Aaron Jones Sr.

min RB NFL

Aaron Jones Sr. is projected for 8.4 rushing attempts against the Buffalo Bills on Nov 9. The best price on Over 8.5 is +110 at BetOnline, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +110. Aaron Jones Sr. has gone over 8.5 rushing attempts in 8 of the last 10 games (80%), versus the 48% the market implies.Odds updated Nov 8, 10:40 AM ET

Aaron Jones Sr. projections and betting odds for Rushing Attempts, Rushing Yards, Rushing Touchdowns, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 9

Props & Odds

Rushing Attempts O/U 8.5

8.4proj

Hit rate vs Over 8.5

market implies 48%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 80%
Last 20: 70%
Last 37: 78%

line 8.5

6 @SEA

14 vs WAS

12 @DAL

21 @NYG

18 vs DET

12 vs GB

23 @CHI

17 @TB

20 vs MIA

25 @NO

8 vs IND

5 @DET

Projected range

projection 8.4

0.0 21.8

Most likely 4.5–12.3 Typical 1.0–15.7

Odds analysis

Over 8.5 · fair +110

BetOnline +110
Optimal +110
Novig +104
Bally Bet +104
betPARX +104
BetRivers +102
SugarHouse +102
Pinnacle +100
ProphetX -101
Caesars -102
Kalshi -103
Coinbase -103
Sportsbook Rhode Island -106
Underdog -108
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -110
Fliff -110
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -110
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -110
DraftKings -112
Onyx Odds -112
Fanduel -114
Sleeper -115
betr -120
ParlayPlay -123
BetMGM -130
Splash Sports -137

Rushing Yards O/U 31.5

38.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 31.5

market implies 52%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 80%
Last 20: 70%
Last 37: 78%

line 31.5

3 @SEA

76 vs WAS

34 @DAL

85 @NYG

53 vs DET

40 vs GB

105 @CHI

58 @TB

94 vs MIA

113 @NO

26 vs IND

22 @DET

Projected range

projection 38.7

0.0 130.2

Most likely 16.5–54.3 Typical 6.7–78.4

Odds analysis

Over 31.5 · fair -101

Optimal -101
Novig -108
Pinnacle -111
Bally Bet -113
betPARX -113
ProphetX -113
BetRivers -114
SugarHouse -114
Fanduel -114
Underdog Fantasy -115
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -115
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -115
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -115
PrizePicks -120
Fliff -120
BetOnline -123
ParlayPlay -125
Sleeper -130
Rebet -134
Splash Sports -137

Rushing Touchdowns O/U 0.5

0.3proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 27%

Last 5: 20%
Last 10: 30%
Last 20: 20%
Last 37: 24%

line 0.5

0 @SEA

0 vs WAS

0 @DAL

0 @NYG

1 vs DET

1 vs GB

0 @CHI

0 @TB

0 vs MIA

1 @NO

0 vs IND

0 @DET

Projected range

projection 0.3

0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Sportsbook Rhode Island +270
Dabble +173

Receptions O/U 1.5

1.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 56%

Last 5: 80%
Last 10: 70%
Last 20: 75%
Last 37: 81%

line 1.5

4 @SEA

0 vs WAS

3 @DAL

2 @NYG

3 vs DET

0 vs GB

0 @CHI

5 @TB

4 vs MIA

3 @NO

1 vs IND

2 @DET

Projected range

projection 1.8

0.0 6.6

Most likely 0.4–3.2 Typical 0.0–4.4

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair -120

Optimal -120
Sportsbook Rhode Island -128
Novig -130
bet365 -130
DraftKings -133
Onyx Odds -133
Courtside -133
Caesars -134
Pinnacle -134
Fanatics -135
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -135
BetOnline -135
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -135
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -135
Kalshi -137
Coinbase -137
ProphetX -137
Fanduel -140
Polymarket US -140
Underdog -143
Fliff -145
Rebet -147
Bally Bet -148
BetRivers -148
SugarHouse -148
betPARX -148
ParlayPlay -149
Sleeper -154

Receiving Targets O/U 2.5

2.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 53%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 60%
Last 20: 65%
Last 37: 68%

line 2.5

4 @SEA

1 vs WAS

3 @DAL

3 @NYG

4 vs DET

1 vs GB

0 @CHI

6 @TB

8 vs MIA

3 @NO

1 vs IND

2 @DET

Projected range

projection 2.5

0.0 7.2

Most likely 1.2–3.8 Typical 0.0–5.1

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +100

Optimal +100
Underdog Fantasy -115

Receiving Yards O/U 7.5

13.6proj

Hit rate vs Over 7.5

market implies 53%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 60%
Last 20: 70%
Last 37: 78%

line 7.5

22 @SEA

0 vs WAS

31 @DAL

8 @NYG

10 vs DET

0 vs GB

0 @CHI

34 @TB

34 vs MIA

4 @NO

0 vs IND

18 @DET

Projected range

projection 13.6

0.0 76.1

Most likely 1.0–19.9 Typical 0.0–36.4

Odds analysis

Over 7.5 · fair -104

Optimal -104
Pinnacle -111
Novig -113
Caesars -113
Fanduel -114
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -115
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -115
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -115
BetOnline -116
DraftKings -118
Onyx Odds -118
Courtside -118
ProphetX -119
PrizePicks -120
BetMGM -120
betr -120
Fliff -125
ParlayPlay -127
Rebet -127
Sleeper -132

Receiving Touchdowns O/U 0.5

0.1proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

Last 5: 0%
Last 10: 0%
Last 20: 5%
Last 37: 8%

line 0.5

0 @SEA

0 vs WAS

0 @DAL

0 @NYG

0 vs DET

0 vs GB

0 @CHI

0 @TB

0 vs MIA

0 @NO

0 vs IND

0 @DET

Projected range

projection 0.1

0.0 1.0

Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–0.0

Fumbles Lost O/U 0.5

0.1proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

Last 5: 20%
Last 10: 10%
Last 20: 10%
Last 37: 14%

line 0.5

1 @SEA

0 vs WAS

0 @DAL

0 @NYG

0 vs DET

0 vs GB

0 @CHI

0 @TB

0 vs MIA

1 @NO

0 vs IND

0 @DET

Projected range

projection 0.1

0.0 1.0

Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–0.0

Rushing + Receiving Yards O/U 43.5

49.3proj

Hit rate vs Over 43.5

market implies 53%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 70%
Last 20: 70%
Last 37: 78%

line 43.5

25 @SEA

76 vs WAS

65 @DAL

93 @NYG

63 vs DET

40 vs GB

105 @CHI

92 @TB

128 vs MIA

117 @NO

26 vs IND

40 @DET

Projected range

projection 49.3

1.8 142.4

Most likely 26.1–66.9 Typical 13.9–91.3

Odds analysis

Over 43.5 · fair -100

Optimal -100
Bally Bet -113
betPARX -113
BetRivers -114
SugarHouse -114
DraftKings -115
Onyx Odds -115
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -115
BetMGM -115
Courtside -115
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -115
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -115
PrizePicks -120
Fliff -120
betr -120
Dabble -122
Sleeper -127
Novig -130
Splash Sports -137
ProphetX -198

Anytime TD O/U 0.5

0.3proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 27%

Last 5: 20%
Last 10: 30%
Last 20: 25%
Last 37: 32%

line 0.5

0 @SEA

0 vs WAS

0 @DAL

0 @NYG

1 vs DET

1 vs GB

0 @CHI

0 @TB

0 vs MIA

1 @NO

0 vs IND

0 @DET

Projected range

projection 0.3

0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +295

Optimal +295
Novig +277
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +275
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +275
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +275
Fanduel +270
Fanatics +270
ProphetX +266
DraftKings +265
Onyx Odds +265
Courtside +265
Caesars +260
bet365 +260
BetOnline +260
Polymarket US +246
Bally Bet +245
BetRivers +245
SugarHouse +245
betPARX +245
Fliff +245
Polymarket +245
Rebet +236
ParlayPlay +219
Sleeper +210
Sportsbook Rhode Island +210
betr +200
BetMGM +195
Dabble +173

lastTouchdownScorer O/U 0.5

Odds analysis

bet365 +1500
Fanduel +1300
Caesars +1300
Bally Bet +1300
BetRivers +1300
SugarHouse +1300
betPARX +1300
ProphetX +1286
Fliff +1230
DraftKings +1200
Fanatics +1200
Onyx Odds +1200
Sportsbook Rhode Island +1000

firstTouchdownScorer O/U 0.5

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +1658

Optimal +1658
Kalshi +1464
Coinbase +1464
Novig +1438
Caesars +1400
Fliff +1360
DraftKings +1300
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +1300
Onyx Odds +1300
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +1300
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +1300
Polymarket US +1213
Bally Bet +1200
BetRivers +1200
SugarHouse +1200
betPARX +1200
Rebet +1125
Fanatics +1050
BetMGM +1000
Sportsbook Rhode Island +920
ParlayPlay +715
ProphetX +573

Recent games

Opp	Date	W/L	ATT	YDS	TDS	REC	TGT	YDS	TDS	Any TD	FM
@ DET	11-01	L	5	22	0	2	2	18	0	0	0
vs IND	10-25	W	8	26	0	1	1	0	0	0	1
@ NO	10-11	W	25	113	1	3	3	4	0	1	1
vs MIA	10-04	W	20	94	0	4	8	34	0	0	1
@ TB	09-27	W	17	58	0	5	6	34	0	0	0
@ CHI	09-20	W	23	105	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
vs GB	09-13	W	12	40	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
vs DET	12-25	W	18	53	1	3	4	10	0	1	0
@ NYG	12-21	W	21	85	0	2	3	8	0	0	0
@ DAL	12-15	W	12	34	0	3	3	31	0	0	0
vs WAS	12-07	W	14	76	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
@ SEA	11-30	L	6	3	0	4	4	22	0	0	1
@ GB	11-23	L	9	41	0	3	4	16	0	0	0
vs CHI	11-16	L	16	70	0	3	6	11	0	0	1
vs BAL	11-09	L	9	47	1	3	6	22	0	1	0
@ DET	11-02	W	9	78	0	2	2	20	0	0	0
@ LAC	10-24	L	5	15	0	2	4	15	0	0	0
vs ATL	09-15	L	5	23	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
@ CHI	09-09	W	8	23	0	3	3	44	1	1	0
@ LAR	01-14	L	13	48	0	3	6	12	0	0	0
@ DET	01-06	L	10	45	0	5	6	30	0	0	0
vs GB	12-29	W	12	47	0	4	5	30	0	0	0
@ SEA	12-22	W	18	67	0	3	5	26	0	0	0
vs CHI	12-17	W	18	86	1	2	3	20	0	1	0
vs ATL	12-08	W	13	73	1	2	2	11	0	1	0

FAQ

What are Aaron Jones Sr.'s projections for Nov 9?

OPTIMAL projects Aaron Jones Sr. for 38.7 rushing yards, 1.8 receptions and 13.6 receiving yards against the Buffalo Bills on Nov 9. Half of the projected outcomes for rushing attempts fall between 4.5 and 12.3, and four in five between 1.0 and 15.7.

What are the best odds on Aaron Jones Sr. Over 8.5 rushing attempts?

The best price on Aaron Jones Sr. Over 8.5 rushing attempts is +110 at BetOnline, among 25 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +110.

How often has Aaron Jones Sr. gone over 8.5 rushing attempts?

Aaron Jones Sr. has gone over 8.5 rushing attempts in 3 of the last 5, 8 of the last 10, 14 of the last 20 and 29 of the last 37 games. The best price implies 48%.

What props does Aaron Jones Sr. have for Nov 9?

Sportsbooks have posted 10 props for Aaron Jones Sr. against the Buffalo Bills on Nov 9: rushing attempts, rushing yards, rushing touchdowns, receptions, receiving targets, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, fumbles lost and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Aaron Jones Sr.?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Aaron Jones Sr.'s game logs.

Aaron Jones Sr.

Props & Odds

Rushing Attempts O/U 8.5

Hit rate vs Over 8.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Rushing Yards O/U 31.5

Hit rate vs Over 31.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Rushing Touchdowns O/U 0.5

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receptions O/U 1.5

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receiving Targets O/U 2.5

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receiving Yards O/U 7.5

Hit rate vs Over 7.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receiving Touchdowns O/U 0.5

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

Projected range

Fumbles Lost O/U 0.5

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

Projected range

Rushing + Receiving Yards O/U 43.5

Hit rate vs Over 43.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Anytime TD O/U 0.5

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

lastTouchdownScorer O/U 0.5

Odds analysis

firstTouchdownScorer O/U 0.5

Odds analysis

Recent games

FAQ

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