 | W | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 21 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SA | 03-22 | L | 25 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs POR | 03-18 | L | 26 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 18 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ NY | 03-17 | L | 24 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ MIL | 03-15 | L | 29 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 34 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| vs NY | 03-13 | L | 34 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SAC | 03-11 | L | 35 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 33 | 7 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ POR | 03-09 | L | 25 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ LAL | 03-07 | L | 23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ LAC | 03-05 | L | 20 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ WAS | 02-20 | L | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ NY | 02-11 | W | 37 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ TOR | 02-08 | L | 23 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ MIL | 02-07 | L | 27 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| vs HOU | 02-03 | L | 33 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 8 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
FAQ
What is Aaron Nesmith's steals projection?
OPTIMAL projects Aaron Nesmith for 0.7 steals. Half of the projected outcomes for steals fall between 0.0 and 1.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 2.0.
What are the best odds on Aaron Nesmith Over 0.5 steals?
The best price on Aaron Nesmith Over 0.5 steals is -111 at bet365, among 7 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +100.
How often has Aaron Nesmith gone over 0.5 steals?
Aaron Nesmith has gone over 0.5 steals in 3 of the last 5, 6 of the last 10, 9 of the last 20 and 67 of the last 127 games. The best price implies 53%.
What props does Aaron Nesmith have?
Sportsbooks have posted 12 props for Aaron Nesmith: points, assists, rebounds, points + assists, points + rebounds, assists + rebounds, points + assists + rebounds, blocks and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.
How does OPTIMAL project Aaron Nesmith?
OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Aaron Nesmith's game logs.