Matthew Boyd Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Matthew Boyd Earned Runs

chc SP MLB

Matthew Boyd is projected for 1.7 earned runs. The best price on Over 1.5 is -108 at Sportsbook Rhode Island, against a fair line of +102. He has cleared 1.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (70%), versus the 52% the market implies.

Matthew Boyd projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 24

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 1.5

1.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 52%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
70%
7 of 10
Last 20
60%
12 of 20
Last 55
64%
35 of 55
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
1 vs MIN
1 @PIT
0 @STL
4 vs LAD
2 @KC
7 vs STL
4 @SEA
1 @ARI
3 vs MIL
3 @MIL
4 vs PIT
1 @CIN

Projected range

projection 1.7
0.0 5.0

Most likely 1.0–2.0 Typical 0.0–3.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair +102
  • Fair odds +102
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -108
  • Underdog Fantasy -115
  • Fanatics -115
  • ProphetX -120
  • PrizePicks -120
  • betr -120
  • Dabble -122
  • Fliff -125
  • Sleeper -128
  • Splash Sports -137

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ CIN 09-19 W 1 5.0 15 2 4 2 1
vs PIT 09-13 L 0 5.3 16 7 3 2 4
@ MIL 09-07 L 0 7.0 21 5 7 2 3
vs MIL 09-01 L 0 5.3 16 7 3 1 3
@ ARI 08-26 L 0 6.0 18 3 5 2 1
@ SEA 08-22 L 0 6.0 18 6 3 2 4
vs STL 08-15 L 0 5.3 16 5 2 3 7
@ KC 08-09 W 1 7.0 21 5 3 3 2
vs LAD 08-04 W 1 6.7 20 9 3 1 4
@ STL 07-29 L 0 7.0 21 4 5 2 0
@ PIT 07-24 W 0 7.0 21 7 4 3 1
vs MIN 07-18 W 1 6.0 18 3 4 1 1
@ CIN 07-12 W 1 6.3 19 6 3 1 4
@ BAL 07-07 W 1 6.0 18 3 7 2 0
vs SD 07-01 W 1 5.0 15 8 2 0 3
@ NYM 06-25 W 0 4.7 14 4 4 4 0
vs ARI 05-03 W 1 6.0 18 4 5 1 2
@ SD 04-28 L 0 4.0 12 8 4 2 5
vs PHI 04-22 W 0 4.7 14 5 5 0 2
vs LAA 04-01 W 1 5.7 17 2 10 2 1
vs WSH 03-26 L 0 3.7 11 6 7 1 6
vs MIL 10-10 W 0 4.7 14 2 6 3 0
@ MIL 10-04 L 0 0.7 2 4 1 1 2
vs SD 09-30 W 0 4.3 13 4 2 1 1
vs NYM 09-25 W 1 5.3 16 2 3 1 2

FAQ

Where can I find Matthew Boyd Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Matthew Boyd Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Matthew Boyd Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Matthew Boyd's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Matthew Boyd Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Matthew Boyd Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Matthew Boyd Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Matthew Boyd's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.