Patrick Mahomes Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
Optimal Bet

Patrick Mahomes

kc QB NFL

Patrick Mahomes is projected for 231.7 passing yards. The best price on Over 228.5 is -120 at PrizePicks. He has cleared 228.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (70%), versus the 55% the market implies.

Patrick Mahomes projections and betting odds for Passing Yards, Passing Touchdowns, Rushing Yards, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 27

Props & Odds

Passing Yards O/U 228.5

231.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 228.5

market implies 55%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
70%
7 of 10
Last 20
70%
14 of 20
Last 35
66%
23 of 35
Last 12 games against a line of 228.5
line 228.5
318 @JAX
257 vs DET
286 vs OAK
299 vs WAS
250 @BUF
276 @DEN
352 vs IND
261 @DAL
160 vs HOU
189 vs LAC
184 vs DEN
382 vs IND

Projected range

projection 231.7
149.9 313.4

Most likely 208.0–255.4 Typical 186.6–276.7

Odds analysis

  • PrizePicks -120
  • ParlayPlay -128

Recent games

Opp Date W/L CMP ATT YDS TDS INT ATT YDS TDS Any TD FM
vs IND 09-21 W 32 47 382 3 0 2 17 0 0 0
vs DEN 09-15 W 15 27 184 2 1 7 23 1 1 0
vs LAC 12-14 L 16 28 189 0 1 2 15 1 1 0
vs HOU 12-08 L 14 33 160 0 3 7 59 0 0 0
@ DAL 11-27 L 23 34 261 4 0 3 30 0 0 0
vs IND 11-23 W 29 46 352 0 1 4 30 0 0 0
@ DEN 11-16 L 29 45 276 1 1 1 3 0 0 0
@ BUF 11-02 L 15 34 250 0 1 1 5 0 0 0
vs WAS 10-28 W 25 34 299 3 2 4 30 0 0 0
vs OAK 10-19 W 26 35 286 3 0 4 28 0 0 0
vs DET 10-13 W 22 30 257 3 0 10 32 1 1 0
@ JAX 10-07 L 29 41 318 1 1 6 60 1 1 0
vs BAL 09-28 W 25 37 270 4 0 4 5 0 0 0
@ NYG 09-22 W 22 37 224 1 0 5 2 0 0 0
vs PHI 09-14 L 16 29 187 1 1 7 66 1 1 0
@ LAC 09-06 L 24 39 258 1 0 6 57 1 1 0
@ PHI 02-09 L 21 32 257 3 2 4 25 0 0 0
vs BUF 01-26 W 18 26 245 1 0 11 43 2 2 0
vs HOU 01-18 W 16 25 177 1 0 7 14 0 0 0
@ PIT 12-25 W 29 38 320 3 0 1 12 0 0 0
vs HOU 12-21 W 28 41 260 1 0 5 33 1 1 0
@ CLE 12-15 W 19 38 159 2 0 2 14 0 0 0
vs LAC 12-09 W 24 37 210 1 0 4 17 0 0 0
vs OAK 11-29 W 26 46 306 1 0 2 4 0 0 0
@ CAR 11-24 W 27 37 269 3 0 5 60 0 0 0

FAQ

What betting props are available for Patrick Mahomes?

Patrick Mahomes has a variety of NFL player props available on game day, including rushing yards and anytime touchdowns. Visit this page when games are upcoming to see all available props with odds from every major sportsbook.

Where can I find Patrick Mahomes betting odds and projections?

This page is your complete Patrick Mahomes betting hub. It includes updated odds from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks, plus projections and historical game logs to help you make informed betting decisions.

How do I find value bets for Patrick Mahomes props?

Optimal Bet compares odds across every major sportsbook for each Patrick Mahomes prop. The key is top-down analysis: when one book's line is significantly different from the consensus across other books, that's a potential value opportunity. Use the projections alongside game logs to confirm the edge.

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