Merrill Kelly

ari SP MLB

Merrill Kelly is projected for 3.5 strikeouts. The best price on Over 3.5 is -114 at DraftKings, against a fair line of -112. He has cleared 3.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (70%), versus the 53% the market implies.

Merrill Kelly projections and betting odds for Strikeouts, Outs, Hits Allowed, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 23

Props & Odds

Strikeouts O/U 3.5

3.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 3.5

market implies 53%

Last 5: 80%
Last 10: 70%
Last 20: 55%
Last 60: 67%

line 3.5

3 vs STL

3 vs OAK

6 @PIT

5 @CLE

4 vs LAD

2 vs COL

2 @BOS

4 vs CHC

7 @SF

4 @HOU

3 vs TEX

9 vs MIA

Projected range

projection 3.5

0.0 9.0

Most likely 1.9–5.1 Typical 0.4–6.5

Odds analysis

Over 3.5 · fair -112

Fair odds -112
DraftKings -114
Onyx Odds -114
Courtside -114
PrizePicks -120
betr -120
DraftKings Pick6 -122
Dabble -122
Sportsbook Rhode Island -122
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -125
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -125
Caesars -125
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -125
Underdog Fantasy -129
Fanatics -130
Kalshi -132
Coinbase -132
ParlayPlay -135
Fanduel -136
Novig -138
ProphetX -139
Sleeper -145
Fliff -145

Outs O/U 15.5

15.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 15.5

market implies 43%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 50%
Last 20: 55%
Last 60: 65%

line 15.5

15 vs STL

15 vs OAK

17 @PIT

15 @CLE

17 vs LAD

15 vs COL

12 @BOS

17 vs CHC

21 @SF

18 @HOU

13 vs TEX

14 vs MIA

Projected range

projection 15.5

8.3 22.8

Most likely 13.4–17.6 Typical 11.5–19.5

Odds analysis

Over 15.5 · fair +101

Novig +130 +6.3%
ProphetX +109
Fair odds +101
Fanatics -110
Underdog Fantasy -115
DraftKings -118
Onyx Odds -118
Courtside -118
betr -120
Dabble -122
ParlayPlay -128

Hits Allowed O/U 5.5

5.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 5.5

market implies 58%

Last 5: 40%
Last 10: 50%
Last 20: 55%
Last 60: 48%

line 5.5

4 vs STL

5 vs OAK

4 @PIT

8 @CLE

2 vs LAD

6 vs COL

7 @BOS

5 vs CHC

2 @SF

7 @HOU

2 vs TEX

7 vs MIA

Projected range

projection 5.7

0.1 11.4

Most likely 4.1–7.4 Typical 2.6–8.9

Odds analysis

Over 5.5 · fair -117

Fair odds -117
Fanatics -140
Underdog Fantasy -145
ProphetX -154
Fliff -155
Sleeper -159

Walks O/U 1.5

1.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 51%

Last 5: 80%
Last 10: 80%
Last 20: 80%
Last 60: 57%

line 1.5

2 vs STL

1 vs OAK

1 @PIT

4 @CLE

4 vs LAD

3 vs COL

4 @BOS

3 vs CHC

4 @SF

0 @HOU

3 vs TEX

2 vs MIA

Projected range

projection 1.5

0.0 4.9

Most likely 0.5–2.5 Typical 0.0–3.3

Odds analysis

Underdog Fantasy -105
PrizePicks -120
betr -120
ParlayPlay -128

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

3.0proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 55%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 60%
Last 20: 50%
Last 60: 43%

line 2.5

1 vs STL

2 vs OAK

0 @PIT

5 @CLE

1 vs LAD

6 vs COL

6 @BOS

3 vs CHC

0 @SF

3 @HOU

1 vs TEX

3 vs MIA

Projected range

projection 3.0

0.0 8.0

Most likely 2.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair -117

Fair odds -117
PrizePicks -120
Sportsbook Rhode Island -134
Fanatics -140
Fliff -145
ProphetX -146
Underdog Fantasy -148
Sleeper -149

Recent games

Opp	Date	W/L	W	IP	OUT	HIT	K	BB	R
vs MIA	09-17	L	0	4.7	14	7	9	2	3
vs TEX	09-12	W	0	4.3	13	2	3	3	1
@ HOU	09-05	L	0	6.0	18	7	4	0	3
@ SF	08-29	W	1	7.0	21	2	7	4	0
vs CHC	08-25	L	0	5.7	17	5	4	3	3
@ BOS	08-18	L	0	4.0	12	7	2	4	6
vs COL	08-12	L	0	5.0	15	6	2	3	6
vs LAD	08-08	W	0	5.7	17	2	4	4	1
@ CLE	08-02	L	0	5.0	15	8	5	4	5
@ PIT	07-27	L	0	5.7	17	4	6	1	0
vs OAK	07-22	W	1	5.0	15	5	3	1	2
vs STL	07-18	L	0	5.0	15	4	3	2	1
@ SD	07-10	W	1	7.0	21	3	6	3	1
vs MIL	07-05	W	1	5.0	15	8	6	2	2
@ TB	06-28	L	0	6.0	18	8	3	2	5
@ STL	06-22	L	0	6.0	18	7	2	3	3
vs LAA	06-17	L	0	5.3	16	11	4	1	6
@ MIA	06-11	L	0	6.0	18	4	1	2	2
vs WSH	06-06	L	0	5.0	15	6	4	3	7
@ SEA	05-31	L	0	5.3	16	8	2	2	2
@ SF	05-25	W	1	7.0	21	4	4	2	2
vs SF	05-20	W	1	6.0	18	8	4	0	3
@ COL	05-16	W	1	9.0	27	4	3	0	1
vs NYM	05-09	W	1	7.0	21	3	6	3	1
@ CHC	05-03	L	0	4.3	13	8	5	3	6

FAQ

What betting props are available for Merrill Kelly?

Merrill Kelly has a variety of MLB player props available on game day, including strikeouts and hits. Visit this page when games are upcoming to see all available props with odds from every major sportsbook.

Where can I find Merrill Kelly betting odds and projections?

This page is your complete Merrill Kelly betting hub. It includes updated odds from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks, plus projections and historical game logs to help you make informed betting decisions.

How do I find value bets for Merrill Kelly props?

Optimal Bet compares odds across every major sportsbook for each Merrill Kelly prop. The key is top-down analysis: when one book's line is significantly different from the consensus across other books, that's a potential value opportunity. Use the projections alongside game logs to confirm the edge.

Merrill Kelly

Props & Odds

Strikeouts O/U 3.5

Hit rate vs Over 3.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Outs O/U 15.5

Hit rate vs Over 15.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Hits Allowed O/U 5.5

Hit rate vs Over 5.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Walks O/U 1.5

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Recent games

FAQ

Related Players

A.J. Puk

A.J. Vukovich

Adrian Del Castillo

Albert Almora

Andrew Saalfrank

Anthony DeSclafani

Aramis Garcia

Blake Walston