Geno Smith Passing Yards Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Geno Smith Passing Yards

nyj QB NFL

Geno Smith is projected for 215.6 passing yards against the Kansas City Chiefs on Nov 8. The best price on Over 199.5 is -147 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -139. Geno Smith has gone over 199.5 passing yards in 7 of the last 10 games (70%), versus the 60% the market implies.

Geno Smith projections and betting odds for Passing Yards. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 8

Props & Odds

Passing Yards O/U 199.5

215.6proj

Hit rate vs Over 199.5

market implies 60%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
70%
7 of 10
Last 20
55%
11 of 20
Last 40
68%
27 of 40
Last 12 games against a line of 199.5
line 199.5
165 @LAC
116 vs DEN
201 @HOU
176 vs NYG
215 @TEN
247 vs GB
321 @DET
119 @CHI
182 vs CLE
252 @NE
287 vs MIA
290 vs OAK

Projected range

projection 215.6
34.1 397.1

Most likely 163.0–268.2 Typical 115.6–315.6

Odds analysis

Over 199.5 · fair -139
  • Optimal -139
  • Novig -147
  • Fanduel -154
  • Kalshi -154
  • Coinbase -154
  • Polymarket US -158
  • ProphetX -160
  • DraftKings -161
  • Onyx Odds -161
  • Courtside -161
  • Underdog -162
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) -165
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -165
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -165
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -166
  • Caesars -170
  • BetMGM -185
  • bet365 -185
  • ParlayPlay -185
  • Bally Bet -190
  • BetRivers -190
  • SugarHouse -190
  • betPARX -190

Recent games

Opp Date W/L CMP ATT YDS TDS INT ATT YDS TDS Any TD FM
vs OAK 11-01 L 20 32 290 2 1 1 4 0 0 0
vs MIA 10-25 L 23 30 287 3 1 2 0 0 0 0
@ NE 10-18 L 20 30 252 1 1 2 -1 0 0 0
vs CLE 10-11 W 17 30 182 1 0 5 7 0 0 0
@ CHI 10-04 L 8 15 119 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ DET 09-27 L 31 37 321 3 0 2 12 0 0 0
vs GB 09-20 L 27 41 247 1 0 5 17 0 0 0
@ TEN 09-13 W 19 24 215 0 0 6 7 0 0 0
vs NYG 12-28 L 20 28 176 1 2 1 1 0 0 0
@ HOU 12-21 L 16 23 201 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
vs DEN 12-07 L 13 21 116 1 0 1 4 0 0 0
@ LAC 11-30 L 18 23 165 2 1 2 -6 0 0 0
vs CLE 11-23 L 30 44 285 1 0 3 8 0 0 0
vs DAL 11-18 L 27 42 238 1 1 4 14 0 0 0
@ DEN 11-07 L 16 26 143 0 1 3 7 0 0 0
vs JAX 11-02 L 29 39 284 4 1 5 9 0 0 0
@ KC 10-19 L 10 16 67 0 0 2 1 0 0 0
vs TEN 10-12 W 17 23 174 1 1 4 -3 0 0 0
@ IND 10-05 L 25 36 228 0 2 3 8 0 0 0
vs CHI 09-28 L 14 21 117 2 3 4 31 0 0 0
@ WAS 09-21 L 19 29 289 3 0 2 5 0 0 0
vs LAC 09-16 L 24 43 180 0 3 5 20 0 0 0
@ NE 09-07 W 24 34 362 1 1 2 10 0 0 0
@ LAR 01-05 W 20 27 223 4 0 2 14 0 0 0
@ CHI 12-27 W 17 23 160 0 0 3 19 0 0 0

FAQ

What is Geno Smith's passing yards projection for Nov 8?

OPTIMAL projects Geno Smith for 215.6 passing yards against the Kansas City Chiefs on Nov 8. Half of the projected outcomes for passing yards fall between 163.0 and 268.2, and four in five between 115.6 and 315.6.

What are the best odds on Geno Smith Over 199.5 passing yards?

The best price on Geno Smith Over 199.5 passing yards is -147 at Novig, among 22 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -139.

How often has Geno Smith gone over 199.5 passing yards?

Geno Smith has gone over 199.5 passing yards in 3 of the last 5, 7 of the last 10, 11 of the last 20 and 27 of the last 40 games. The best price implies 60%.

What props does Geno Smith have for Nov 8?

Sportsbooks have posted 11 props for Geno Smith against the Kansas City Chiefs on Nov 8: completions, passing attempts, passing yards, passing touchdowns, interceptions, rushing attempts, rushing yards, rushing touchdowns and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Geno Smith?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Geno Smith's game logs.

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