Baker Mayfield Passing Touchdowns Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Baker Mayfield Passing Touchdowns

tb QB NFL

Baker Mayfield is projected for 1.5 passing touchdowns. The best price on Over 0.5 is -290 at Polymarket US. He has cleared 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games (90%), versus the 74% the market implies.

Baker Mayfield projections and betting odds for Passing Touchdowns. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 27

Props & Odds

Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5

1.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 74%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
90%
9 of 10
Last 20
89%
17 of 19
Last 19
89%
17 of 19
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
0 @NO
3 vs NE
1 @BUF
1 @LAR
1 vs ARI
1 vs NO
2 vs ATL
1 @CAR
2 @MIA
1 vs CAR
0 @CIN
1 vs CLE

Projected range

projection 1.5
0.0 5.0

Most likely 1.0–2.0 Typical 0.0–3.0

Odds analysis

  • Polymarket US -290
  • bet365 -500
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -530

Recent games

Opp Date W/L CMP ATT YDS TDS INT ATT YDS TDS Any TD FM
vs CLE 09-20 L 21 34 182 1 1 4 29 0 0 0
@ CIN 09-13 L 23 28 216 0 0 5 30 1 1 0
vs CAR 01-03 W 16 22 203 1 1 4 31 0 0 0
@ MIA 12-28 L 33 44 346 2 2 3 16 0 0 0
@ CAR 12-21 L 18 26 145 1 1 4 49 0 0 0
vs ATL 12-12 L 19 34 277 2 1 1 1 0 0 0
vs NO 12-07 L 14 30 122 1 1 6 42 0 0 0
vs ARI 11-30 W 18 28 194 1 0 6 27 0 0 0
@ LAR 11-24 L 9 19 41 1 2 4 19 0 0 0
@ BUF 11-16 L 16 28 173 1 1 5 39 1 1 0
vs NE 11-09 L 28 43 273 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ NO 10-26 W 15 24 152 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ DET 10-20 L 28 50 228 1 1 0 0 0 0 0
vs SF 10-12 W 17 23 256 2 0 3 14 0 0 0
@ SEA 10-05 W 29 33 379 2 0 5 15 0 0 0
vs PHI 09-28 L 22 40 289 2 1 2 13 0 0 0
vs NYJ 09-21 W 19 29 233 1 0 4 44 0 0 0
@ HOU 09-15 W 25 38 215 2 0 3 33 0 0 0
@ ATL 09-07 W 17 32 167 3 0 5 39 0 0 0

FAQ

Where can I find Baker Mayfield Passing Touchdowns odds today?

This page shows live Baker Mayfield Passing Touchdowns odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Baker Mayfield Passing Touchdowns projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Baker Mayfield's Passing Touchdowns so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Baker Mayfield Passing Touchdowns props?

Optimal Bet compares Baker Mayfield Passing Touchdowns lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current NFL schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Baker Mayfield Passing Touchdowns?

Use the projections section above to see how Baker Mayfield's projected Passing Touchdowns compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.