Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
Optimal Bet

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards

kc QB NFL

Patrick Mahomes is projected for 231.7 passing yards. The best price on Over 224.5 is -115 at Underdog Fantasy, against a fair line of +100. He has cleared 224.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (70%), versus the 53% the market implies.

Patrick Mahomes projections and betting odds for Passing Yards. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 27

Props & Odds

Passing Yards O/U 224.5

231.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 224.5

market implies 53%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
70%
7 of 10
Last 20
70%
14 of 20
Last 35
66%
23 of 35
Last 12 games against a line of 224.5
line 224.5
318 @JAX
257 vs DET
286 vs OAK
299 vs WAS
250 @BUF
276 @DEN
352 vs IND
261 @DAL
160 vs HOU
189 vs LAC
184 vs DEN
382 vs IND

Projected range

projection 231.7
149.9 313.4

Most likely 208.0–255.4 Typical 186.6–276.7

Odds analysis

Over 224.5 · fair +100
  • Fair odds +100
  • Underdog Fantasy -115
  • Polymarket US -154

Recent games

Opp Date W/L CMP ATT YDS TDS INT ATT YDS TDS Any TD FM
vs IND 09-21 W 32 47 382 3 0 2 17 0 0 0
vs DEN 09-15 W 15 27 184 2 1 7 23 1 1 0
vs LAC 12-14 L 16 28 189 0 1 2 15 1 1 0
vs HOU 12-08 L 14 33 160 0 3 7 59 0 0 0
@ DAL 11-27 L 23 34 261 4 0 3 30 0 0 0
vs IND 11-23 W 29 46 352 0 1 4 30 0 0 0
@ DEN 11-16 L 29 45 276 1 1 1 3 0 0 0
@ BUF 11-02 L 15 34 250 0 1 1 5 0 0 0
vs WAS 10-28 W 25 34 299 3 2 4 30 0 0 0
vs OAK 10-19 W 26 35 286 3 0 4 28 0 0 0
vs DET 10-13 W 22 30 257 3 0 10 32 1 1 0
@ JAX 10-07 L 29 41 318 1 1 6 60 1 1 0
vs BAL 09-28 W 25 37 270 4 0 4 5 0 0 0
@ NYG 09-22 W 22 37 224 1 0 5 2 0 0 0
vs PHI 09-14 L 16 29 187 1 1 7 66 1 1 0
@ LAC 09-06 L 24 39 258 1 0 6 57 1 1 0
@ PHI 02-09 L 21 32 257 3 2 4 25 0 0 0
vs BUF 01-26 W 18 26 245 1 0 11 43 2 2 0
vs HOU 01-18 W 16 25 177 1 0 7 14 0 0 0
@ PIT 12-25 W 29 38 320 3 0 1 12 0 0 0
vs HOU 12-21 W 28 41 260 1 0 5 33 1 1 0
@ CLE 12-15 W 19 38 159 2 0 2 14 0 0 0
vs LAC 12-09 W 24 37 210 1 0 4 17 0 0 0
vs OAK 11-29 W 26 46 306 1 0 2 4 0 0 0
@ CAR 11-24 W 27 37 269 3 0 5 60 0 0 0

FAQ

Where can I find Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards odds today?

This page shows live Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Patrick Mahomes's Passing Yards so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards props?

Optimal Bet compares Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current NFL schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards?

Use the projections section above to see how Patrick Mahomes's projected Passing Yards compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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