Joe Burrow

cin QB NFL

Joe Burrow is projected for 26.0 completions against the Atlanta Falcons on Nov 8. The best price on Over 25.5 is -104 at Sportsbook Rhode Island, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -111. Joe Burrow has gone over 25.5 completions in 4 of the last 10 games (40%), versus the 51% the market implies.Odds updated Nov 8, 6:40 AM ET

Joe Burrow projections and betting odds for Completions, Passing Attempts, Passing Yards, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 8

Props & Odds

Completions O/U 25.5

26.0proj

Hit rate vs Over 25.5

market implies 51%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 40%
Last 20: 40%
Last 32: 47%

line 25.5

25 @BUF

25 vs BAL

25 @MIA

24 vs ARI

29 vs CLE

25 vs TB

20 @HOU

28 @PIT

39 vs JAX

23 @MIA

22 @BAL

38 vs TEN

Projected range

projection 26.0

10.5 41.5

Most likely 21.5–30.5 Typical 17.4–34.5

Odds analysis

Over 25.5 · fair -111

Sportsbook Rhode Island -104 +1.6%
Bally Bet -110
BetRivers -110
SugarHouse -110
betPARX -110
bet365 -110
Optimal -111
Novig -113
Kalshi -116
Coinbase -116
betr -120
ProphetX -121
Dabble -122
BetOnline -122
BetMGM -125
Pinnacle -126
DraftKings -130
Onyx Odds -130
theScore -130
Courtside -130
Fliff -135
Fanduel -136
Splash Sports -137
Sleeper -143
ParlayPlay -143

Passing Attempts O/U 36.5

36.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 36.5

market implies 52%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 40%
Last 20: 50%
Last 32: 53%

line 36.5

36 @BUF

39 vs BAL

32 @MIA

31 vs ARI

39 vs CLE

35 vs TB

31 @HOU

37 @PIT

54 vs JAX

32 @MIA

30 @BAL

48 vs TEN

Projected range

projection 36.8

18.5 55.1

Most likely 31.5–42.1 Typical 26.7–46.9

Odds analysis

Over 36.5 · fair -107

Optimal -107
Sportsbook Rhode Island -108
betPARX -109
Kalshi -112
Coinbase -112
BetOnline -114
ProphetX -116
Underdog -117
Novig -117
Caesars -118
betr -120
DraftKings -121
Onyx Odds -121
Courtside -121
Dabble -122
theScore -125
Fliff -125
Sleeper -132
ParlayPlay -132
Splash Sports -137

Passing Yards O/U 299.5

280.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 299.5

market implies 40%

Last 5: 40%
Last 10: 40%
Last 20: 30%
Last 32: 34%

line 299.5

284 @BUF

225 vs BAL

309 @MIA

305 vs ARI

236 vs CLE

254 vs TB

207 @HOU

282 @PIT

428 vs JAX

190 @MIA

292 @BAL

462 vs TEN

Projected range

projection 280.7

94.4 467.0

Most likely 226.7–334.7 Typical 178.1–383.3

Odds analysis

Over 299.5 · fair +153

Optimal +153
Fanduel +152
Novig +144
DraftKings +142
Onyx Odds +142
Courtside +142
Caesars +140
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +140
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +140
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +140
Kalshi +140
Coinbase +140
Sportsbook Rhode Island +138
Bally Bet +138
BetRivers +138
SugarHouse +138
betPARX +138
BetMGM +135
bet365 +135
Underdog +134
ParlayPlay +132
Polymarket +131
Polymarket US +131
ProphetX +130

Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5

2.3proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 39%

Last 5: 80%
Last 10: 60%
Last 20: 55%
Last 32: 53%

line 2.5

4 @BUF

0 vs BAL

4 @MIA

2 vs ARI

3 vs CLE

1 vs TB

2 @HOU

3 @PIT

1 vs JAX

4 @MIA

4 @BAL

5 vs TEN

Projected range

projection 2.3

0.0 6.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 0.0–4.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +153

Sportsbook Rhode Island +154 +0.2%
Optimal +153
Bally Bet +150
BetRivers +150
SugarHouse +150
betPARX +150
BetMGM +145
Caesars +144
Novig +144
Fanduel +142
ProphetX +142
BetOnline +141
theScore +140
bet365 +140
Kalshi +140
Coinbase +140
DraftKings +138
Onyx Odds +138
Courtside +138
Pinnacle +137
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +135
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +135
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +135
Underdog +134
Polymarket US +131
Fanatics +130
Fliff +130
ParlayPlay +127
Sleeper +121
Dabble +118
Splash Sports -137

Interceptions O/U 0.5

0.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 48%

Last 5: 40%
Last 10: 40%
Last 20: 45%
Last 32: 44%

line 0.5

2 @BUF

2 vs BAL

0 @MIA

0 vs ARI

1 vs CLE

1 vs TB

0 @HOU

0 @PIT

2 vs JAX

0 @MIA

0 @BAL

3 vs TEN

Projected range

projection 0.7

0.0 3.0

Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–2.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +103

Novig +108 +1.2%
Optimal +103
ProphetX -106
Kalshi -107
Coinbase -107
Sportsbook Rhode Island -108
Bally Bet -108
betPARX -108
bet365 -110
Underdog -112
Caesars -114
BetOnline -116
DraftKings -117
Onyx Odds -117
Pinnacle -117
PrizePicks -120
theScore -120
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -120
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -120
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -120
Fanduel -120
betr -120
Dabble -122
BetMGM -125
Fliff -125
ParlayPlay -128
Sleeper -132
Splash Sports -137

Rushing Attempts O/U 2.5

2.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 53%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 50%
Last 20: 35%
Last 32: 41%

line 2.5

0 @BUF

2 vs BAL

2 @MIA

3 vs ARI

2 vs CLE

5 vs TB

1 @HOU

2 @PIT

3 vs JAX

4 @MIA

2 @BAL

3 vs TEN

Projected range

projection 2.5

0.0 8.6

Most likely 0.7–4.3 Typical 0.0–5.8

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +100

Optimal +100
Underdog Fantasy -115
Sportsbook Rhode Island -115
Dabble -122
ParlayPlay -128

Rushing Yards O/U 8.5

13.3proj

Hit rate vs Over 8.5

market implies 53%

Last 5: 80%
Last 10: 60%
Last 20: 40%
Last 32: 50%

line 8.5

0 @BUF

5 vs BAL

6 @MIA

2 vs ARI

17 vs CLE

20 vs TB

-1 @HOU

13 @PIT

6 vs JAX

10 @MIA

12 @BAL

10 vs TEN

Projected range

projection 13.3

0.0 67.9

Most likely 1.7–19.6 Typical 0.0–33.9

Odds analysis

Over 8.5 · fair -105

Optimal -105
Novig -111
ProphetX -112
DraftKings -113
Onyx Odds -113
Courtside -113
Fanduel -113
Fliff -115
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -115
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -115
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -115
Pinnacle -119
PrizePicks -120
betr -120
DraftKings Pick6 -122
Caesars -122
BetOnline -123
ParlayPlay -123
Sleeper -125
Rebet -134
Splash Sports -137

Rushing Touchdowns O/U 0.5

0.2proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 13%

Last 5: 40%
Last 10: 20%
Last 20: 15%
Last 32: 13%

line 0.5

0 @BUF

0 vs BAL

0 @MIA

0 vs ARI

0 vs CLE

0 vs TB

0 @HOU

0 @PIT

1 vs JAX

0 @MIA

0 @BAL

1 vs TEN

Projected range

projection 0.2

0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Sportsbook Rhode Island +700
Dabble +355

Fumbles Lost O/U 0.5

0.2proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

Last 5: 0%
Last 10: 0%
Last 20: 0%
Last 32: 0%

line 0.5

0 @BUF

0 vs BAL

0 @MIA

0 vs ARI

0 vs CLE

0 vs TB

0 @HOU

0 @PIT

0 vs JAX

0 @MIA

0 @BAL

0 vs TEN

Projected range

projection 0.2

0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Passing + Rushing Yards O/U 289.5

292.0proj

Hit rate vs Over 289.5

market implies 53%

Last 5: 80%
Last 10: 60%
Last 20: 40%
Last 32: 41%

line 289.5

284 @BUF

230 vs BAL

315 @MIA

307 vs ARI

253 vs CLE

274 vs TB

206 @HOU

295 @PIT

434 vs JAX

200 @MIA

304 @BAL

472 vs TEN

Projected range

projection 292.0

103.4 480.5

Most likely 237.3–346.6 Typical 188.1–395.8

Odds analysis

Over 289.5 · fair +100

Optimal +100
Underdog Fantasy -115
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -115
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -115
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -115
DraftKings -116
Onyx Odds -116
Courtside -116
ParlayPlay -127
Novig -335
ProphetX -339

Anytime TD O/U 0.5

0.1proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 13%

Last 5: 40%
Last 10: 20%
Last 20: 15%
Last 32: 13%

line 0.5

0 @BUF

0 vs BAL

0 @MIA

0 vs ARI

0 vs CLE

0 vs TB

0 @HOU

0 @PIT

1 vs JAX

0 @MIA

0 @BAL

1 vs TEN

Projected range

projection 0.1

0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +616

Sportsbook Rhode Island +700 +1.5%
Optimal +616
ProphetX +603
Fanatics +600
Polymarket +585
BetMGM +575
Novig +567
DraftKings Pick6 +555
Fanduel +550
DraftKings +550
Onyx Odds +550
Courtside +550
BetOnline +550
Caesars +525
bet365 +525
Polymarket US +517
Rebet +500
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +500
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +500
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +500
Fliff +485
Bally Bet +450
BetRivers +450
SugarHouse +450
betPARX +450
ParlayPlay +401
Dabble +355

firstTouchdownScorer O/U 0.5

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +3536

ProphetX +3860 +0.2%
Optimal +3536
DraftKings +3500
Onyx Odds +3500
Novig +3348
Caesars +3300
Kalshi +3021
Coinbase +3021
theScore +3000
BetMGM +3000
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +3000
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +3000
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +3000
Polymarket US +2952
DraftKings Pick6 +2848
Rebet +2800
Fliff +2580
Fanatics +2500
Sportsbook Rhode Island +2000
Bally Bet +1800
BetRivers +1800
SugarHouse +1800
betPARX +1800
ParlayPlay +1788

lastTouchdownScorer O/U 0.5

Odds analysis

bet365 +3300
Fliff +3300
ProphetX +3068
DraftKings +3000
Onyx Odds +3000
Fanatics +2800
Caesars +2800
Fanduel +2700
theScore +2200
Sportsbook Rhode Island +1900

Recent games

Opp	Date	W/L	CMP	ATT	YDS	TDS	INT	ATT	YDS	TDS	Any TD
vs TEN	11-01	W	38	48	462	5	3	3	10	1	1
@ BAL	10-25	W	22	30	292	4	0	2	12	0	0
@ MIA	10-11	W	23	32	190	4	0	4	10	0	0
vs JAX	10-04	L	39	54	428	1	2	3	6	1	1
@ PIT	09-27	L	28	37	282	3	0	2	13	0	0
@ HOU	09-20	W	20	31	207	2	0	1	-1	0	0
vs TB	09-13	W	25	35	254	1	1	5	20	0	0
vs CLE	01-04	L	29	39	236	3	1	2	17	0	0
vs ARI	12-28	W	24	31	305	2	0	3	2	0	0
@ MIA	12-21	W	25	32	309	4	0	2	6	0	0
vs BAL	12-14	L	25	39	225	0	2	2	5	0	0
@ BUF	12-07	L	25	36	284	4	2	0	0	0	0
@ BAL	11-28	W	24	46	261	2	0	3	8	0	0
vs JAX	09-14	W	7	13	76	1	0	0	0	0	0
@ CLE	09-07	W	14	23	113	1	0	2	3	0	0
@ PIT	01-05	W	37	46	277	1	1	1	-1	0	0
vs DEN	12-28	W	39	49	412	3	0	4	25	1	1
vs CLE	12-22	W	23	30	252	3	0	2	19	0	0
@ TEN	12-15	W	26	37	271	3	2	0	0	0	0
@ DAL	12-10	W	33	44	369	3	1	2	-2	0	0
vs PIT	12-01	L	28	38	309	3	1	2	9	0	0
@ LAC	11-18	L	28	50	356	3	0	2	28	0	0
@ BAL	11-08	L	34	56	428	4	0	2	6	0	0
vs OAK	11-03	W	27	39	251	5	1	3	11	0	0
vs PHI	10-27	L	26	37	234	1	1	3	15	0	0

FAQ

What are Joe Burrow's projections for Nov 8?

OPTIMAL projects Joe Burrow for 280.7 passing yards, 2.3 passing touchdowns and 13.3 rushing yards against the Atlanta Falcons on Nov 8. Half of the projected outcomes for completions fall between 21.5 and 30.5, and four in five between 17.4 and 34.5.

What are the best odds on Joe Burrow Over 25.5 completions?

The best price on Joe Burrow Over 25.5 completions is -104 at Sportsbook Rhode Island, among 24 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -111.

How often has Joe Burrow gone over 25.5 completions?

Joe Burrow has gone over 25.5 completions in 3 of the last 5, 4 of the last 10, 8 of the last 20 and 15 of the last 32 games. The best price implies 51%.

What props does Joe Burrow have for Nov 8?

Sportsbooks have posted 11 props for Joe Burrow against the Atlanta Falcons on Nov 8: completions, passing attempts, passing yards, passing touchdowns, interceptions, rushing attempts, rushing yards, rushing touchdowns and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Joe Burrow?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Joe Burrow's game logs.

Joe Burrow

Props & Odds

Completions O/U 25.5

Hit rate vs Over 25.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Passing Attempts O/U 36.5

Hit rate vs Over 36.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Passing Yards O/U 299.5

Hit rate vs Over 299.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Interceptions O/U 0.5

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Rushing Attempts O/U 2.5

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Rushing Yards O/U 8.5

Hit rate vs Over 8.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Rushing Touchdowns O/U 0.5

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Fumbles Lost O/U 0.5

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

Projected range

Passing + Rushing Yards O/U 289.5

Hit rate vs Over 289.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Anytime TD O/U 0.5

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

firstTouchdownScorer O/U 0.5

Odds analysis

lastTouchdownScorer O/U 0.5

Odds analysis

Recent games

FAQ

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