Joe Burrow Passing Yards
Joe Burrow is projected for 282.4 passing yards. The best price on Over 276.5 is -125 at Pinnacle, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -113. Joe Burrow has gone over 276.5 passing yards in 6 of the last 10 games (60%), versus the 56% the market implies.
Joe Burrow projections and betting odds for Passing Yards. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.
Props & Odds
Passing Yards O/U 276.5
282.4projHit rate vs Over 276.5
market implies 56%- Last 5
- 80% 4 of 5
- Last 10
- 60% 6 of 10
- Last 20
- 50% 10 of 20
- Last 32
- 47% 15 of 32
Projected range
projection 282.4Most likely 231.8–333.0 Typical 186.3–378.5
Odds analysis
Over 276.5 · fair -113-
Optimal
-113
-
Pinnacle -125
Recent games
| Opp | Date | W/L | CMP | ATT | YDS | TDS | INT | ATT | YDS | TDS | Any TD | FM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs TEN | 11-01 | W | 38 | 48 | 462 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ BAL | 10-25 | W | 22 | 30 | 292 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ MIA | 10-11 | W | 23 | 32 | 190 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs JAX | 10-04 | L | 39 | 54 | 428 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ PIT | 09-27 | L | 28 | 37 | 282 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ HOU | 09-20 | W | 20 | 31 | 207 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs TB | 09-13 | W | 25 | 35 | 254 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs CLE | 01-04 | L | 29 | 39 | 236 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs ARI | 12-28 | W | 24 | 31 | 305 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ MIA | 12-21 | W | 25 | 32 | 309 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs BAL | 12-14 | L | 25 | 39 | 225 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ BUF | 12-07 | L | 25 | 36 | 284 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ BAL | 11-28 | W | 24 | 46 | 261 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs JAX | 09-14 | W | 7 | 13 | 76 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ CLE | 09-07 | W | 14 | 23 | 113 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ PIT | 01-05 | W | 37 | 46 | 277 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs DEN | 12-28 | W | 39 | 49 | 412 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| vs CLE | 12-22 | W | 23 | 30 | 252 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ TEN | 12-15 | W | 26 | 37 | 271 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ DAL | 12-10 | W | 33 | 44 | 369 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs PIT | 12-01 | L | 28 | 38 | 309 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ LAC | 11-18 | L | 28 | 50 | 356 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ BAL | 11-08 | L | 34 | 56 | 428 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs OAK | 11-03 | W | 27 | 39 | 251 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| vs PHI | 10-27 | L | 26 | 37 | 234 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FAQ
What is Joe Burrow's passing yards projection?
OPTIMAL projects Joe Burrow for 282.4 passing yards. Half of the projected outcomes for passing yards fall between 231.8 and 333.0, and four in five between 186.3 and 378.5.
What are the best odds on Joe Burrow Over 276.5 passing yards?
The best price on Joe Burrow Over 276.5 passing yards is -125 at Pinnacle. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -113.
How often has Joe Burrow gone over 276.5 passing yards?
Joe Burrow has gone over 276.5 passing yards in 4 of the last 5, 6 of the last 10, 10 of the last 20 and 15 of the last 32 games. The best price implies 56%.
What props does Joe Burrow have?
Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for Joe Burrow: completions, passing attempts, passing yards, passing touchdowns, interceptions and rushing yards. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.
How does OPTIMAL project Joe Burrow?
OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Joe Burrow's game logs.