Pelle Larsson Points Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Pelle Larsson Points

mia G NBA

Pelle Larsson is projected for 12.1 points against the Sacramento Kings on Nov 8. The best price on Over 11.5 is -108 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -101. Pelle Larsson has gone over 11.5 points in 5 of the last 10 games (50%), versus the 52% the market implies.

Pelle Larsson projections and betting odds for Points. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 8

Props & Odds

Points O/U 11.5

12.1proj

Hit rate vs Over 11.5

market implies 52%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
55%
11 of 20
Last 147
31%
46 of 147
Last 12 games against a line of 11.5
line 11.5
10 @TOR
24 @WAS
6 @CHA
2 vs MIN
7 vs DET
15 @CHA
12 vs DAL
17 @ATL
18 vs IND
9 @LAL
7 @LAC
13 @GS

Projected range

projection 12.1
0.0 28.5

Most likely 7.3–16.8 Typical 3.1–21.1

Odds analysis

Over 11.5 · fair -101
  • Optimal -101
  • Novig -108
  • Polymarket -114
  • Pinnacle -114
  • Fanduel -114
  • ProphetX -114
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -115
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) -115
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -115
  • Fanatics -115
  • Caesars -117
  • PrizePicks -120
  • Fliff -120
  • betr -120
  • DraftKings Pick6 -122
  • Onyx Odds -123
  • DraftKings -123
  • Courtside -123
  • Rebet -126
  • Sleeper -128
  • ParlayPlay -130
  • Bally Bet -130
  • BetRivers -130
  • SugarHouse -130
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -132
  • Underdog -137
  • Splash Sports -137
  • Dabble -157

Recent games

Opp Date W/L MIN PTS AST REB P+A P+R A+R P+A+R STL BLK S+B 3PM TO DD TD
@ GS 11-06 L 29 13 4 1 17 14 5 18 3 0 3 3 5 0 0
@ LAC 11-05 W 35 7 4 3 11 10 7 14 1 0 1 0 1 0 0
@ LAL 11-03 L 30 9 2 3 11 12 5 14 1 0 1 1 4 0 0
vs IND 10-31 W 24 18 3 3 21 21 6 24 0 0 0 1 1 0 0
@ ATL 10-28 W 31 17 8 6 25 23 14 31 1 0 1 2 2 0 0
vs DAL 10-26 L 34 12 4 0 16 12 4 16 3 0 3 1 0 0 0
@ CHA 10-24 L 36 15 4 7 19 22 11 26 1 0 1 1 2 0 0
vs DET 10-24 L 29 7 1 2 8 9 3 10 1 0 1 1 1 0 0
vs MIN 10-21 L 24 2 4 3 6 5 7 9 1 1 2 0 0 0 0
@ CHA 04-14 L 22 6 3 3 9 9 6 12 1 0 1 0 2 0 0
@ WAS 04-10 W 27 24 6 0 30 24 6 30 1 0 1 1 3 0 0
@ TOR 04-09 L 32 10 2 4 12 14 6 16 0 0 0 2 1 0 0
@ TOR 04-07 L 26 7 1 3 8 10 4 11 0 0 0 1 3 0 0
vs WAS 04-04 W 24 16 4 7 20 23 11 27 0 1 1 0 3 0 0
vs BOS 04-01 L 38 18 6 3 24 21 9 27 3 0 3 2 1 0 0
vs PHI 03-30 W 36 20 3 10 23 30 13 33 1 0 1 0 0 1 0
@ IND 03-29 L 36 15 3 5 18 20 8 23 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ CLE 03-27 L 26 10 5 3 15 13 8 18 1 0 1 0 3 0 0
@ CLE 03-25 W 34 14 2 5 16 19 7 21 1 1 2 1 5 0 0
vs SA 03-23 L 23 7 3 1 10 8 4 11 2 0 2 0 2 0 0
@ HOU 03-22 L 31 19 3 5 22 24 8 27 0 0 0 2 2 0 0
vs LAL 03-20 L 33 11 5 2 16 13 7 18 0 0 0 0 4 0 0
@ CHA 03-17 L 28 14 0 2 14 16 2 16 0 0 0 1 4 0 0
vs ORL 03-15 L 35 15 3 3 18 18 6 21 2 0 2 2 1 0 0
vs MIL 03-12 W 38 28 6 6 34 34 12 40 1 0 1 2 1 0 0

FAQ

What is Pelle Larsson's points projection for Nov 8?

OPTIMAL projects Pelle Larsson for 12.1 points against the Sacramento Kings on Nov 8. Half of the projected outcomes for points fall between 7.3 and 16.8, and four in five between 3.1 and 21.1.

What are the best odds on Pelle Larsson Over 11.5 points?

The best price on Pelle Larsson Over 11.5 points is -108 at Novig, among 27 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -101.

How often has Pelle Larsson gone over 11.5 points?

Pelle Larsson has gone over 11.5 points in 3 of the last 5, 5 of the last 10, 11 of the last 20 and 46 of the last 147 games. The best price implies 52%.

What props does Pelle Larsson have for Nov 8?

Sportsbooks have posted 12 props for Pelle Larsson against the Sacramento Kings on Nov 8: points, assists, rebounds, points + assists, points + rebounds, assists + rebounds, points + assists + rebounds, blocks and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Pelle Larsson?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Pelle Larsson's game logs.

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