Spencer Arrighetti Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Spencer Arrighetti Earned Runs

tor SP MLB

Spencer Arrighetti is projected for 2.5 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is +125 at BetMGM, against a fair line of +133. He has cleared 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (50%), versus the 44% the market implies.

Spencer Arrighetti projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 6

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 44%
Last 5
20%
1 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
50%
10 of 20
Last 31
42%
13 of 31
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
8 @DET
1 vs TB
8 @WSH
1 vs BAL
3 @CWS
3 @NYY
3 vs KC
2 @CLE
6 @KC
0 vs BAL
0 vs DET
2 @TEX

Projected range

projection 2.5
0.0 7.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +133
  • Fair odds +133
  • BetMGM +125
  • DraftKings +106
  • Onyx Odds +106

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ TEX 09-20 W 1 2.3 7 2 2 2 2
vs DET 09-15 L 0 2.0 6 1 2 2 0
vs BAL 09-12 W 1 2.7 8 2 2 2 0
@ KC 09-06 L 0 4.7 14 6 3 3 6
@ CLE 09-01 L 0 3.7 11 2 2 1 2
vs KC 08-27 L 0 4.0 12 5 4 2 3
@ NYY 08-21 L 0 3.3 10 3 4 2 3
@ CWS 07-24 W 0 1.0 3 2 0 2 3
vs BAL 07-18 L 0 5.0 15 1 6 4 1
@ WSH 07-08 L 0 4.0 12 7 2 6 8
vs TB 07-04 L 0 6.0 18 2 4 1 1
@ DET 06-26 L 0 3.0 9 5 7 5 8
vs CLE 06-20 L 0 6.0 18 6 8 0 6
@ KC 06-14 L 0 6.0 18 8 7 1 4
@ LAA 06-09 W 0 6.0 18 4 7 4 3
vs PIT 06-04 W 0 4.0 12 6 3 1 4
@ TEX 05-29 W 1 6.0 18 3 3 1 1
@ CHC 05-22 W 1 5.0 15 2 5 4 0
vs TEX 05-16 W 1 7.3 22 1 5 4 0
@ CIN 05-09 L 0 5.7 17 5 5 3 1
@ BOS 05-02 W 1 5.0 15 5 4 5 1
vs NYY 04-26 W 1 7.0 21 3 8 1 1
@ CLE 04-20 W 1 5.0 15 5 3 4 2
vs COL 04-16 W 1 6.0 18 2 10 4 1
vs LAA 08-30 L 0 6.3 19 1 8 5 1

FAQ

Where can I find Spencer Arrighetti Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Spencer Arrighetti Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Spencer Arrighetti Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Spencer Arrighetti's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Spencer Arrighetti Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Spencer Arrighetti Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Spencer Arrighetti Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Spencer Arrighetti's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.