Merrill Kelly Outs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
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Merrill Kelly Outs

ari SP MLB

Merrill Kelly is projected for 15.5 outs. The best price on Over 15.5 is +125 at Novig, against a fair line of +103. He has cleared 15.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (50%), versus the 44% the market implies.

Merrill Kelly projections and betting odds for Outs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 23

Props & Odds

Outs O/U 15.5

15.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 15.5

market implies 44%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
55%
11 of 20
Last 60
65%
39 of 60
Last 12 games against a line of 15.5
line 15.5
15 vs STL
15 vs OAK
17 @PIT
15 @CLE
17 vs LAD
15 vs COL
12 @BOS
17 vs CHC
21 @SF
18 @HOU
13 vs TEX
14 vs MIA

Projected range

projection 15.5
7.4 23.6

Most likely 13.2–17.9 Typical 11.1–20.0

Odds analysis

Over 15.5 · fair +103
  • Novig +125 +4.8%
  • Fair odds +103
  • Fanatics -110
  • DraftKings -112
  • Onyx Odds -112
  • Courtside -112
  • Underdog Fantasy -115
  • betr -120
  • ParlayPlay -120
  • Dabble -122

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs MIA 09-17 L 0 4.7 14 7 9 2 3
vs TEX 09-12 W 0 4.3 13 2 3 3 1
@ HOU 09-05 L 0 6.0 18 7 4 0 3
@ SF 08-29 W 1 7.0 21 2 7 4 0
vs CHC 08-25 L 0 5.7 17 5 4 3 3
@ BOS 08-18 L 0 4.0 12 7 2 4 6
vs COL 08-12 L 0 5.0 15 6 2 3 6
vs LAD 08-08 W 0 5.7 17 2 4 4 1
@ CLE 08-02 L 0 5.0 15 8 5 4 5
@ PIT 07-27 L 0 5.7 17 4 6 1 0
vs OAK 07-22 W 1 5.0 15 5 3 1 2
vs STL 07-18 L 0 5.0 15 4 3 2 1
@ SD 07-10 W 1 7.0 21 3 6 3 1
vs MIL 07-05 W 1 5.0 15 8 6 2 2
@ TB 06-28 L 0 6.0 18 8 3 2 5
@ STL 06-22 L 0 6.0 18 7 2 3 3
vs LAA 06-17 L 0 5.3 16 11 4 1 6
@ MIA 06-11 L 0 6.0 18 4 1 2 2
vs WSH 06-06 L 0 5.0 15 6 4 3 7
@ SEA 05-31 L 0 5.3 16 8 2 2 2
@ SF 05-25 W 1 7.0 21 4 4 2 2
vs SF 05-20 W 1 6.0 18 8 4 0 3
@ COL 05-16 W 1 9.0 27 4 3 0 1
vs NYM 05-09 W 1 7.0 21 3 6 3 1
@ CHC 05-03 L 0 4.3 13 8 5 3 6

FAQ

Where can I find Merrill Kelly Outs odds today?

This page shows live Merrill Kelly Outs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Merrill Kelly Outs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Merrill Kelly's Outs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Merrill Kelly Outs props?

Optimal Bet compares Merrill Kelly Outs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Merrill Kelly Outs?

Use the projections section above to see how Merrill Kelly's projected Outs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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