Jake Ferguson Receptions Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Jake Ferguson Receptions

dal TE NFL

Jake Ferguson is projected for 2.4 receptions. The best price on Over 2.5 is +133 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +142. Jake Ferguson has gone over 2.5 receptions in 4 of the last 10 games (40%), versus the 43% the market implies.

Jake Ferguson projections and betting odds for Receptions. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 8

Props & Odds

Receptions O/U 2.5

2.4proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 43%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
40%
4 of 10
Last 20
60%
12 of 20
Last 39
72%
28 of 39
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
2 vs MIN
3 vs LAC
1 @WAS
1 @NYG
2 @NYG
4 vs WAS
3 vs BAL
3 @HOU
3 vs TB
2 @GB
0 @PHI
0 vs ARI

Projected range

projection 2.4
0.0 6.9

Most likely 1.0–3.7 Typical 0.0–4.8

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +142
  • Optimal +142
  • Novig +133
  • ProphetX +132
  • Kalshi +124
  • Coinbase +124
  • Fanduel +120
  • Underdog +119
  • Caesars +118
  • DraftKings +116
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island +116
  • Onyx Odds +116
  • Courtside +116
  • Polymarket US +116
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) +115
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +115
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +115
  • Fanatics +110
  • Fliff +110
  • ParlayPlay +107
  • Sleeper +104
  • betr -120

Recent games

Opp Date W/L ATT YDS TDS REC TGT YDS TDS Any TD FM
vs ARI 11-01 L 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ PHI 10-27 W 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ GB 10-19 L 0 0 0 2 3 13 0 0 0
vs TB 10-09 L 0 0 0 3 6 19 0 0 0
@ HOU 10-04 W 0 0 0 3 4 11 0 0 0
vs BAL 09-27 L 0 0 0 3 5 23 1 1 1
vs WAS 09-20 W 0 0 0 4 4 43 2 2 0
@ NYG 09-14 L 0 0 0 2 2 6 0 0 0
@ NYG 01-04 L 0 0 0 1 2 5 0 0 0
@ WAS 12-25 W 0 0 0 1 2 6 1 1 0
vs LAC 12-21 L 0 0 0 3 4 19 0 0 0
vs MIN 12-15 L 0 0 0 2 4 16 0 0 0
@ DET 12-05 L 0 0 0 5 7 58 0 0 1
vs KC 11-27 W 0 0 0 5 6 36 0 0 0
vs PHI 11-23 W 1 1 0 5 6 60 0 0 1
@ OAK 11-18 W 0 0 0 4 5 16 1 1 0
vs ARI 11-04 L 0 0 0 5 7 50 0 0 1
@ DEN 10-26 L 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
vs WAS 10-19 W 0 0 0 7 7 29 2 2 0
@ CAR 10-12 L 0 0 0 3 3 33 1 1 0
@ NYJ 10-05 W 0 0 0 7 9 49 2 2 0
vs GB 09-29 L 0 0 0 7 7 40 1 1 0
@ CHI 09-21 L 0 0 0 13 14 82 0 0 0
vs NYG 09-14 W 0 0 0 9 12 78 0 0 0
@ PHI 09-05 L 0 0 0 5 6 23 0 0 0

FAQ

What is Jake Ferguson's receptions projection?

OPTIMAL projects Jake Ferguson for 2.4 receptions. Half of the projected outcomes for receptions fall between 1.0 and 3.7, and four in five between 0.0 and 4.8.

What are the best odds on Jake Ferguson Over 2.5 receptions?

The best price on Jake Ferguson Over 2.5 receptions is +133 at Novig, among 20 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +142.

How often has Jake Ferguson gone over 2.5 receptions?

Jake Ferguson has gone over 2.5 receptions in 2 of the last 5, 4 of the last 10, 12 of the last 20 and 28 of the last 39 games. The best price implies 43%.

What props does Jake Ferguson have?

Sportsbooks have posted 5 props for Jake Ferguson: receptions, receiving targets, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns and anytime TD. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Jake Ferguson?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Jake Ferguson's game logs.

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