Baker Mayfield Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Baker Mayfield

tb QB NFL

Baker Mayfield is projected for 18.8 completions against the Chicago Bears on Nov 8. The best price on Over 18.5 is +100 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +101. Baker Mayfield has gone over 18.5 completions in 4 of the last 10 games (40%), versus the 50% the market implies.

Baker Mayfield projections and betting odds for Completions, Passing Attempts, Passing Yards, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 8

Props & Odds

Completions O/U 18.5

18.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 18.5

market implies 50%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
40%
4 of 10
Last 20
45%
9 of 20
Last 22
45%
10 of 22
Last 12 games against a line of 18.5
line 18.5
9 @LAR
18 vs ARI
14 vs NO
19 vs ATL
18 @CAR
33 @MIA
16 vs CAR
23 @CIN
21 vs CLE
17 vs MIN
7 @CAR
0 vs ATL

Projected range

projection 18.8
3.8 33.8

Most likely 14.4–23.1 Typical 10.5–27.0

Odds analysis

Over 18.5 · fair +101
  • Optimal +101
  • Novig +100
  • theScore -105
  • BetMGM -105
  • ProphetX -105
  • Kalshi -107
  • Coinbase -107
  • BetOnline -112
  • Fliff -115
  • bet365 -115
  • Pinnacle -115
  • Fanduel -118
  • betr -120
  • Sleeper -122
  • Dabble -122
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -122
  • Bally Bet -125
  • BetRivers -125
  • SugarHouse -125
  • betPARX -125
  • Splash Sports -137

Recent games

Opp Date W/L CMP ATT YDS TDS INT ATT YDS TDS Any TD FM
vs ATL 11-01 W 0 3 0 0 0 4 14 0 0 0
@ CAR 10-25 W 7 11 64 1 0 1 1 0 0 0
vs MIN 09-27 L 17 34 217 1 1 2 6 0 0 0
vs CLE 09-20 L 21 34 182 1 1 4 29 0 0 0
@ CIN 09-13 L 23 28 216 0 0 5 30 1 1 0
vs CAR 01-03 W 16 22 203 1 1 4 31 0 0 0
@ MIA 12-28 L 33 44 346 2 2 3 16 0 0 0
@ CAR 12-21 L 18 26 145 1 1 4 49 0 0 0
vs ATL 12-12 L 19 34 277 2 1 1 1 0 0 0
vs NO 12-07 L 14 30 122 1 1 6 42 0 0 0
vs ARI 11-30 W 18 28 194 1 0 6 27 0 0 0
@ LAR 11-24 L 9 19 41 1 2 4 19 0 0 0
@ BUF 11-16 L 16 28 173 1 1 5 39 1 1 0
vs NE 11-09 L 28 43 273 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ NO 10-26 W 15 24 152 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ DET 10-20 L 28 50 228 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
vs SF 10-12 W 17 23 256 2 0 3 14 0 0 0
@ SEA 10-05 W 29 33 379 2 0 5 15 0 0 0
vs PHI 09-28 L 22 40 289 2 1 2 13 0 0 0
vs NYJ 09-21 W 19 29 233 1 0 4 44 0 0 0
@ HOU 09-15 W 25 38 215 2 0 3 33 0 0 0
@ ATL 09-07 W 17 32 167 3 0 5 39 0 0 0

FAQ

What are Baker Mayfield's projections for Nov 8?

OPTIMAL projects Baker Mayfield for 212.9 passing yards, 1.4 passing touchdowns and 22.0 rushing yards against the Chicago Bears on Nov 8. Half of the projected outcomes for completions fall between 14.4 and 23.1, and four in five between 10.5 and 27.0.

What are the best odds on Baker Mayfield Over 18.5 completions?

The best price on Baker Mayfield Over 18.5 completions is +100 at Novig, among 20 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +101.

How often has Baker Mayfield gone over 18.5 completions?

Baker Mayfield has gone over 18.5 completions in 2 of the last 5, 4 of the last 10, 9 of the last 20 and 10 of the last 22 games. The best price implies 50%.

What props does Baker Mayfield have for Nov 8?

Sportsbooks have posted 11 props for Baker Mayfield against the Chicago Bears on Nov 8: completions, passing attempts, passing yards, passing touchdowns, interceptions, rushing attempts, rushing yards, rushing touchdowns and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Baker Mayfield?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Baker Mayfield's game logs.

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