Matthew Boyd Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Matthew Boyd

chc SP MLB

Matthew Boyd is projected for 3.8 strikeouts. The best price on Over 3.5 is +113 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +115. Matthew Boyd has gone over 3.5 strikeouts in 4 of the last 10 games (40%), versus the 47% the market implies.

Matthew Boyd projections and betting odds for Strikeouts, Outs, Hits Allowed, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 29

Props & Odds

Strikeouts O/U 3.5

3.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 3.5

market implies 47%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
40%
4 of 10
Last 20
55%
11 of 20
Last 57
61%
35 of 57
Last 12 games against a line of 3.5
line 3.5
5 @STL
3 vs LAD
3 @KC
2 vs STL
3 @SEA
5 @ARI
3 vs MIL
7 @MIL
3 vs PIT
4 @CIN
3 vs MIA
4 @SD

Projected range

projection 3.8
0.0 11.3

Most likely 1.6–5.9 Typical 0.0–7.9

Odds analysis

Over 3.5 · fair +115
  • Optimal +115
  • Novig +113
  • Polymarket US +110
  • Underdog Fantasy +108
  • Caesars +108
  • BookMaker +106
  • Pinnacle +105
  • Courtside +103
  • DraftKings +103
  • Onyx Odds +103
  • theScore +100
  • Fanatics +100
  • ProphetX -101
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -105
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) -105
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -105
  • BetOnline -105
  • BetMGM -105
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -106
  • Fanduel -106
  • Rebet -109
  • Fliff -110
  • Sleeper -112
  • PrizePicks -120
  • betr -120
  • DraftKings Pick6 -122

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ SD 09-30 L 0 4.0 12 5 4 1 4
vs MIA 09-24 W 1 7.0 21 5 3 2 1
@ CIN 09-19 W 1 5.0 15 2 4 2 1
vs PIT 09-13 L 0 5.3 16 7 3 2 4
@ MIL 09-07 L 0 7.0 21 5 7 2 3
vs MIL 09-01 L 0 5.3 16 7 3 1 3
@ ARI 08-26 L 0 6.0 18 3 5 2 1
@ SEA 08-22 L 0 6.0 18 6 3 2 4
vs STL 08-15 L 0 5.3 16 5 2 3 7
@ KC 08-09 W 1 7.0 21 5 3 3 2
vs LAD 08-04 W 1 6.7 20 9 3 1 4
@ STL 07-29 L 0 7.0 21 4 5 2 0
@ PIT 07-24 W 0 7.0 21 7 4 3 1
vs MIN 07-18 W 1 6.0 18 3 4 1 1
@ CIN 07-12 W 1 6.3 19 6 3 1 4
@ BAL 07-07 W 1 6.0 18 3 7 2 0
vs SD 07-01 W 1 5.0 15 8 2 0 3
@ NYM 06-25 W 0 4.7 14 4 4 4 0
vs ARI 05-03 W 1 6.0 18 4 5 1 2
@ SD 04-28 L 0 4.0 12 8 4 2 5
vs PHI 04-22 W 0 4.7 14 5 5 0 2
vs LAA 04-01 W 1 5.7 17 2 10 2 1
vs WSH 03-26 L 0 3.7 11 6 7 1 6
vs MIL 10-10 W 0 4.7 14 2 6 3 0
@ MIL 10-04 L 0 0.7 2 4 1 1 2

FAQ

What are Matthew Boyd's projections?

OPTIMAL projects Matthew Boyd for 3.8 strikeouts, 13.5 outs and 4.1 hits allowed. Half of the projected outcomes for strikeouts fall between 1.6 and 5.9, and four in five between 0.0 and 7.9.

What are the best odds on Matthew Boyd Over 3.5 strikeouts?

The best price on Matthew Boyd Over 3.5 strikeouts is +113 at Novig, among 25 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +115.

How often has Matthew Boyd gone over 3.5 strikeouts?

Matthew Boyd has gone over 3.5 strikeouts in 3 of the last 5, 4 of the last 10, 11 of the last 20 and 35 of the last 57 games. The best price implies 47%.

What props does Matthew Boyd have?

Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for Matthew Boyd: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks, earned runs and record a win. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Matthew Boyd?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Matthew Boyd's game logs.

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