Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards

tb QB NFL

Baker Mayfield is projected for 220.5 passing yards. The best price on Over 174.5 is -450 at bet365. He has cleared 174.5 in 6 of his last 10 games (60%), versus the 82% the market implies.

Baker Mayfield projections and betting odds for Passing Yards. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 27

Props & Odds

Passing Yards O/U 174.5

220.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 174.5

market implies 82%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
60%
6 of 10
Last 20
68%
13 of 19
Last 19
68%
13 of 19
Last 12 games against a line of 174.5
line 174.5
152 @NO
273 vs NE
173 @BUF
41 @LAR
194 vs ARI
122 vs NO
277 vs ATL
145 @CAR
346 @MIA
203 vs CAR
216 @CIN
182 vs CLE

Projected range

projection 220.5
40.3 400.7

Most likely 168.3–272.7 Typical 121.2–319.8

Odds analysis

  • bet365 -450
  • Polymarket US -609

Recent games

Opp Date W/L CMP ATT YDS TDS INT ATT YDS TDS Any TD FM
vs CLE 09-20 L 21 34 182 1 1 4 29 0 0 0
@ CIN 09-13 L 23 28 216 0 0 5 30 1 1 0
vs CAR 01-03 W 16 22 203 1 1 4 31 0 0 0
@ MIA 12-28 L 33 44 346 2 2 3 16 0 0 0
@ CAR 12-21 L 18 26 145 1 1 4 49 0 0 0
vs ATL 12-12 L 19 34 277 2 1 1 1 0 0 0
vs NO 12-07 L 14 30 122 1 1 6 42 0 0 0
vs ARI 11-30 W 18 28 194 1 0 6 27 0 0 0
@ LAR 11-24 L 9 19 41 1 2 4 19 0 0 0
@ BUF 11-16 L 16 28 173 1 1 5 39 1 1 0
vs NE 11-09 L 28 43 273 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ NO 10-26 W 15 24 152 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ DET 10-20 L 28 50 228 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
vs SF 10-12 W 17 23 256 2 0 3 14 0 0 0
@ SEA 10-05 W 29 33 379 2 0 5 15 0 0 0
vs PHI 09-28 L 22 40 289 2 1 2 13 0 0 0
vs NYJ 09-21 W 19 29 233 1 0 4 44 0 0 0
@ HOU 09-15 W 25 38 215 2 0 3 33 0 0 0
@ ATL 09-07 W 17 32 167 3 0 5 39 0 0 0

FAQ

Where can I find Baker Mayfield Passing Yards odds today?

This page shows live Baker Mayfield Passing Yards odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Baker Mayfield Passing Yards projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Baker Mayfield's Passing Yards so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Baker Mayfield Passing Yards props?

Optimal Bet compares Baker Mayfield Passing Yards lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current NFL schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Baker Mayfield Passing Yards?

Use the projections section above to see how Baker Mayfield's projected Passing Yards compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.