Matthew Stafford Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Matthew Stafford

lar QB NFL

Matthew Stafford is projected for 22.5 completions against the Washington Commanders on Nov 8. The best price on Over 22.5 is -103 at Kalshi, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +104. Matthew Stafford has gone over 22.5 completions in 5 of the last 10 games (50%), versus the 51% the market implies.

Matthew Stafford projections and betting odds for Completions, Passing Attempts, Passing Yards, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 8

Props & Odds

Completions O/U 22.5

22.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 22.5

market implies 51%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
55%
11 of 20
Last 46
50%
23 of 46
Last 12 games against a line of 22.5
line 22.5
25 vs ARI
24 @CAR
20 @CHI
22 @SEA
15 vs SF
22 vs NYG
30 @DEN
32 @PHI
40 vs BUF
25 vs ARI
23 @OAK
17 vs LAC

Projected range

projection 22.5
7.8 37.2

Most likely 18.2–26.8 Typical 14.4–30.6

Odds analysis

Over 22.5 · fair +104
  • Optimal +104
  • Kalshi -103
  • Coinbase -103
  • ProphetX -103
  • Novig -104
  • Pinnacle -105
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -108
  • DraftKings -109
  • Onyx Odds -109
  • Courtside -109
  • BetMGM -110
  • Fliff -110
  • BetOnline -111
  • Fanduel -112
  • Sleeper -118
  • ParlayPlay -119
  • betr -120
  • Dabble -122
  • Splash Sports -137

Recent games

Opp Date W/L CMP ATT YDS TDS INT ATT YDS TDS Any TD FM
vs LAC 11-01 W 17 25 157 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
@ OAK 10-25 W 23 29 195 3 1 3 -3 0 0 0
vs ARI 10-18 L 25 33 222 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs BUF 10-13 L 40 54 383 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ PHI 10-04 W 32 51 317 0 2 3 10 0 0 0
@ DEN 09-28 L 30 55 390 2 2 2 13 0 0 0
vs NYG 09-22 W 22 31 327 4 1 4 -1 0 0 0
vs SF 09-11 L 15 25 155 0 1 2 -1 0 0 0
@ SEA 01-25 L 22 35 374 3 0 2 16 0 0 0
@ CHI 01-18 W 20 42 258 0 0 1 -1 0 0 0
@ CAR 01-10 W 24 42 304 3 1 2 0 0 0 0
vs ARI 01-04 W 25 40 259 4 0 1 3 0 0 0
@ ATL 12-30 L 22 38 269 2 3 0 0 0 0 0
@ SEA 12-19 L 29 49 457 3 0 2 6 0 0 0
vs DET 12-14 W 24 38 368 2 1 1 2 0 0 0
@ ARI 12-07 W 22 31 281 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ CAR 11-30 L 18 28 243 2 2 1 -1 0 0 0
vs TB 11-24 W 25 35 273 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs SEA 11-16 W 15 28 130 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ SF 11-09 W 24 36 280 4 0 3 -3 0 0 0
vs NO 11-02 W 24 32 281 4 0 4 -4 0 0 0
@ JAX 10-19 W 21 33 182 5 0 2 1 0 0 0
@ BAL 10-12 W 17 26 181 1 0 4 1 0 0 0
vs SF 10-03 L 30 47 389 3 0 1 0 0 0 0
vs IND 09-28 W 29 41 375 3 0 4 4 0 0 0

FAQ

What are Matthew Stafford's projections for Nov 8?

OPTIMAL projects Matthew Stafford for 249.3 passing yards, 1.9 passing touchdowns and 4.3 rushing yards against the Washington Commanders on Nov 8. Half of the projected outcomes for completions fall between 18.2 and 26.8, and four in five between 14.4 and 30.6.

What are the best odds on Matthew Stafford Over 22.5 completions?

The best price on Matthew Stafford Over 22.5 completions is -103 at Kalshi, among 18 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +104.

How often has Matthew Stafford gone over 22.5 completions?

Matthew Stafford has gone over 22.5 completions in 4 of the last 5, 5 of the last 10, 11 of the last 20 and 23 of the last 46 games. The best price implies 51%.

What props does Matthew Stafford have for Nov 8?

Sportsbooks have posted 11 props for Matthew Stafford against the Washington Commanders on Nov 8: completions, passing attempts, passing yards, passing touchdowns, interceptions, rushing attempts, rushing yards, rushing touchdowns and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Matthew Stafford?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Matthew Stafford's game logs.

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