Aaron Nesmith Points Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Aaron Nesmith Points

ind F NBA

Aaron Nesmith is projected for 13.3 points. The best price on Over 12.5 is -106 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -108. Aaron Nesmith has gone over 12.5 points in 6 of the last 10 games (60%), versus the 51% the market implies.

Aaron Nesmith projections and betting odds for Points. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 7

Props & Odds

Points O/U 12.5

13.3proj

Hit rate vs Over 12.5

market implies 51%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
60%
6 of 10
Last 20
55%
11 of 20
Last 127
45%
57 of 127
Last 12 games against a line of 12.5
line 12.5
5 @SA
19 @ORL
14 vs LAL
26 vs LAC
9 vs DAL
13 @BKN
13 @MIL
18 vs PHI
9 @MIA
11 vs BKN
16 @MEM
8 vs DEN

Projected range

projection 13.3
0.0 30.7

Most likely 8.3–18.4 Typical 3.8–22.9

Odds analysis

Over 12.5 · fair -108
  • Novig -106 +0.5%
  • Optimal -108
  • ProphetX -114
  • Fanduel -118
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -118
  • theScore -120
  • betr -120
  • DraftKings Pick6 -122
  • Dabble -122
  • DraftKings -124
  • Onyx Odds -124
  • Courtside -124
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) -125
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -125
  • Fliff -125
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -125
  • Underdog -127
  • Fanatics -130
  • ParlayPlay -132
  • Pinnacle -133
  • Sleeper -135
  • Caesars -137

Recent games

Opp Date W/L MIN PTS AST REB P+A P+R A+R P+A+R STL BLK S+B 3PM TO DD TD
vs DEN 11-07 L 27 8 1 5 9 13 6 14 0 0 0 2 2 0 0
@ MEM 11-05 W 30 16 2 2 18 18 4 20 3 1 4 2 1 0 0
vs BKN 11-01 L 30 11 4 3 15 14 7 18 1 0 1 0 3 0 0
@ MIA 10-31 L 21 9 2 3 11 12 5 14 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
vs PHI 10-28 L 27 18 1 2 19 20 3 21 2 0 2 3 2 0 0
@ MIL 10-27 L 21 13 1 0 14 13 1 14 1 1 2 3 1 0 0
@ BKN 10-25 W 19 13 2 1 15 14 3 16 0 0 0 2 2 0 0
vs DAL 10-23 L 20 9 1 4 10 13 5 14 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
vs LAC 03-27 L 35 26 2 7 28 33 9 35 1 0 1 4 5 0 0
vs LAL 03-25 L 32 14 1 3 15 17 4 18 1 0 1 2 3 0 0
@ ORL 03-23 W 35 19 2 2 21 21 4 23 0 1 1 5 1 0 0
@ SA 03-22 L 25 5 0 2 5 7 2 7 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
vs POR 03-18 L 26 15 1 3 16 18 4 19 1 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ NY 03-17 L 24 14 0 1 14 15 1 15 0 0 0 4 0 0 0
@ MIL 03-15 L 29 32 1 2 33 34 3 35 0 1 1 7 3 0 0
vs NY 03-13 L 34 12 2 2 14 14 4 16 1 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ SAC 03-11 L 35 29 3 4 32 33 7 36 0 1 1 2 0 0 0
@ POR 03-09 L 25 9 2 1 11 10 3 12 1 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ LAL 03-07 L 23 7 1 3 8 10 4 11 0 2 2 1 1 0 0
@ LAC 03-05 L 20 2 2 3 4 5 5 7 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ WAS 02-20 L 15 3 1 2 4 5 3 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ NY 02-11 W 37 11 0 8 11 19 8 19 0 2 2 1 2 0 0
@ TOR 02-08 L 23 7 1 1 8 8 2 9 1 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ MIL 02-07 L 27 12 1 1 13 13 2 14 2 0 2 2 2 0 0
vs HOU 02-03 L 33 17 2 6 19 23 8 25 0 1 1 3 1 0 0

FAQ

What is Aaron Nesmith's points projection?

OPTIMAL projects Aaron Nesmith for 13.3 points. Half of the projected outcomes for points fall between 8.3 and 18.4, and four in five between 3.8 and 22.9.

What are the best odds on Aaron Nesmith Over 12.5 points?

The best price on Aaron Nesmith Over 12.5 points is -106 at Novig, among 21 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -108.

How often has Aaron Nesmith gone over 12.5 points?

Aaron Nesmith has gone over 12.5 points in 2 of the last 5, 6 of the last 10, 11 of the last 20 and 57 of the last 127 games. The best price implies 51%.

What props does Aaron Nesmith have?

Sportsbooks have posted 12 props for Aaron Nesmith: points, assists, rebounds, points + assists, points + rebounds, assists + rebounds, points + assists + rebounds, blocks and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Aaron Nesmith?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Aaron Nesmith's game logs.

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