Matthew Boyd Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Matthew Boyd Earned Runs

chc SP MLB

Matthew Boyd is projected for 1.9 earned runs. The best price on Over 1.5 is -120 at Sportsbook Rhode Island, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -117. Matthew Boyd has gone over 1.5 earned runs in 7 of the last 10 games (70%), versus the 55% the market implies.

Matthew Boyd projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 29

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 1.5

1.9proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 55%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
70%
7 of 10
Last 20
60%
12 of 20
Last 57
63%
36 of 57
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
0 @STL
4 vs LAD
2 @KC
7 vs STL
4 @SEA
1 @ARI
3 vs MIL
3 @MIL
4 vs PIT
1 @CIN
1 vs MIA
4 @SD

Projected range

projection 1.9
0.0 6.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 0.0–4.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair -117
  • Optimal -117
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -120
  • BetMGM -120
  • betr -120
  • Fanatics -125
  • Pinnacle -130
  • Novig -133
  • DraftKings -133
  • Onyx Odds -133
  • Courtside -133
  • BetOnline -135
  • Splash Sports -137
  • Caesars -140
  • ProphetX -141
  • Fliff -145
  • Sleeper -147
  • Polymarket US -148

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ SD 09-30 L 0 4.0 12 5 4 1 4
vs MIA 09-24 W 1 7.0 21 5 3 2 1
@ CIN 09-19 W 1 5.0 15 2 4 2 1
vs PIT 09-13 L 0 5.3 16 7 3 2 4
@ MIL 09-07 L 0 7.0 21 5 7 2 3
vs MIL 09-01 L 0 5.3 16 7 3 1 3
@ ARI 08-26 L 0 6.0 18 3 5 2 1
@ SEA 08-22 L 0 6.0 18 6 3 2 4
vs STL 08-15 L 0 5.3 16 5 2 3 7
@ KC 08-09 W 1 7.0 21 5 3 3 2
vs LAD 08-04 W 1 6.7 20 9 3 1 4
@ STL 07-29 L 0 7.0 21 4 5 2 0
@ PIT 07-24 W 0 7.0 21 7 4 3 1
vs MIN 07-18 W 1 6.0 18 3 4 1 1
@ CIN 07-12 W 1 6.3 19 6 3 1 4
@ BAL 07-07 W 1 6.0 18 3 7 2 0
vs SD 07-01 W 1 5.0 15 8 2 0 3
@ NYM 06-25 W 0 4.7 14 4 4 4 0
vs ARI 05-03 W 1 6.0 18 4 5 1 2
@ SD 04-28 L 0 4.0 12 8 4 2 5
vs PHI 04-22 W 0 4.7 14 5 5 0 2
vs LAA 04-01 W 1 5.7 17 2 10 2 1
vs WSH 03-26 L 0 3.7 11 6 7 1 6
vs MIL 10-10 W 0 4.7 14 2 6 3 0
@ MIL 10-04 L 0 0.7 2 4 1 1 2

FAQ

What is Matthew Boyd's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Matthew Boyd for 1.9 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 1.0 and 3.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 4.0.

What are the best odds on Matthew Boyd Over 1.5 earned runs?

The best price on Matthew Boyd Over 1.5 earned runs is -120 at Sportsbook Rhode Island, among 16 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -117.

How often has Matthew Boyd gone over 1.5 earned runs?

Matthew Boyd has gone over 1.5 earned runs in 3 of the last 5, 7 of the last 10, 12 of the last 20 and 36 of the last 57 games. The best price implies 55%.

What props does Matthew Boyd have?

Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for Matthew Boyd: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks, earned runs and record a win. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Matthew Boyd?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Matthew Boyd's game logs.

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