Patrick Mahomes Passing Touchdowns Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
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Patrick Mahomes Passing Touchdowns

kc QB NFL

Patrick Mahomes is projected for 2.0 passing touchdowns. The best price on Over 0.5 is -609 at Polymarket US. He has cleared 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games (60%), versus the 86% the market implies.

Patrick Mahomes projections and betting odds for Passing Touchdowns. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 27

Props & Odds

Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5

2.0proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 86%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
60%
6 of 10
Last 20
80%
16 of 20
Last 35
83%
29 of 35
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
1 @JAX
3 vs DET
3 vs OAK
3 vs WAS
0 @BUF
1 @DEN
0 vs IND
4 @DAL
0 vs HOU
0 vs LAC
2 vs DEN
3 vs IND

Projected range

projection 2.0
0.0 6.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 0.0–4.0

Odds analysis

  • Polymarket US -609
  • bet365 -1100
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -1400

Recent games

Opp Date W/L CMP ATT YDS TDS INT ATT YDS TDS Any TD FM
vs IND 09-21 W 32 47 382 3 0 2 17 0 0 0
vs DEN 09-15 W 15 27 184 2 1 7 23 1 1 0
vs LAC 12-14 L 16 28 189 0 1 2 15 1 1 0
vs HOU 12-08 L 14 33 160 0 3 7 59 0 0 0
@ DAL 11-27 L 23 34 261 4 0 3 30 0 0 0
vs IND 11-23 W 29 46 352 0 1 4 30 0 0 0
@ DEN 11-16 L 29 45 276 1 1 1 3 0 0 0
@ BUF 11-02 L 15 34 250 0 1 1 5 0 0 0
vs WAS 10-28 W 25 34 299 3 2 4 30 0 0 0
vs OAK 10-19 W 26 35 286 3 0 4 28 0 0 0
vs DET 10-13 W 22 30 257 3 0 10 32 1 1 0
@ JAX 10-07 L 29 41 318 1 1 6 60 1 1 0
vs BAL 09-28 W 25 37 270 4 0 4 5 0 0 0
@ NYG 09-22 W 22 37 224 1 0 5 2 0 0 0
vs PHI 09-14 L 16 29 187 1 1 7 66 1 1 0
@ LAC 09-06 L 24 39 258 1 0 6 57 1 1 0
@ PHI 02-09 L 21 32 257 3 2 4 25 0 0 0
vs BUF 01-26 W 18 26 245 1 0 11 43 2 2 0
vs HOU 01-18 W 16 25 177 1 0 7 14 0 0 0
@ PIT 12-25 W 29 38 320 3 0 1 12 0 0 0
vs HOU 12-21 W 28 41 260 1 0 5 33 1 1 0
@ CLE 12-15 W 19 38 159 2 0 2 14 0 0 0
vs LAC 12-09 W 24 37 210 1 0 4 17 0 0 0
vs OAK 11-29 W 26 46 306 1 0 2 4 0 0 0
@ CAR 11-24 W 27 37 269 3 0 5 60 0 0 0

FAQ

Where can I find Patrick Mahomes Passing Touchdowns odds today?

This page shows live Patrick Mahomes Passing Touchdowns odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Patrick Mahomes Passing Touchdowns projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Patrick Mahomes's Passing Touchdowns so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Patrick Mahomes Passing Touchdowns props?

Optimal Bet compares Patrick Mahomes Passing Touchdowns lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current NFL schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Patrick Mahomes Passing Touchdowns?

Use the projections section above to see how Patrick Mahomes's projected Passing Touchdowns compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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