Christian Watson Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Christian Watson

gb WR NFL

Christian Watson is projected for 4.7 receptions against the New England Patriots on Nov 8. The best price on Over 4.5 is -104 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -103. Christian Watson has gone over 4.5 receptions in 6 of the last 10 games (60%), versus the 51% the market implies.

Christian Watson projections and betting odds for Receptions, Receiving Targets, Receiving Yards, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 8

Props & Odds

Receptions O/U 4.5

4.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 4.5

market implies 51%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
60%
6 of 10
Last 20
35%
7 of 20
Last 34
21%
7 of 34
Last 12 games against a line of 4.5
line 4.5
3 @DEN
2 @CHI
5 vs BAL
3 @CHI
6 @MIN
4 @NYJ
7 vs ATL
3 @TB
6 vs CHI
3 vs DAL
5 @DET
8 vs CAR

Projected range

projection 4.7
0.0 11.0

Most likely 2.8–6.5 Typical 1.2–8.2

Odds analysis

Over 4.5 · fair -103
  • Optimal -103
  • Novig -104
  • DraftKings -111
  • Onyx Odds -111
  • Courtside -111
  • ProphetX -111
  • Kalshi -112
  • Coinbase -112
  • Pinnacle -113
  • BetOnline -114
  • Polymarket US -114
  • Caesars -115
  • Underdog -117
  • PrizePicks -120
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) -120
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -120
  • BetMGM -120
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -120
  • betr -120
  • Fanduel -122
  • Fanatics -125
  • Rebet -125
  • bet365 -125
  • ParlayPlay -127
  • Bally Bet -129
  • BetRivers -129
  • SugarHouse -129
  • betPARX -129
  • Fliff -130
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -132
  • Sleeper -137
  • Splash Sports -137
  • Dabble -157

Recent games

Opp Date W/L ATT YDS TDS REC TGT YDS TDS Any TD FM
vs CAR 10-30 W 0 0 0 8 10 113 0 0 1
@ DET 10-25 L 0 0 0 5 8 57 0 0 0
vs DAL 10-19 W 0 0 0 3 8 64 0 0 0
vs CHI 10-11 W 0 0 0 6 8 143 2 2 0
@ TB 10-04 W 0 0 0 3 3 47 0 0 0
vs ATL 09-25 L 0 0 0 7 10 96 1 1 0
@ NYJ 09-20 W 0 0 0 4 11 41 1 1 0
@ MIN 09-13 L 0 0 0 6 8 147 2 2 0
@ CHI 01-11 L 0 0 0 3 7 36 1 1 1
vs BAL 12-28 L 0 0 0 5 6 113 1 1 0
@ CHI 12-21 L 0 0 0 2 6 17 0 0 0
@ DEN 12-14 L 0 0 0 3 5 29 0 0 0
vs CHI 12-07 W 0 0 0 4 4 89 2 2 0
@ DET 11-27 W 1 3 0 4 10 80 1 1 0
vs MIN 11-23 W 0 0 0 5 7 49 0 0 0
@ NYG 11-16 W 0 0 0 4 5 46 2 2 0
vs PHI 11-11 L 0 0 0 2 4 45 0 0 0
vs CAR 11-02 L 0 0 0 2 4 58 0 0 0
@ PIT 10-27 W 0 0 0 4 4 85 0 0 0
vs CHI 01-05 L 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
vs NO 12-24 W 2 23 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ SEA 12-16 W 0 0 0 3 6 56 0 0 0
@ DET 12-06 L 0 0 0 4 7 114 0 0 1
vs MIA 11-29 W 0 0 0 2 4 67 0 0 0
vs SF 11-24 W 1 4 0 0 3 0 0 0 0

FAQ

What are Christian Watson's projections for Nov 8?

OPTIMAL projects Christian Watson for 4.7 receptions and 78.3 receiving yards against the New England Patriots on Nov 8. Half of the projected outcomes for receptions fall between 2.8 and 6.5, and four in five between 1.2 and 8.2.

What are the best odds on Christian Watson Over 4.5 receptions?

The best price on Christian Watson Over 4.5 receptions is -104 at Novig, among 32 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -103.

How often has Christian Watson gone over 4.5 receptions?

Christian Watson has gone over 4.5 receptions in 3 of the last 5, 6 of the last 10, 7 of the last 20 and 7 of the last 34 games. The best price implies 51%.

What props does Christian Watson have for Nov 8?

Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for Christian Watson against the New England Patriots on Nov 8: receptions, receiving targets, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, fumbles lost and anytime TD. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Christian Watson?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Christian Watson's game logs.

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