Baker Mayfield Passing Touchdowns Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Baker Mayfield Passing Touchdowns

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Baker Mayfield is projected for 1.4 passing touchdowns against the Chicago Bears on Nov 8. The best price on Over 1.5 is +150 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +154. Baker Mayfield has gone over 1.5 passing touchdowns in 2 of the last 10 games (20%), versus the 40% the market implies.

Baker Mayfield projections and betting odds for Passing Touchdowns. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 8

Props & Odds

Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5

1.4proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 40%
Last 5
0%
0 of 5
Last 10
20%
2 of 10
Last 20
30%
6 of 20
Last 22
36%
8 of 22
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
1 @LAR
1 vs ARI
1 vs NO
2 vs ATL
1 @CAR
2 @MIA
1 vs CAR
0 @CIN
1 vs CLE
1 vs MIN
1 @CAR
0 vs ATL

Projected range

projection 1.4
0.0 5.0

Most likely 1.0–2.0 Typical 0.0–3.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair +154
  • Optimal +154
  • Novig +150
  • Bally Bet +150
  • BetRivers +150
  • SugarHouse +150
  • betPARX +150
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island +148
  • ProphetX +144
  • Pinnacle +143
  • Caesars +141
  • Circa +140
  • bet365 +135
  • Kalshi +134
  • Coinbase +134
  • Fanduel +134
  • BetOnline +132
  • Polymarket US +131
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +130
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) +130
  • Fanatics +130
  • BetMGM +130
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +130
  • Underdog +129
  • Courtside +128
  • DraftKings +128
  • Onyx Odds +128
  • Fliff +125
  • Dabble +118
  • ParlayPlay +118
  • Sleeper +116
  • Splash Sports -137

Recent games

Opp Date W/L CMP ATT YDS TDS INT ATT YDS TDS Any TD FM
vs ATL 11-01 W 0 3 0 0 0 4 14 0 0 0
@ CAR 10-25 W 7 11 64 1 0 1 1 0 0 0
vs MIN 09-27 L 17 34 217 1 1 2 6 0 0 0
vs CLE 09-20 L 21 34 182 1 1 4 29 0 0 0
@ CIN 09-13 L 23 28 216 0 0 5 30 1 1 0
vs CAR 01-03 W 16 22 203 1 1 4 31 0 0 0
@ MIA 12-28 L 33 44 346 2 2 3 16 0 0 0
@ CAR 12-21 L 18 26 145 1 1 4 49 0 0 0
vs ATL 12-12 L 19 34 277 2 1 1 1 0 0 0
vs NO 12-07 L 14 30 122 1 1 6 42 0 0 0
vs ARI 11-30 W 18 28 194 1 0 6 27 0 0 0
@ LAR 11-24 L 9 19 41 1 2 4 19 0 0 0
@ BUF 11-16 L 16 28 173 1 1 5 39 1 1 0
vs NE 11-09 L 28 43 273 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ NO 10-26 W 15 24 152 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ DET 10-20 L 28 50 228 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
vs SF 10-12 W 17 23 256 2 0 3 14 0 0 0
@ SEA 10-05 W 29 33 379 2 0 5 15 0 0 0
vs PHI 09-28 L 22 40 289 2 1 2 13 0 0 0
vs NYJ 09-21 W 19 29 233 1 0 4 44 0 0 0
@ HOU 09-15 W 25 38 215 2 0 3 33 0 0 0
@ ATL 09-07 W 17 32 167 3 0 5 39 0 0 0

FAQ

What is Baker Mayfield's passing touchdowns projection for Nov 8?

OPTIMAL projects Baker Mayfield for 1.4 passing touchdowns against the Chicago Bears on Nov 8. Half of the projected outcomes for passing touchdowns fall between 1.0 and 2.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 3.0.

What are the best odds on Baker Mayfield Over 1.5 passing touchdowns?

The best price on Baker Mayfield Over 1.5 passing touchdowns is +150 at Novig, among 30 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +154.

How often has Baker Mayfield gone over 1.5 passing touchdowns?

Baker Mayfield has gone over 1.5 passing touchdowns in 0 of the last 5, 2 of the last 10, 6 of the last 20 and 8 of the last 22 games. The best price implies 40%.

What props does Baker Mayfield have for Nov 8?

Sportsbooks have posted 11 props for Baker Mayfield against the Chicago Bears on Nov 8: completions, passing attempts, passing yards, passing touchdowns, interceptions, rushing attempts, rushing yards, rushing touchdowns and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Baker Mayfield?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Baker Mayfield's game logs.

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