Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards

lar QB NFL

Matthew Stafford is projected for 236.9 passing yards. The best price on Over 199.5 is -330 at Fanduel. He has cleared 199.5 in 9 of his last 10 games (90%), versus the 77% the market implies.

Matthew Stafford projections and betting odds for Passing Yards. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 27

Props & Odds

Passing Yards O/U 199.5

236.9proj

Hit rate vs Over 199.5

market implies 77%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
90%
9 of 10
Last 20
75%
15 of 20
Last 40
75%
30 of 40
Last 12 games against a line of 199.5
line 199.5
273 vs TB
243 @CAR
281 @ARI
368 vs DET
457 @SEA
269 @ATL
259 vs ARI
304 @CAR
258 @CHI
374 @SEA
155 vs SF
327 vs NYG

Projected range

projection 236.9
34.0 439.8

Most likely 178.1–295.7 Typical 125.1–348.7

Odds analysis

  • Fanduel -330
  • Caesars -345
  • Novig -376
  • ProphetX -394
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) -400
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -400
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -400
  • Polymarket US -788

Recent games

Opp Date W/L CMP ATT YDS TDS INT ATT YDS TDS Any TD FM
vs NYG 09-22 W 22 31 327 4 1 4 -1 0 0 0
vs SF 09-11 L 15 25 155 0 1 2 -1 0 0 0
@ SEA 01-25 L 22 35 374 3 0 2 16 0 0 0
@ CHI 01-18 W 20 42 258 0 0 1 -1 0 0 0
@ CAR 01-10 W 24 42 304 3 1 2 0 0 0 0
vs ARI 01-04 W 25 40 259 4 0 1 3 0 0 0
@ ATL 12-30 L 22 38 269 2 3 0 0 0 0 0
@ SEA 12-19 L 29 49 457 3 0 2 6 0 0 0
vs DET 12-14 W 24 38 368 2 1 1 2 0 0 0
@ ARI 12-07 W 22 31 281 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ CAR 11-30 L 18 28 243 2 2 1 -1 0 0 0
vs TB 11-24 W 25 35 273 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs SEA 11-16 W 15 28 130 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ SF 11-09 W 24 36 280 4 0 3 -3 0 0 0
vs NO 11-02 W 24 32 281 4 0 4 -4 0 0 0
@ JAX 10-19 W 21 33 182 5 0 2 1 0 0 0
@ BAL 10-12 W 17 26 181 1 0 4 1 0 0 0
vs SF 10-03 L 30 47 389 3 0 1 0 0 0 0
vs IND 09-28 W 29 41 375 3 0 4 4 0 0 0
@ PHI 09-21 L 19 33 196 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
@ TEN 09-14 W 23 33 298 2 1 2 -6 0 0 0
vs HOU 09-07 W 21 29 245 1 0 4 -2 0 0 0
@ PHI 01-19 L 26 44 324 2 0 2 5 0 0 0
vs MIN 01-14 W 19 27 209 2 0 2 -1 0 0 0
vs ARI 12-29 W 17 32 189 0 0 6 16 0 0 0

FAQ

Where can I find Matthew Stafford Passing Yards odds today?

This page shows live Matthew Stafford Passing Yards odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Matthew Stafford Passing Yards projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Matthew Stafford's Passing Yards so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Matthew Stafford Passing Yards props?

Optimal Bet compares Matthew Stafford Passing Yards lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current NFL schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Matthew Stafford Passing Yards?

Use the projections section above to see how Matthew Stafford's projected Passing Yards compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.