Geno Smith Passing Touchdowns Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Geno Smith Passing Touchdowns

nyj QB NFL

Geno Smith is projected for 1.2 passing touchdowns against the Kansas City Chiefs on Nov 8. The best price on Over 1.5 is +186 at Sportsbook Rhode Island, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +184. Geno Smith has gone over 1.5 passing touchdowns in 4 of the last 10 games (40%), versus the 35% the market implies.

Geno Smith projections and betting odds for Passing Touchdowns. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 8

Props & Odds

Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5

1.2proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 35%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
40%
4 of 10
Last 20
35%
7 of 20
Last 40
30%
12 of 40
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
2 @LAC
1 vs DEN
2 @HOU
1 vs NYG
0 @TEN
1 vs GB
3 @DET
1 @CHI
1 vs CLE
1 @NE
3 vs MIA
2 vs OAK

Projected range

projection 1.2
0.0 4.0

Most likely 0.0–2.0 Typical 0.0–3.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair +184
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island +186 +0.2%
  • Optimal +184
  • BetMGM +175
  • bet365 +175
  • Novig +174
  • Dabble +173
  • Pinnacle +171
  • Bally Bet +170
  • BetRivers +170
  • SugarHouse +170
  • betPARX +170
  • Kalshi +166
  • Coinbase +166
  • Caesars +165
  • BetOnline +164
  • Fanduel +162
  • Polymarket US +162
  • ProphetX +161
  • DraftKings +160
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) +160
  • theScore +160
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +160
  • Onyx Odds +160
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +160
  • Courtside +160
  • Underdog +159
  • Fliff +155
  • ParlayPlay +146
  • Fanatics +145
  • Sleeper +142
  • Splash Sports -137

Recent games

Opp Date W/L CMP ATT YDS TDS INT ATT YDS TDS Any TD FM
vs OAK 11-01 L 20 32 290 2 1 1 4 0 0 0
vs MIA 10-25 L 23 30 287 3 1 2 0 0 0 0
@ NE 10-18 L 20 30 252 1 1 2 -1 0 0 0
vs CLE 10-11 W 17 30 182 1 0 5 7 0 0 0
@ CHI 10-04 L 8 15 119 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ DET 09-27 L 31 37 321 3 0 2 12 0 0 0
vs GB 09-20 L 27 41 247 1 0 5 17 0 0 0
@ TEN 09-13 W 19 24 215 0 0 6 7 0 0 0
vs NYG 12-28 L 20 28 176 1 2 1 1 0 0 0
@ HOU 12-21 L 16 23 201 2 1 0 0 0 0 0
vs DEN 12-07 L 13 21 116 1 0 1 4 0 0 0
@ LAC 11-30 L 18 23 165 2 1 2 -6 0 0 0
vs CLE 11-23 L 30 44 285 1 0 3 8 0 0 0
vs DAL 11-18 L 27 42 238 1 1 4 14 0 0 0
@ DEN 11-07 L 16 26 143 0 1 3 7 0 0 0
vs JAX 11-02 L 29 39 284 4 1 5 9 0 0 0
@ KC 10-19 L 10 16 67 0 0 2 1 0 0 0
vs TEN 10-12 W 17 23 174 1 1 4 -3 0 0 0
@ IND 10-05 L 25 36 228 0 2 3 8 0 0 0
vs CHI 09-28 L 14 21 117 2 3 4 31 0 0 0
@ WAS 09-21 L 19 29 289 3 0 2 5 0 0 0
vs LAC 09-16 L 24 43 180 0 3 5 20 0 0 0
@ NE 09-07 W 24 34 362 1 1 2 10 0 0 0
@ LAR 01-05 W 20 27 223 4 0 2 14 0 0 0
@ CHI 12-27 W 17 23 160 0 0 3 19 0 0 0

FAQ

What is Geno Smith's passing touchdowns projection for Nov 8?

OPTIMAL projects Geno Smith for 1.2 passing touchdowns against the Kansas City Chiefs on Nov 8. Half of the projected outcomes for passing touchdowns fall between 0.0 and 2.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 3.0.

What are the best odds on Geno Smith Over 1.5 passing touchdowns?

The best price on Geno Smith Over 1.5 passing touchdowns is +186 at Sportsbook Rhode Island, among 30 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +184.

How often has Geno Smith gone over 1.5 passing touchdowns?

Geno Smith has gone over 1.5 passing touchdowns in 2 of the last 5, 4 of the last 10, 7 of the last 20 and 12 of the last 40 games. The best price implies 35%.

What props does Geno Smith have for Nov 8?

Sportsbooks have posted 11 props for Geno Smith against the Kansas City Chiefs on Nov 8: completions, passing attempts, passing yards, passing touchdowns, interceptions, rushing attempts, rushing yards, rushing touchdowns and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Geno Smith?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Geno Smith's game logs.

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