Aaron Jones Sr. Receptions

min RB NFL

Aaron Jones Sr. is projected for 1.8 receptions against the Buffalo Bills on Nov 9. The best price on Over 1.5 is -120 at Sportsbook Rhode Island, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -121. Aaron Jones Sr. has gone over 1.5 receptions in 7 of the last 10 games (70%), versus the 55% the market implies.Odds updated Nov 8, 12:41 PM ET

Aaron Jones Sr. projections and betting odds for Receptions. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 9

Props & Odds

Receptions O/U 0.5

1.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 83%

Last 5: 100%
Last 10: 80%
Last 20: 80%
Last 37: 89%

line 0.5

4 @SEA

0 vs WAS

3 @DAL

2 @NYG

3 vs DET

0 vs GB

0 @CHI

5 @TB

4 vs MIA

3 @NO

1 vs IND

2 @DET

Projected range

projection 1.8

0.0 6.6

Most likely 0.4–3.2 Typical 0.0–4.4

Odds analysis

Hard Rock Bet (FL) -475
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -475
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -475
Fanduel -670
bet365 -700
Bally Bet -770
BetRivers -770
SugarHouse -770
betPARX -770
ProphetX -879
ParlayPlay -1667

Receptions O/U 1.5

1.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 55%

Last 5: 80%
Last 10: 70%
Last 20: 75%
Last 37: 81%

line 1.5

4 @SEA

0 vs WAS

3 @DAL

2 @NYG

3 vs DET

0 vs GB

0 @CHI

5 @TB

4 vs MIA

3 @NO

1 vs IND

2 @DET

Projected range

projection 1.8

0.0 6.6

Most likely 0.4–3.2 Typical 0.0–4.4

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair -121

Sportsbook Rhode Island -120 +0.2%
Optimal -121
DraftKings -128
Onyx Odds -128
Courtside -128
bet365 -130
BetOnline -133
Caesars -134
Pinnacle -134
Fanatics -135
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -135
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -135
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -135
Novig -135
Kalshi -137
Coinbase -137
ProphetX -137
Fanduel -140
Polymarket US -140
Underdog -143
Rebet -143
Fliff -145
ParlayPlay -147
Bally Bet -148
BetRivers -148
SugarHouse -148
betPARX -148
Sleeper -154
Dabble -157

Receptions O/U 2.5

1.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 30%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 50%
Last 20: 55%
Last 37: 57%

line 2.5

4 @SEA

0 vs WAS

3 @DAL

2 @NYG

3 vs DET

0 vs GB

0 @CHI

5 @TB

4 vs MIA

3 @NO

1 vs IND

2 @DET

Projected range

projection 1.8

0.0 6.6

Most likely 0.4–3.2 Typical 0.0–4.4

Odds analysis

DraftKings +230
Onyx Odds +230
Courtside +230
bet365 +225
Kalshi +208
Coinbase +208
Fanduel +205
Bally Bet +200
BetRivers +200
SugarHouse +200
betPARX +200
Novig +199
ProphetX +197
ParlayPlay +176
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +165
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +165
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +165
BetOnline +161

Receptions O/U 3.5

1.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 3.5

market implies 13%

Last 5: 40%
Last 10: 20%
Last 20: 15%
Last 37: 24%

line 3.5

4 @SEA

0 vs WAS

3 @DAL

2 @NYG

3 vs DET

0 vs GB

0 @CHI

5 @TB

4 vs MIA

3 @NO

1 vs IND

2 @DET

Projected range

projection 1.8

0.0 6.6

Most likely 0.4–3.2 Typical 0.0–4.4

Odds analysis

Sportsbook Rhode Island +660
DraftKings +610
Onyx Odds +610
Courtside +610
bet365 +600
Bally Bet +510
BetRivers +510
SugarHouse +510
betPARX +510
Kalshi +490
Coinbase +490
Fanduel +470
Novig +456
ProphetX +454
ParlayPlay +392
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +350
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +350
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +350
BetOnline +330

Receptions O/U 4.5

1.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 4.5

market implies 7%

Last 5: 20%
Last 10: 10%
Last 20: 5%
Last 37: 11%

line 4.5

4 @SEA

0 vs WAS

3 @DAL

2 @NYG

3 vs DET

0 vs GB

0 @CHI

5 @TB

4 vs MIA

3 @NO

1 vs IND

2 @DET

Projected range

projection 1.8

0.0 6.6

Most likely 0.4–3.2 Typical 0.0–4.4

Odds analysis

DraftKings +1420
Onyx Odds +1420
Courtside +1420
bet365 +1100
Kalshi +1074
Coinbase +1074
Fanduel +920
Novig +900
ProphetX +890
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +700
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +700
BetOnline +700
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +700
ParlayPlay +684

Receptions O/U 5.5

1.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 5.5

market implies 4%

Last 5: 0%
Last 10: 0%
Last 20: 0%
Last 37: 0%

line 5.5

4 @SEA

0 vs WAS

3 @DAL

2 @NYG

3 vs DET

0 vs GB

0 @CHI

5 @TB

4 vs MIA

3 @NO

1 vs IND

2 @DET

Projected range

projection 1.8

0.0 6.6

Most likely 0.4–3.2 Typical 0.0–4.4

Odds analysis

DraftKings +2700
Onyx Odds +2700
Courtside +2700
Kalshi +2243
Coinbase +2243
Sportsbook Rhode Island +2200
BetOnline +1500
ParlayPlay +1485
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +1400
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +1400
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +1400
bet365 +1150

Recent games

Opp	Date	W/L	ATT	YDS	TDS	REC	TGT	YDS	TDS	Any TD	FM
@ DET	11-01	L	5	22	0	2	2	18	0	0	0
vs IND	10-25	W	8	26	0	1	1	0	0	0	1
@ NO	10-11	W	25	113	1	3	3	4	0	1	1
vs MIA	10-04	W	20	94	0	4	8	34	0	0	1
@ TB	09-27	W	17	58	0	5	6	34	0	0	0
@ CHI	09-20	W	23	105	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
vs GB	09-13	W	12	40	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
vs DET	12-25	W	18	53	1	3	4	10	0	1	0
@ NYG	12-21	W	21	85	0	2	3	8	0	0	0
@ DAL	12-15	W	12	34	0	3	3	31	0	0	0
vs WAS	12-07	W	14	76	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
@ SEA	11-30	L	6	3	0	4	4	22	0	0	1
@ GB	11-23	L	9	41	0	3	4	16	0	0	0
vs CHI	11-16	L	16	70	0	3	6	11	0	0	1
vs BAL	11-09	L	9	47	1	3	6	22	0	1	0
@ DET	11-02	W	9	78	0	2	2	20	0	0	0
@ LAC	10-24	L	5	15	0	2	4	15	0	0	0
vs ATL	09-15	L	5	23	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
@ CHI	09-09	W	8	23	0	3	3	44	1	1	0
@ LAR	01-14	L	13	48	0	3	6	12	0	0	0
@ DET	01-06	L	10	45	0	5	6	30	0	0	0
vs GB	12-29	W	12	47	0	4	5	30	0	0	0
@ SEA	12-22	W	18	67	0	3	5	26	0	0	0
vs CHI	12-17	W	18	86	1	2	3	20	0	1	0
vs ATL	12-08	W	13	73	1	2	2	11	0	1	0

FAQ

What is Aaron Jones Sr.'s receptions projection for Nov 9?

OPTIMAL projects Aaron Jones Sr. for 1.8 receptions against the Buffalo Bills on Nov 9. Half of the projected outcomes for receptions fall between 0.4 and 3.2, and four in five between 0.0 and 4.4.

What are the best odds on Aaron Jones Sr. Over 1.5 receptions?

The best price on Aaron Jones Sr. Over 1.5 receptions is -120 at Sportsbook Rhode Island, among 28 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -121.

How often has Aaron Jones Sr. gone over 1.5 receptions?

Aaron Jones Sr. has gone over 1.5 receptions in 4 of the last 5, 7 of the last 10, 15 of the last 20 and 30 of the last 37 games. The best price implies 55%.

What props does Aaron Jones Sr. have for Nov 9?

Sportsbooks have posted 10 props for Aaron Jones Sr. against the Buffalo Bills on Nov 9: rushing attempts, rushing yards, rushing touchdowns, receptions, receiving targets, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, fumbles lost and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Aaron Jones Sr.?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Aaron Jones Sr.'s game logs.

Aaron Jones Sr. Receptions

Props & Odds

Receptions O/U 0.5

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receptions O/U 1.5

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receptions O/U 2.5

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receptions O/U 3.5

Hit rate vs Over 3.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receptions O/U 4.5

Hit rate vs Over 4.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Receptions O/U 5.5

Hit rate vs Over 5.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Recent games

FAQ

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