Matthew Stafford Passing Touchdowns Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
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Matthew Stafford Passing Touchdowns

lar QB NFL

Matthew Stafford is projected for 1.6 passing touchdowns. The best price on Over 0.5 is -670 at Fanduel. He has cleared 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games (80%), versus the 87% the market implies.

Matthew Stafford projections and betting odds for Passing Touchdowns. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 27

Props & Odds

Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5

1.6proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 87%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
80%
8 of 10
Last 20
90%
18 of 20
Last 40
80%
32 of 40
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
3 vs TB
2 @CAR
3 @ARI
2 vs DET
3 @SEA
2 @ATL
4 vs ARI
3 @CAR
0 @CHI
3 @SEA
0 vs SF
4 vs NYG

Projected range

projection 1.6
0.0 5.0

Most likely 1.0–2.0 Typical 0.0–3.0

Odds analysis

  • Fanduel -670
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) -800
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -800
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -800
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -920
  • Polymarket US -967
  • ProphetX -1000

Recent games

Opp Date W/L CMP ATT YDS TDS INT ATT YDS TDS Any TD FM
vs NYG 09-22 W 22 31 327 4 1 4 -1 0 0 0
vs SF 09-11 L 15 25 155 0 1 2 -1 0 0 0
@ SEA 01-25 L 22 35 374 3 0 2 16 0 0 0
@ CHI 01-18 W 20 42 258 0 0 1 -1 0 0 0
@ CAR 01-10 W 24 42 304 3 1 2 0 0 0 0
vs ARI 01-04 W 25 40 259 4 0 1 3 0 0 0
@ ATL 12-30 L 22 38 269 2 3 0 0 0 0 0
@ SEA 12-19 L 29 49 457 3 0 2 6 0 0 0
vs DET 12-14 W 24 38 368 2 1 1 2 0 0 0
@ ARI 12-07 W 22 31 281 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ CAR 11-30 L 18 28 243 2 2 1 -1 0 0 0
vs TB 11-24 W 25 35 273 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs SEA 11-16 W 15 28 130 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ SF 11-09 W 24 36 280 4 0 3 -3 0 0 0
vs NO 11-02 W 24 32 281 4 0 4 -4 0 0 0
@ JAX 10-19 W 21 33 182 5 0 2 1 0 0 0
@ BAL 10-12 W 17 26 181 1 0 4 1 0 0 0
vs SF 10-03 L 30 47 389 3 0 1 0 0 0 0
vs IND 09-28 W 29 41 375 3 0 4 4 0 0 0
@ PHI 09-21 L 19 33 196 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
@ TEN 09-14 W 23 33 298 2 1 2 -6 0 0 0
vs HOU 09-07 W 21 29 245 1 0 4 -2 0 0 0
@ PHI 01-19 L 26 44 324 2 0 2 5 0 0 0
vs MIN 01-14 W 19 27 209 2 0 2 -1 0 0 0
vs ARI 12-29 W 17 32 189 0 0 6 16 0 0 0

FAQ

Where can I find Matthew Stafford Passing Touchdowns odds today?

This page shows live Matthew Stafford Passing Touchdowns odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Matthew Stafford Passing Touchdowns projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Matthew Stafford's Passing Touchdowns so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Matthew Stafford Passing Touchdowns props?

Optimal Bet compares Matthew Stafford Passing Touchdowns lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current NFL schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Matthew Stafford Passing Touchdowns?

Use the projections section above to see how Matthew Stafford's projected Passing Touchdowns compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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