Merrill Kelly Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Merrill Kelly

ari SP MLB

Merrill Kelly is projected for 3.7 strikeouts. The best price on Over 3.5 is -137 at Pinnacle, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -120. Merrill Kelly has gone over 3.5 strikeouts in 6 of the last 10 games (60%), versus the 58% the market implies.

Merrill Kelly projections and betting odds for Strikeouts, Outs, Walks, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 23

Props & Odds

Strikeouts O/U 3.5

3.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 3.5

market implies 58%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
60%
6 of 10
Last 20
55%
11 of 20
Last 61
66%
40 of 61
Last 12 games against a line of 3.5
line 3.5
3 vs OAK
6 @PIT
5 @CLE
4 vs LAD
2 vs COL
2 @BOS
4 vs CHC
7 @SF
4 @HOU
3 vs TEX
9 vs MIA
2 @COL

Projected range

projection 3.7
0.0 9.2

Most likely 2.1–5.3 Typical 0.7–6.7

Odds analysis

Over 3.5 · fair -120
  • Optimal -120
  • Pinnacle -137
  • DraftKings -141
  • Onyx Odds -141

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ COL 09-24 W 1 5.3 16 4 2 1 2
vs MIA 09-17 L 0 4.7 14 7 9 2 3
vs TEX 09-12 W 0 4.3 13 2 3 3 1
@ HOU 09-05 L 0 6.0 18 7 4 0 3
@ SF 08-29 W 1 7.0 21 2 7 4 0
vs CHC 08-25 L 0 5.7 17 5 4 3 3
@ BOS 08-18 L 0 4.0 12 7 2 4 6
vs COL 08-12 L 0 5.0 15 6 2 3 6
vs LAD 08-08 W 0 5.7 17 2 4 4 1
@ CLE 08-02 L 0 5.0 15 8 5 4 5
@ PIT 07-27 L 0 5.7 17 4 6 1 0
vs OAK 07-22 W 1 5.0 15 5 3 1 2
vs STL 07-18 L 0 5.0 15 4 3 2 1
@ SD 07-10 W 1 7.0 21 3 6 3 1
vs MIL 07-05 W 1 5.0 15 8 6 2 2
@ TB 06-28 L 0 6.0 18 8 3 2 5
@ STL 06-22 L 0 6.0 18 7 2 3 3
vs LAA 06-17 L 0 5.3 16 11 4 1 6
@ MIA 06-11 L 0 6.0 18 4 1 2 2
vs WSH 06-06 L 0 5.0 15 6 4 3 7
@ SEA 05-31 L 0 5.3 16 8 2 2 2
@ SF 05-25 W 1 7.0 21 4 4 2 2
vs SF 05-20 W 1 6.0 18 8 4 0 3
@ COL 05-16 W 1 9.0 27 4 3 0 1
vs NYM 05-09 W 1 7.0 21 3 6 3 1

FAQ

What are Merrill Kelly's projections?

OPTIMAL projects Merrill Kelly for 3.7 strikeouts and 15.2 outs. Half of the projected outcomes for strikeouts fall between 2.1 and 5.3, and four in five between 0.7 and 6.7.

What are the best odds on Merrill Kelly Over 3.5 strikeouts?

The best price on Merrill Kelly Over 3.5 strikeouts is -137 at Pinnacle, among 3 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -120.

How often has Merrill Kelly gone over 3.5 strikeouts?

Merrill Kelly has gone over 3.5 strikeouts in 3 of the last 5, 6 of the last 10, 11 of the last 20 and 40 of the last 61 games. The best price implies 58%.

What props does Merrill Kelly have?

Sportsbooks have posted 4 props for Merrill Kelly: strikeouts, outs, walks and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Merrill Kelly?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Merrill Kelly's game logs.

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