Luka Doncic Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Luka Doncic

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Luka Doncic is projected for 33.7 points against the Detroit Pistons on Nov 8. The best price on Over 33.5 is +149 at Polymarket, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +111. Luka Doncic has gone over 33.5 points in 7 of the last 10 games (70%), versus the 40% the market implies.

Luka Doncic projections and betting odds for Points, Assists, Rebounds, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 8

Props & Odds

Points O/U 33.5

33.7proj

Hit rate vs Over 33.5

market implies 40%
Last 5
100%
5 of 5
Last 10
70%
7 of 10
Last 20
70%
14 of 20
Last 130
42%
55 of 130
Last 12 games against a line of 33.5
line 33.5
41 vs BKN
42 vs CLE
12 @OKC
28 vs GS
23 vs LAC
52 @UTA
41 vs POR
37 @GS
45 vs TOR
42 vs MIA
40 @SAC
53 vs POR

Projected range

projection 33.7
8.0 59.3

Most likely 26.2–41.1 Typical 19.5–47.8

Odds analysis

Over 33.5 · fair +111
  • Polymarket +149 +7.2%
  • Novig +111
  • Optimal +111
  • Pinnacle -103
  • Fanatics -105
  • DraftKings -106
  • Onyx Odds -106
  • Courtside -106
  • ProphetX -107
  • Fanduel -108
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) -110
  • Caesars -110
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -115
  • Fliff -115
  • ParlayPlay -116
  • Underdog -117
  • Rebet -118
  • PrizePicks -120
  • betr -120
  • Sleeper -120
  • Bally Bet -121
  • BetRivers -121
  • SugarHouse -121
  • DraftKings Pick6 -122
  • Dabble -122
  • Splash Sports -137

Recent games

Opp Date W/L MIN PTS AST REB P+A P+R A+R P+A+R STL BLK S+B 3PM TO DD TD
vs POR 11-07 W 38 53 5 5 58 58 10 63 1 0 1 5 3 0 0
@ SAC 11-05 W 35 40 7 9 47 49 16 56 1 1 2 6 6 0 0
vs MIA 11-03 W 36 42 13 7 55 49 20 62 2 0 2 6 2 1 0
vs TOR 11-02 W 35 45 6 15 51 60 21 66 5 1 6 8 7 1 0
@ GS 10-31 L 37 37 5 7 42 44 12 49 1 2 3 6 3 0 0
vs POR 10-28 L 37 41 9 5 50 46 14 55 0 1 1 6 2 0 0
@ UTA 10-25 W 38 52 10 8 62 60 18 70 2 0 2 8 4 1 0
vs LAC 10-24 W 37 23 7 6 30 29 13 36 0 1 1 2 11 0 0
vs GS 10-22 W 30 28 7 8 35 36 15 43 3 0 3 5 6 0 0
@ OKC 04-03 L 26 12 7 4 19 16 11 23 1 0 1 1 6 0 0
vs CLE 04-01 W 34 42 12 5 54 47 17 59 2 0 2 6 0 1 0
vs BKN 03-28 W 39 41 3 8 44 49 11 52 3 1 4 5 5 0 0
@ IND 03-25 W 38 43 7 6 50 49 13 56 1 0 1 4 5 0 0
@ DET 03-23 L 39 32 6 7 38 39 13 45 3 0 3 3 3 0 0
@ ORL 03-21 W 38 33 8 5 41 38 13 46 4 1 5 3 4 0 0
@ MIA 03-20 W 38 60 3 7 63 67 10 70 5 0 5 9 2 0 0
@ HOU 03-19 W 38 40 10 9 50 49 19 59 1 0 1 7 5 1 0
@ HOU 03-17 W 40 36 4 6 40 42 10 46 2 0 2 4 4 0 0
vs DEN 03-15 W 43 30 13 11 43 41 24 54 1 3 4 4 6 1 1
vs CHI 03-13 W 37 51 9 10 60 61 19 70 3 1 4 9 1 1 0
vs MIN 03-11 W 35 31 11 11 42 42 22 53 2 1 3 4 4 1 1
vs NY 03-08 W 38 35 4 8 39 43 12 47 2 0 2 5 6 0 0
vs IND 03-07 W 32 44 5 9 49 53 14 58 3 2 5 7 3 0 0
@ DEN 03-06 L 40 27 7 11 34 38 18 45 4 0 4 3 3 1 0
vs NO 03-04 W 38 27 7 10 34 37 17 44 0 1 1 3 7 1 0

FAQ

What are Luka Doncic's projections for Nov 8?

OPTIMAL projects Luka Doncic for 33.7 points, 7.0 assists and 7.4 rebounds against the Detroit Pistons on Nov 8. Half of the projected outcomes for points fall between 26.2 and 41.1, and four in five between 19.5 and 47.8.

What are the best odds on Luka Doncic Over 33.5 points?

The best price on Luka Doncic Over 33.5 points is +149 at Polymarket, among 25 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +111.

How often has Luka Doncic gone over 33.5 points?

Luka Doncic has gone over 33.5 points in 5 of the last 5, 7 of the last 10, 14 of the last 20 and 55 of the last 130 games. The best price implies 40%.

What props does Luka Doncic have for Nov 8?

Sportsbooks have posted 13 props for Luka Doncic against the Detroit Pistons on Nov 8: points, assists, rebounds, points + assists, points + rebounds, assists + rebounds, points + assists + rebounds, blocks and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Luka Doncic?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Luka Doncic's game logs.

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