Jake Ferguson Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Jake Ferguson

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Jake Ferguson is projected for 3.5 receptions. The best price on Over 3.5 is +122 at bet365, against a fair line of -113. He has cleared 3.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (50%), versus the 45% the market implies.

Jake Ferguson projections and betting odds for Receptions, Receiving Yards, Anytime TD. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 27

Props & Odds

Receptions O/U 3.5

3.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 3.5

market implies 45%
Last 5
20%
1 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
60%
12 of 20
Last 33
58%
19 of 33
Last 12 games against a line of 3.5
line 3.5
0 @DEN
5 vs ARI
4 @OAK
5 vs PHI
5 vs KC
5 @DET
2 vs MIN
3 vs LAC
1 @WAS
1 @NYG
2 @NYG
4 vs WAS

Projected range

projection 3.5
0.0 9.9

Most likely 1.7–5.4 Typical 0.0–7.0

Odds analysis

Over 3.5 · fair -113
  • bet365 +122 +8.0%
  • Fair odds -113
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -130
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) -130
  • Fliff -130
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -130
  • Fanduel -130
  • Sleeper -139
  • Underdog Fantasy -141
  • Novig -141
  • ProphetX -146

Recent games

Opp Date W/L ATT YDS TDS REC TGT YDS TDS Any TD FM
vs WAS 09-20 W 0 0 0 4 4 43 2 2 0
@ NYG 09-14 L 0 0 0 2 2 6 0 0 0
@ NYG 01-04 L 0 0 0 1 2 5 0 0 0
@ WAS 12-25 W 0 0 0 1 2 6 1 1 0
vs LAC 12-21 L 0 0 0 3 4 19 0 0 0
vs MIN 12-15 L 0 0 0 2 4 16 0 0 0
@ DET 12-05 L 0 0 0 5 7 58 0 0 1
vs KC 11-27 W 0 0 0 5 6 36 0 0 0
vs PHI 11-23 W 1 1 0 5 6 60 0 0 1
@ OAK 11-18 W 0 0 0 4 5 16 1 1 0
vs ARI 11-04 L 0 0 0 5 7 50 0 0 1
@ DEN 10-26 L 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
vs WAS 10-19 W 0 0 0 7 7 29 2 2 0
@ CAR 10-12 L 0 0 0 3 3 33 1 1 0
@ NYJ 10-05 W 0 0 0 7 9 49 2 2 0
vs GB 09-29 L 0 0 0 7 7 40 1 1 0
@ CHI 09-21 L 0 0 0 13 14 82 0 0 0
vs NYG 09-14 W 0 0 0 9 12 78 0 0 0
@ PHI 09-05 L 0 0 0 5 6 23 0 0 0
vs WAS 01-05 L 0 0 0 2 4 12 0 0 0
@ PHI 12-29 L 0 0 0 3 5 18 0 0 1
vs TB 12-23 W 0 0 0 6 9 40 0 0 0
@ CAR 12-15 W 0 0 0 2 4 23 0 0 0
vs CIN 12-10 L 0 0 0 3 6 32 0 0 0
vs HOU 11-19 L 0 0 0 1 1 11 0 0 0

FAQ

What betting props are available for Jake Ferguson?

Jake Ferguson has a variety of NFL player props available on game day, including rushing yards and anytime touchdowns. Visit this page when games are upcoming to see all available props with odds from every major sportsbook.

Where can I find Jake Ferguson betting odds and projections?

This page is your complete Jake Ferguson betting hub. It includes updated odds from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks, plus projections and historical game logs to help you make informed betting decisions.

How do I find value bets for Jake Ferguson props?

Optimal Bet compares odds across every major sportsbook for each Jake Ferguson prop. The key is top-down analysis: when one book's line is significantly different from the consensus across other books, that's a potential value opportunity. Use the projections alongside game logs to confirm the edge.