Aaron Nola Outs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Aaron Nola Outs

phi SP MLB

Aaron Nola is projected for 9.9 outs. The best price on Over 9.5 is +106 at Onyx Odds, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -111. Aaron Nola has gone over 9.5 outs in 8 of the last 10 games (80%), versus the 49% the market implies.

Aaron Nola projections and betting odds for Outs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Oct 1

Props & Odds

Outs O/U 9.5

9.9proj

Hit rate vs Over 9.5

market implies 49%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
80%
8 of 10
Last 20
90%
18 of 20
Last 52
92%
48 of 52
Last 12 games against a line of 9.5
line 9.5
18 vs WSH
15 vs TOR
15 @MIN
21 vs MIA
18 @SEA
15 @ARI
21 vs ATL
19 @ATL
21 @NYM
18 vs MIL
3 vs TB
5 @ATL

Projected range

projection 9.9
0.0 20.3

Most likely 6.9–12.9 Typical 4.2–15.7

Odds analysis

Over 9.5 · fair -111
  • Onyx Odds +106 +4.1%
  • DraftKings +106
  • Courtside +106
  • ParlayPlay +100
  • Optimal -111
  • Caesars -115
  • Novig -117
  • betr -120
  • Pinnacle -123
  • Polymarket US -131
  • ProphetX -141

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ ATL 10-02 L 0 1.7 5 2 1 2 3
vs TB 09-26 L 0 1.0 3 4 0 0 3
vs MIL 09-23 L 0 6.0 18 4 8 1 4
@ NYM 09-17 W 1 7.0 21 3 4 3 0
@ ATL 09-11 L 0 6.3 19 6 3 3 2
vs ATL 09-06 L 0 7.0 21 4 5 1 1
@ ARI 09-01 W 1 5.0 15 5 4 2 1
@ SEA 08-26 L 0 6.0 18 3 7 3 2
vs MIA 08-19 W 1 7.0 21 5 8 0 1
@ MIN 08-13 W 1 5.0 15 5 9 3 1
vs TOR 08-08 L 0 5.0 15 6 8 2 2
vs WSH 08-03 W 0 6.0 18 6 5 2 3
@ MIA 07-28 L 0 5.7 17 5 4 3 1
vs LAD 07-22 L 0 5.3 16 7 4 1 5
vs NYM 07-16 L 0 6.0 18 6 6 4 3
@ DET 07-10 L 0 5.0 15 3 8 2 2
@ KC 07-05 L 0 7.0 21 7 7 0 3
vs PIT 06-29 L 0 4.3 13 8 5 2 7
@ WSH 06-24 W 0 5.0 15 3 5 2 2
vs NYM 06-18 L 0 5.0 15 7 6 1 2
@ MIL 06-13 W 0 4.7 14 6 3 2 3
vs CWS 06-07 W 0 4.3 13 6 4 4 5
vs SD 06-02 W 0 5.0 15 4 8 0 2
@ SD 05-27 W 1 6.0 18 3 5 0 2
vs CIN 05-20 L 0 5.0 15 8 5 0 4

FAQ

What is Aaron Nola's outs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Aaron Nola for 9.9 outs. Half of the projected outcomes for outs fall between 6.9 and 12.9, and four in five between 4.2 and 15.7.

What are the best odds on Aaron Nola Over 9.5 outs?

The best price on Aaron Nola Over 9.5 outs is +106 at Onyx Odds, among 10 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -111.

How often has Aaron Nola gone over 9.5 outs?

Aaron Nola has gone over 9.5 outs in 3 of the last 5, 8 of the last 10, 18 of the last 20 and 48 of the last 52 games. The best price implies 49%.

What props does Aaron Nola have?

Sportsbooks have posted 5 props for Aaron Nola: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Aaron Nola?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Aaron Nola's game logs.

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