Justin Jefferson Receptions

min WR NFL

Justin Jefferson is projected for 6.5 receptions against the Buffalo Bills on Nov 9. The best price on Over 6.5 is +108 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +106. Justin Jefferson has gone over 6.5 receptions in 2 of the last 10 games (20%), versus the 48% the market implies.Odds updated Nov 8, 1:07 PM ET

Justin Jefferson projections and betting odds for Receptions. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 9

Props & Odds

Receptions O/U 3.5

6.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 3.5

market implies 88%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 70%
Last 20: 75%
Last 41: 80%

line 3.5

2 @SEA

2 vs WAS

2 @DAL

6 @NYG

4 vs DET

8 vs GB

3 @CHI

2 @TB

6 @NO

4 vs IND

5 @DET

Projected range

projection 6.5

0.0 13.9

Most likely 4.4–8.7 Typical 2.4–10.6

Odds analysis

Novig -733
Kalshi -869
Coinbase -869
DraftKings -980
Onyx Odds -980
Courtside -980
bet365 -1200
Fanduel -1200
Sportsbook Rhode Island -1250
ProphetX -1786
Bally Bet -2000
betPARX -2000
BetRivers -2000
SugarHouse -2000

Receptions O/U 4.5

6.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 4.5

market implies 78%

Last 5: 40%
Last 10: 50%
Last 20: 55%
Last 41: 63%

line 4.5

2 @SEA

2 vs WAS

2 @DAL

6 @NYG

4 vs DET

8 vs GB

3 @CHI

2 @TB

6 @NO

4 vs IND

5 @DET

Projected range

projection 6.5

0.0 13.9

Most likely 4.4–8.7 Typical 2.4–10.6

Odds analysis

Kalshi -360
Coinbase -360
DraftKings -389
Onyx Odds -389
Courtside -389
Novig -426
Fanduel -440
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -450
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -450
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -450
bet365 -450
ProphetX -510
Bally Bet -560
betPARX -560
BetRivers -560
SugarHouse -560
ParlayPlay -714

Receptions O/U 5.5

6.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 5.5

market implies 62%

Last 5: 20%
Last 10: 40%
Last 20: 40%
Last 41: 49%

line 5.5

2 @SEA

2 vs WAS

2 @DAL

6 @NYG

4 vs DET

8 vs GB

3 @CHI

2 @TB

6 @NO

4 vs IND

5 @DET

Projected range

projection 6.5

0.0 13.9

Most likely 4.4–8.7 Typical 2.4–10.6

Odds analysis

Polymarket US -165
Novig -167
Kalshi -168
Coinbase -168
DraftKings -190
Onyx Odds -190
Courtside -190
Sportsbook Rhode Island -196
bet365 -200
Fanduel -210
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -220
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -220
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -220
ProphetX -238
Bally Bet -240
betPARX -240
BetRivers -240
SugarHouse -240
ParlayPlay -263
BetOnline -303

Receptions O/U 6.5

6.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 6.5

market implies 48%

Last 5: 0%
Last 10: 20%
Last 20: 25%
Last 41: 32%

line 6.5

2 @SEA

2 vs WAS

2 @DAL

6 @NYG

4 vs DET

8 vs GB

3 @CHI

2 @TB

6 @NO

4 vs IND

5 @DET

Projected range

projection 6.5

0.0 13.9

Most likely 4.4–8.7 Typical 2.4–10.6

Odds analysis

Over 6.5 · fair +106

Novig +108 +0.5%
Optimal +106
Kalshi +101
Coinbase +101
Dabble +100
Sportsbook Rhode Island +100
bet365 +100
DraftKings -101
Onyx Odds -101
Courtside -101
Polymarket US -101
BetOnline -105
Fanatics -105
Underdog -107
Fanduel -108
Fliff -110
ProphetX -110
Pinnacle -111
ParlayPlay -114
Caesars -115
BetMGM -115
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -115
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -115
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -115
Rebet -116
Bally Bet -118
betPARX -118
BetRivers -118
SugarHouse -118
Sleeper -119
PrizePicks -120
betr -120
Splash Sports -137

Receptions O/U 7.5

6.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 7.5

market implies 35%

Last 5: 0%
Last 10: 20%
Last 20: 15%
Last 41: 15%

line 7.5

2 @SEA

2 vs WAS

2 @DAL

6 @NYG

4 vs DET

8 vs GB

3 @CHI

2 @TB

6 @NO

4 vs IND

5 @DET

Projected range

projection 6.5

0.0 13.9

Most likely 4.4–8.7 Typical 2.4–10.6

Odds analysis

Sportsbook Rhode Island +186
bet365 +180
DraftKings +174
Onyx Odds +174
Courtside +174
Kalshi +173
Coinbase +173
BetOnline +171
Novig +167
Fanduel +164
ProphetX +161
Bally Bet +155
betPARX +155
BetRivers +155
SugarHouse +155
ParlayPlay +152
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +150
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +150
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +150

Receptions O/U 8.5

6.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 8.5

market implies 24%

Last 5: 0%
Last 10: 0%
Last 20: 5%
Last 41: 5%

line 8.5

2 @SEA

2 vs WAS

2 @DAL

6 @NYG

4 vs DET

8 vs GB

3 @CHI

2 @TB

6 @NO

4 vs IND

5 @DET

Projected range

projection 6.5

0.0 13.9

Most likely 4.4–8.7 Typical 2.4–10.6

Odds analysis

bet365 +320
BetOnline +310
DraftKings +309
Onyx Odds +309
Courtside +309
ProphetX +281
Kalshi +280
Coinbase +280
Fanduel +280
Bally Bet +275
betPARX +275
BetRivers +275
SugarHouse +275
Novig +257
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +250
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +250
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +250
ParlayPlay +240
betr +200

Receptions O/U 9.5

6.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 9.5

market implies 15%

Last 5: 0%
Last 10: 0%
Last 20: 5%
Last 41: 5%

line 9.5

2 @SEA

2 vs WAS

2 @DAL

6 @NYG

4 vs DET

8 vs GB

3 @CHI

2 @TB

6 @NO

4 vs IND

5 @DET

Projected range

projection 6.5

0.0 13.9

Most likely 4.4–8.7 Typical 2.4–10.6

Odds analysis

BetOnline +575
Sportsbook Rhode Island +550
bet365 +550
DraftKings +515
Onyx Odds +515
Courtside +515
Bally Bet +500
betPARX +500
BetRivers +500
SugarHouse +500
Kalshi +490
Coinbase +490
Fanduel +430
ProphetX +425
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +400
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +400
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +400
Novig +376
ParlayPlay +342

Receptions O/U 10.5

6.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 10.5

market implies 8%

Last 5: 0%
Last 10: 0%
Last 20: 0%
Last 41: 0%

line 10.5

2 @SEA

2 vs WAS

2 @DAL

6 @NYG

4 vs DET

8 vs GB

3 @CHI

2 @TB

6 @NO

4 vs IND

5 @DET

Projected range

projection 6.5

0.0 13.9

Most likely 4.4–8.7 Typical 2.4–10.6

Odds analysis

BetOnline +1100
DraftKings +850
Onyx Odds +850
Bally Bet +850
betPARX +850
BetRivers +850
SugarHouse +850
Courtside +850
Kalshi +756
Coinbase +756
ProphetX +732
Fanduel +700
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +650
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +650
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +650
Novig +614
ParlayPlay +527

Receptions O/U 11.5

6.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 11.5

market implies 4%

Last 5: 0%
Last 10: 0%
Last 20: 0%
Last 41: 0%

line 11.5

2 @SEA

2 vs WAS

2 @DAL

6 @NYG

4 vs DET

8 vs GB

3 @CHI

2 @TB

6 @NO

4 vs IND

5 @DET

Projected range

projection 6.5

0.0 13.9

Most likely 4.4–8.7 Typical 2.4–10.6

Odds analysis

BetOnline +2200
DraftKings +1380
Onyx Odds +1380
Courtside +1380
Kalshi +1074
Coinbase +1074
Fanduel +1000
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +1000
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +1000
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +1000
ProphetX +969
Novig +809
ParlayPlay +699

Recent games

Opp	Date	W/L	ATT	YDS	REC	TGT	YDS	TDS	Any TD	FM
@ DET	11-01	L	0	0	5	9	33	1	1	0
vs IND	10-25	W	0	0	4	7	44	0	0	0
@ NO	10-11	W	1	-11	6	7	79	1	1	1
@ TB	09-27	W	0	0	2	2	32	0	0	0
@ CHI	09-20	W	0	0	3	6	55	0	0	0
vs GB	09-13	W	0	0	8	9	92	2	2	0
vs GB	01-04	W	1	3	8	11	101	0	0	0
vs DET	12-25	W	0	0	4	5	30	0	0	0
@ NYG	12-21	W	0	0	6	8	85	0	0	0
@ DAL	12-15	W	0	0	2	8	22	0	0	0
vs WAS	12-07	W	0	0	2	4	11	0	0	0
@ SEA	11-30	L	0	0	2	6	4	0	0	0
@ GB	11-23	L	0	0	4	6	48	0	0	0
vs CHI	11-16	L	0	0	5	9	61	0	0	0
vs BAL	11-09	L	0	0	4	12	37	0	0	0
@ DET	11-02	W	0	0	6	9	47	1	1	0
@ LAC	10-24	L	0	0	7	11	74	0	0	0
vs PHI	10-19	L	0	0	5	10	79	0	0	0
@ CLE	10-05	W	0	0	7	11	123	0	0	0
@ PIT	09-28	L	0	0	10	11	126	0	0	0
vs CIN	09-21	W	0	0	5	7	75	0	0	0
vs ATL	09-15	L	0	0	3	6	81	0	0	0
@ CHI	09-09	W	1	4	4	7	44	1	1	0
@ LAR	01-14	L	0	0	5	8	58	0	0	0
@ DET	01-06	L	0	0	3	9	54	0	0	0

FAQ

What is Justin Jefferson's receptions projection for Nov 9?

OPTIMAL projects Justin Jefferson for 6.5 receptions against the Buffalo Bills on Nov 9. Half of the projected outcomes for receptions fall between 4.4 and 8.7, and four in five between 2.4 and 10.6.

What are the best odds on Justin Jefferson Over 6.5 receptions?

The best price on Justin Jefferson Over 6.5 receptions is +108 at Novig, among 32 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +106.

How often has Justin Jefferson gone over 6.5 receptions?

Justin Jefferson has gone over 6.5 receptions in 0 of the last 5, 2 of the last 10, 5 of the last 20 and 13 of the last 41 games. The best price implies 48%.

What props does Justin Jefferson have for Nov 9?

Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for Justin Jefferson against the Buffalo Bills on Nov 9: receptions, receiving targets, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, fumbles lost and anytime TD. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Justin Jefferson?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Justin Jefferson's game logs.

Justin Jefferson Receptions

Props & Odds

Receptions O/U 3.5

Hit rate vs Over 3.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receptions O/U 4.5

Hit rate vs Over 4.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receptions O/U 5.5

Hit rate vs Over 5.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receptions O/U 6.5

Hit rate vs Over 6.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receptions O/U 7.5

Hit rate vs Over 7.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receptions O/U 8.5

Hit rate vs Over 8.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receptions O/U 9.5

Hit rate vs Over 9.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receptions O/U 10.5

Hit rate vs Over 10.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receptions O/U 11.5

Hit rate vs Over 11.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Recent games

FAQ

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