Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards
Patrick Mahomes is projected for 247.5 passing yards. The best price on Over 245.5 is -115 at Pinnacle, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -104. Patrick Mahomes has gone over 245.5 passing yards in 5 of the last 10 games (50%), versus the 53% the market implies.
Patrick Mahomes projections and betting odds for Passing Yards. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.
Props & Odds
Passing Yards O/U 245.5
247.5projHit rate vs Over 245.5
market implies 53%- Last 5
- 60% 3 of 5
- Last 10
- 50% 5 of 10
- Last 20
- 65% 13 of 20
- Last 40
- 60% 24 of 40
Projected range
projection 247.5Most likely 197.0–298.1 Typical 151.4–343.7
Odds analysis
Over 245.5 · fair -104-
Optimal
-104
-
Pinnacle -115
Recent games
| Opp | Date | W/L | CMP | ATT | YDS | TDS | INT | ATT | YDS | TDS | Any TD | FM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ DEN | 11-01 | L | 30 | 41 | 321 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SEA | 10-26 | L | 19 | 33 | 165 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs LAC | 10-18 | W | 23 | 30 | 272 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ OAK | 10-04 | W | 15 | 30 | 225 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ MIA | 09-27 | W | 20 | 24 | 246 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs IND | 09-21 | W | 32 | 47 | 382 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs DEN | 09-15 | W | 15 | 27 | 184 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| vs LAC | 12-14 | L | 16 | 28 | 189 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| vs HOU | 12-08 | L | 14 | 33 | 160 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ DAL | 11-27 | L | 23 | 34 | 261 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs IND | 11-23 | W | 29 | 46 | 352 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ DEN | 11-16 | L | 29 | 45 | 276 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ BUF | 11-02 | L | 15 | 34 | 250 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs WAS | 10-28 | W | 25 | 34 | 299 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs OAK | 10-19 | W | 26 | 35 | 286 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs DET | 10-13 | W | 22 | 30 | 257 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ JAX | 10-07 | L | 29 | 41 | 318 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| vs BAL | 09-28 | W | 25 | 37 | 270 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ NYG | 09-22 | W | 22 | 37 | 224 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs PHI | 09-14 | L | 16 | 29 | 187 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 66 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ LAC | 09-06 | L | 24 | 39 | 258 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ PHI | 02-09 | L | 21 | 32 | 257 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs BUF | 01-26 | W | 18 | 26 | 245 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 43 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| vs HOU | 01-18 | W | 16 | 25 | 177 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ PIT | 12-25 | W | 29 | 38 | 320 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FAQ
What is Patrick Mahomes's passing yards projection?
OPTIMAL projects Patrick Mahomes for 247.5 passing yards. Half of the projected outcomes for passing yards fall between 197.0 and 298.1, and four in five between 151.4 and 343.7.
What are the best odds on Patrick Mahomes Over 245.5 passing yards?
The best price on Patrick Mahomes Over 245.5 passing yards is -115 at Pinnacle. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -104.
How often has Patrick Mahomes gone over 245.5 passing yards?
Patrick Mahomes has gone over 245.5 passing yards in 3 of the last 5, 5 of the last 10, 13 of the last 20 and 24 of the last 40 games. The best price implies 53%.
What props does Patrick Mahomes have?
Sportsbooks have posted 7 props for Patrick Mahomes: completions, passing attempts, passing yards, passing touchdowns, interceptions, rushing attempts and rushing yards. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.
How does OPTIMAL project Patrick Mahomes?
OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Patrick Mahomes's game logs.