Dawson Mercer

wpg RW NHL

Dawson Mercer is projected for 1.8 shots against the Tampa Bay Lightning on Nov 8. The best price on Over 1.5 is +100 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +103. Dawson Mercer has gone over 1.5 shots in 5 of the last 10 games (50%), versus the 50% the market implies.Odds updated Nov 8, 1:16 PM ET

Dawson Mercer projections and betting odds for Shots, Points, Power Play Points, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 8

Props & Odds

Shots O/U 1.5

1.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 50%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 50%
Last 20: 70%
Last 186: 55%

line 1.5

3 @DET

3 vs NYR

1 @WSH

2 vs COL

1 vs ANA

2 vs MTL

1 vs FLA

3 @TBL

2 @FLA

0 @CAR

2 @MTL

1 vs VAN

Projected range

projection 1.8

0.0 5.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 0.0–4.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair +103

Optimal +103
Novig +100
bet365 -105
Sportsbook Rhode Island -106
Dabble -122
BetOnline -123
Sleeper -125
DraftKings -130
Onyx Odds -130
Courtside -130
Rebet -132
BetMGM -140
Underdog -143
ParlayPlay -143
ProphetX -146

Points O/U 0.5

0.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 37%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 40%
Last 20: 40%
Last 186: 38%

line 0.5

1 @DET

2 vs NYR

1 @WSH

0 vs COL

0 vs ANA

0 vs MTL

0 vs FLA

1 @TBL

1 @FLA

0 @CAR

0 @MTL

2 vs VAN

Projected range

projection 0.5

0.0 3.0

Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +167

Sportsbook Rhode Island +170 +0.4%
Optimal +167
DraftKings +160
Onyx Odds +160
Courtside +160
Novig +150
Underdog +146
ParlayPlay +145
ProphetX +142
DraftKings Pick6 +137
Sleeper +136
Bally Bet +133
BetRivers +133
SugarHouse +133

Power Play Points O/U 0.5

0.1proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

Last 5: 20%
Last 10: 10%
Last 20: 5%
Last 186: 7%

line 0.5

0 @DET

0 vs NYR

0 @WSH

0 vs COL

0 vs ANA

0 vs MTL

0 vs FLA

0 @TBL

0 @FLA

0 @CAR

0 @MTL

1 vs VAN

Projected range

projection 0.1

0.0 1.0

Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Assists O/U 0.5

0.4proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 23%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 40%
Last 20: 35%
Last 186: 23%

line 0.5

1 @DET

2 vs NYR

1 @WSH

0 vs COL

0 vs ANA

0 vs MTL

0 vs FLA

1 @TBL

1 @FLA

0 @CAR

0 @MTL

1 vs VAN

Projected range

projection 0.4

0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +253

Sportsbook Rhode Island +340 +5.6%
Polymarket US +289
Optimal +253
bet365 +230
Novig +217
BetMGM +210
ProphetX +191

Anytime Goalscorer O/U 0.5

0.2proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 16%

Last 5: 20%
Last 10: 10%
Last 20: 15%
Last 186: 19%

line 0.5

0 @DET

0 vs NYR

0 @WSH

0 vs COL

0 vs ANA

0 vs MTL

0 vs FLA

0 @TBL

0 @FLA

0 @CAR

0 @MTL

1 vs VAN

Projected range

projection 0.2

0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +480

Polymarket US +517 +1.0%
Optimal +480
Novig +426
Courtside +425
Fanduel +400
Fanatics +390
Sportsbook Rhode Island +390
Bally Bet +390
BetRivers +390
SugarHouse +390
Rebet +380
DraftKings Pick6 +355
ProphetX +350
ParlayPlay +319
Dabble +264
betr +200

Recent games

Opp	Date	W/L	S	PTS	PPP	A	G
vs VAN	11-06	W	1	2	1	1	1
@ MTL	11-04	W	2	0	0	0	0
@ CAR	11-01	L	0	0	0	0	0
@ FLA	10-30	L	2	1	0	1	0
@ TBL	10-29	L	3	1	0	1	0
vs FLA	10-28	L	1	0	0	0	0
vs MTL	10-25	L	2	0	0	0	0
vs ANA	10-22	W	1	0	0	0	0
vs COL	10-20	W	2	0	0	0	0
@ WSH	10-17	L	1	1	0	1	0
vs NYR	10-15	W	3	2	0	2	0
@ DET	10-13	W	3	1	0	1	0
vs OTT	10-12	L	1	0	0	0	0
vs VAN	10-10	W	3	0	0	0	0
vs UTAH	10-06	L	2	0	0	0	0
@ NYI	10-03	L	3	0	0	0	0
vs PHI	10-01	W	3	0	0	0	0
@ BOS	04-14	L	2	0	0	0	0
vs OTT	04-12	W	5	2	0	1	1
@ DET	04-11	W	3	1	0	0	1
vs PIT	04-09	L	0	0	0	0	0
vs PHI	04-07	L	1	0	0	0	0
@ MTL	04-05	W	1	0	0	0	0
vs MTL	04-04	L	3	1	0	0	1
vs WSH	04-02	W	6	2	0	0	2

FAQ

What are Dawson Mercer's projections for Nov 8?

OPTIMAL projects Dawson Mercer for 1.8 shots, 0.5 points and 0.2 anytime goalscorer against the Tampa Bay Lightning on Nov 8. Half of the projected outcomes for shots fall between 1.0 and 3.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 4.0.

What are the best odds on Dawson Mercer Over 1.5 shots?

The best price on Dawson Mercer Over 1.5 shots is +100 at Novig, among 14 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +103.

How often has Dawson Mercer gone over 1.5 shots?

Dawson Mercer has gone over 1.5 shots in 3 of the last 5, 5 of the last 10, 14 of the last 20 and 102 of the last 186 games. The best price implies 50%.

What props does Dawson Mercer have for Nov 8?

Sportsbooks have posted 5 props for Dawson Mercer against the Tampa Bay Lightning on Nov 8: shots, points, power play points, assists and anytime goalscorer. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Dawson Mercer?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Dawson Mercer's game logs.