Justin Jefferson Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Justin Jefferson

min WR NFL

Justin Jefferson is projected for 6.6 receptions against the Buffalo Bills on Nov 9. The best price on Over 6.5 is +105 at Kalshi, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +105. Justin Jefferson has gone over 6.5 receptions in 2 of the last 10 games (20%), versus the 49% the market implies.

Justin Jefferson projections and betting odds for Receptions, Receiving Targets, Receiving Yards, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 9

Props & Odds

Receptions O/U 6.5

6.6proj

Hit rate vs Over 6.5

market implies 49%
Last 5
0%
0 of 5
Last 10
20%
2 of 10
Last 20
25%
5 of 20
Last 41
32%
13 of 41
Last 12 games against a line of 6.5
line 6.5
2 @SEA
2 vs WAS
2 @DAL
6 @NYG
4 vs DET
8 vs GB
8 vs GB
3 @CHI
2 @TB
6 @NO
4 vs IND
5 @DET

Projected range

projection 6.6
0.0 14.1

Most likely 4.4–8.7 Typical 2.4–10.7

Odds analysis

Over 6.5 · fair +105
  • Kalshi +105
  • Coinbase +105
  • Optimal +105
  • Dabble +100
  • Novig +100
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island +100
  • bet365 +100
  • Underdog -103
  • BetOnline -105
  • Fanatics -105
  • Polymarket US -106
  • ProphetX -106
  • DraftKings -107
  • Onyx Odds -107
  • Courtside -107
  • Fanduel -108
  • Fliff -110
  • Pinnacle -111
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) -115
  • Caesars -115
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -115
  • BetMGM -115
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -115
  • Rebet -116
  • ParlayPlay -118
  • Bally Bet -118
  • BetRivers -118
  • SugarHouse -118
  • betPARX -118
  • Sleeper -119
  • PrizePicks -120
  • betr -120
  • Splash Sports -137

Recent games

Opp Date W/L ATT YDS TDS REC TGT YDS TDS Any TD FM
@ DET 11-01 L 0 0 0 5 9 33 1 1 0
vs IND 10-25 W 0 0 0 4 7 44 0 0 0
@ NO 10-11 W 1 -11 0 6 7 79 1 1 1
@ TB 09-27 W 0 0 0 2 2 32 0 0 0
@ CHI 09-20 W 0 0 0 3 6 55 0 0 0
vs GB 09-13 W 0 0 0 8 9 92 2 2 0
vs GB 01-04 W 1 3 0 8 11 101 0 0 0
vs DET 12-25 W 0 0 0 4 5 30 0 0 0
@ NYG 12-21 W 0 0 0 6 8 85 0 0 0
@ DAL 12-15 W 0 0 0 2 8 22 0 0 0
vs WAS 12-07 W 0 0 0 2 4 11 0 0 0
@ SEA 11-30 L 0 0 0 2 6 4 0 0 0
@ GB 11-23 L 0 0 0 4 6 48 0 0 0
vs CHI 11-16 L 0 0 0 5 9 61 0 0 0
vs BAL 11-09 L 0 0 0 4 12 37 0 0 0
@ DET 11-02 W 0 0 0 6 9 47 1 1 0
@ LAC 10-24 L 0 0 0 7 11 74 0 0 0
vs PHI 10-19 L 0 0 0 5 10 79 0 0 0
@ CLE 10-05 W 0 0 0 7 11 123 0 0 0
@ PIT 09-28 L 0 0 0 10 11 126 0 0 0
vs CIN 09-21 W 0 0 0 5 7 75 0 0 0
vs ATL 09-15 L 0 0 0 3 6 81 0 0 0
@ CHI 09-09 W 1 4 0 4 7 44 1 1 0
@ LAR 01-14 L 0 0 0 5 8 58 0 0 0
@ DET 01-06 L 0 0 0 3 9 54 0 0 0

FAQ

What are Justin Jefferson's projections for Nov 9?

OPTIMAL projects Justin Jefferson for 6.6 receptions and 84.9 receiving yards against the Buffalo Bills on Nov 9. Half of the projected outcomes for receptions fall between 4.4 and 8.7, and four in five between 2.4 and 10.7.

What are the best odds on Justin Jefferson Over 6.5 receptions?

The best price on Justin Jefferson Over 6.5 receptions is +105 at Kalshi, among 32 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +105.

How often has Justin Jefferson gone over 6.5 receptions?

Justin Jefferson has gone over 6.5 receptions in 0 of the last 5, 2 of the last 10, 5 of the last 20 and 13 of the last 41 games. The best price implies 49%.

What props does Justin Jefferson have for Nov 9?

Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for Justin Jefferson against the Buffalo Bills on Nov 9: receptions, receiving targets, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, fumbles lost and anytime TD. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Justin Jefferson?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Justin Jefferson's game logs.

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