Aaron Nola Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Aaron Nola

phi SP MLB

Aaron Nola is projected for 5.1 strikeouts. The best price on Over 5.5 is +129 at Pinnacle, against a fair line of +149. He has cleared 5.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (40%), versus the 44% the market implies.

Aaron Nola projections and betting odds for Strikeouts. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 17

Props & Odds

Strikeouts O/U 5.5

5.1proj

Hit rate vs Over 5.5

market implies 44%
Last 5
20%
1 of 5
Last 10
40%
4 of 10
Last 20
45%
9 of 20
Last 49
45%
22 of 49
Last 12 games against a line of 5.5
line 5.5
6 vs NYM
4 vs LAD
4 @MIA
5 vs WSH
8 vs TOR
9 @MIN
8 vs MIA
7 @SEA
4 @ARI
5 vs ATL
3 @ATL
4 @NYM

Projected range

projection 5.1
0.9 9.3

Most likely 3.9–6.3 Typical 2.8–7.4

Odds analysis

Over 5.5 · fair +149
  • Fair odds +149
  • Pinnacle +129

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ NYM 09-17 W 1 7.0 21 3 4 3 0
@ ATL 09-11 L 0 6.3 19 6 3 3 2
vs ATL 09-06 L 0 7.0 21 4 5 1 1
@ ARI 09-01 W 1 5.0 15 5 4 2 1
@ SEA 08-26 L 0 6.0 18 3 7 3 2
vs MIA 08-19 W 1 7.0 21 5 8 0 1
@ MIN 08-13 W 1 5.0 15 5 9 3 1
vs TOR 08-08 L 0 5.0 15 6 8 2 2
vs WSH 08-03 W 0 6.0 18 6 5 2 3
@ MIA 07-28 L 0 5.7 17 5 4 3 1
vs LAD 07-22 L 0 5.3 16 7 4 1 5
vs NYM 07-16 L 0 6.0 18 6 6 4 3
@ DET 07-10 L 0 5.0 15 3 8 2 2
@ KC 07-05 L 0 7.0 21 7 7 0 3
vs PIT 06-29 L 0 4.3 13 8 5 2 7
@ WSH 06-24 W 0 5.0 15 3 5 2 2
vs NYM 06-18 L 0 5.0 15 7 6 1 2
@ MIL 06-13 W 0 4.7 14 6 3 2 3
vs CWS 06-07 W 0 4.3 13 6 4 4 5
vs SD 06-02 W 0 5.0 15 4 8 0 2
@ SD 05-27 W 1 6.0 18 3 5 0 2
vs CIN 05-20 L 0 5.0 15 8 5 0 4
@ PIT 05-15 W 0 3.7 11 6 2 3 6
vs COL 05-09 W 0 4.7 14 6 4 2 3
@ MIA 05-04 W 1 6.0 18 5 5 0 0

FAQ

What betting props are available for Aaron Nola?

Aaron Nola has a variety of MLB player props available on game day, including strikeouts and hits. Visit this page when games are upcoming to see all available props with odds from every major sportsbook.

Where can I find Aaron Nola betting odds and projections?

This page is your complete Aaron Nola betting hub. It includes updated odds from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks, plus projections and historical game logs to help you make informed betting decisions.

How do I find value bets for Aaron Nola props?

Optimal Bet compares odds across every major sportsbook for each Aaron Nola prop. The key is top-down analysis: when one book's line is significantly different from the consensus across other books, that's a potential value opportunity. Use the projections alongside game logs to confirm the edge.