Luka Doncic Points Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Luka Doncic Points

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The best price on Luka Doncic Over 39.5 points against the Detroit Pistons on Nov 8 is +189 at Kalshi, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +238. Luka Doncic has gone over 39.5 points in 6 of the last 10 games (60%), versus the 35% the market implies.

Luka Doncic projections and betting odds for Points. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 8

Props & Odds

Points O/U 39.5

Hit rate vs Over 39.5

market implies 35%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
60%
6 of 10
Last 20
60%
12 of 20
Last 130
20%
26 of 130
Last 12 games against a line of 39.5
line 39.5
41 vs BKN
42 vs CLE
12 @OKC
28 vs GS
23 vs LAC
52 @UTA
41 vs POR
37 @GS
45 vs TOR
42 vs MIA
40 @SAC
53 vs POR

Odds analysis

Over 39.5 · fair +238
  • Optimal +238
  • Kalshi +189
  • Coinbase +189

Recent games

Opp Date W/L MIN PTS AST REB P+A P+R A+R P+A+R STL BLK S+B 3PM TO DD TD
vs POR 11-07 W 38 53 5 5 58 58 10 63 1 0 1 5 3 0 0
@ SAC 11-05 W 35 40 7 9 47 49 16 56 1 1 2 6 6 0 0
vs MIA 11-03 W 36 42 13 7 55 49 20 62 2 0 2 6 2 1 0
vs TOR 11-02 W 35 45 6 15 51 60 21 66 5 1 6 8 7 1 0
@ GS 10-31 L 37 37 5 7 42 44 12 49 1 2 3 6 3 0 0
vs POR 10-28 L 37 41 9 5 50 46 14 55 0 1 1 6 2 0 0
@ UTA 10-25 W 38 52 10 8 62 60 18 70 2 0 2 8 4 1 0
vs LAC 10-24 W 37 23 7 6 30 29 13 36 0 1 1 2 11 0 0
vs GS 10-22 W 30 28 7 8 35 36 15 43 3 0 3 5 6 0 0
@ OKC 04-03 L 26 12 7 4 19 16 11 23 1 0 1 1 6 0 0
vs CLE 04-01 W 34 42 12 5 54 47 17 59 2 0 2 6 0 1 0
vs BKN 03-28 W 39 41 3 8 44 49 11 52 3 1 4 5 5 0 0
@ IND 03-25 W 38 43 7 6 50 49 13 56 1 0 1 4 5 0 0
@ DET 03-23 L 39 32 6 7 38 39 13 45 3 0 3 3 3 0 0
@ ORL 03-21 W 38 33 8 5 41 38 13 46 4 1 5 3 4 0 0
@ MIA 03-20 W 38 60 3 7 63 67 10 70 5 0 5 9 2 0 0
@ HOU 03-19 W 38 40 10 9 50 49 19 59 1 0 1 7 5 1 0
@ HOU 03-17 W 40 36 4 6 40 42 10 46 2 0 2 4 4 0 0
vs DEN 03-15 W 43 30 13 11 43 41 24 54 1 3 4 4 6 1 1
vs CHI 03-13 W 37 51 9 10 60 61 19 70 3 1 4 9 1 1 0
vs MIN 03-11 W 35 31 11 11 42 42 22 53 2 1 3 4 4 1 1
vs NY 03-08 W 38 35 4 8 39 43 12 47 2 0 2 5 6 0 0
vs IND 03-07 W 32 44 5 9 49 53 14 58 3 2 5 7 3 0 0
@ DEN 03-06 L 40 27 7 11 34 38 18 45 4 0 4 3 3 1 0
vs NO 03-04 W 38 27 7 10 34 37 17 44 0 1 1 3 7 1 0

FAQ

What are the best odds on Luka Doncic Over 39.5 points?

The best price on Luka Doncic Over 39.5 points is +189 at Kalshi, among 3 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +238.

How often has Luka Doncic gone over 39.5 points?

Luka Doncic has gone over 39.5 points in 4 of the last 5, 6 of the last 10, 12 of the last 20 and 26 of the last 130 games. The best price implies 35%.

What props does Luka Doncic have for Nov 8?

Sportsbooks have posted 13 props for Luka Doncic against the Detroit Pistons on Nov 8: points, assists, rebounds, points + assists, points + rebounds, assists + rebounds, points + assists + rebounds, blocks and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Luka Doncic?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Luka Doncic's game logs.

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