Luka Doncic Points
Luka Doncic is projected for 31.0 points. The best price on Over 30.5 is -135 at Pinnacle, against a fair line of -116. He has cleared 30.5 in 8 of his last 10 games (80%), versus the 57% the market implies.
Luka Doncic projections and betting odds for Points. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.
Props & Odds
Points O/U 30.5
31.0projHit rate vs Over 30.5
market implies 57%- Last 5
- 80% 4 of 5
- Last 10
- 80% 8 of 10
- Last 20
- 65% 13 of 20
- Last 121
- 54% 65 of 121
Projected range
projection 31.0Most likely 27.6–34.3 Typical 24.6–37.4
Odds analysis
Over 30.5 · fair -116-
Fair odds
-116
-
Pinnacle -135
Recent games
| Opp | Date | W/L | MIN | PTS | AST | REB | P+A | P+R | A+R | P+A+R | STL | BLK | S+B | 3PM | TO | DD | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ OKC | 04-03 | L | 26 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| vs CLE | 04-01 | W | 34 | 42 | 12 | 5 | 54 | 47 | 17 | 59 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| vs BKN | 03-28 | W | 39 | 41 | 3 | 8 | 44 | 49 | 11 | 52 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| @ IND | 03-25 | W | 38 | 43 | 7 | 6 | 50 | 49 | 13 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| @ DET | 03-23 | L | 39 | 32 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 39 | 13 | 45 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ ORL | 03-21 | W | 38 | 33 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 38 | 13 | 46 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| @ MIA | 03-20 | W | 38 | 60 | 3 | 7 | 63 | 67 | 10 | 70 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ HOU | 03-19 | W | 38 | 40 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 49 | 19 | 59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| @ HOU | 03-17 | W | 40 | 36 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 42 | 10 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| vs DEN | 03-15 | W | 43 | 30 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 41 | 24 | 54 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| vs CHI | 03-13 | W | 37 | 51 | 9 | 10 | 60 | 61 | 19 | 70 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| vs MIN | 03-11 | W | 35 | 31 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 22 | 53 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| vs NY | 03-08 | W | 38 | 35 | 4 | 8 | 39 | 43 | 12 | 47 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| vs IND | 03-07 | W | 32 | 44 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 53 | 14 | 58 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ DEN | 03-06 | L | 40 | 27 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 38 | 18 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| vs NO | 03-04 | W | 38 | 27 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 37 | 17 | 44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| vs SAC | 03-02 | W | 29 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 37 | 33 | 14 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ GS | 03-01 | W | 29 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 32 | 14 | 40 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ PHO | 02-27 | L | 39 | 41 | 8 | 8 | 49 | 49 | 16 | 57 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| vs ORL | 02-25 | L | 38 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 37 | 31 | 24 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| vs BOS | 02-22 | L | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 30 | 8 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| vs LAC | 02-21 | W | 38 | 38 | 11 | 6 | 49 | 44 | 17 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| vs PHI | 02-06 | W | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| @ BKN | 02-04 | W | 29 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 30 | 11 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| @ NY | 02-02 | L | 37 | 30 | 8 | 15 | 38 | 45 | 23 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
FAQ
Where can I find Luka Doncic Points odds today?
This page shows live Luka Doncic Points odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.
How are Luka Doncic Points projections calculated?
Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Luka Doncic's Points so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.
What sportsbooks offer Luka Doncic Points props?
Optimal Bet compares Luka Doncic Points lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Should I bet the over or under on Luka Doncic Points?
Use the projections section above to see how Luka Doncic's projected Points compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.