Pelle Larsson

mia G NBA

Pelle Larsson is projected for 12.1 points against the Sacramento Kings on Nov 8. The best price on Over 11.5 is -114 at Polymarket, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -102. Pelle Larsson has gone over 11.5 points in 5 of the last 10 games (50%), versus the 53% the market implies.Odds updated Nov 8, 6:51 AM ET

Pelle Larsson projections and betting odds for Points, Assists, Rebounds, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Nov 8

Props & Odds

Points O/U 11.5

12.1proj

Hit rate vs Over 11.5

market implies 53%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 50%
Last 20: 55%
Last 147: 31%

line 11.5

10 @TOR

24 @WAS

6 @CHA

2 vs MIN

7 vs DET

15 @CHA

12 vs DAL

17 @ATL

18 vs IND

9 @LAL

7 @LAC

13 @GS

Projected range

projection 12.1

0.0 28.6

Most likely 7.3–16.9 Typical 3.0–21.2

Odds analysis

Over 11.5 · fair -102

Optimal -102
Polymarket -114
Pinnacle -114
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -115
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -115
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -115
Fanatics -115
Caesars -117
Novig -117
Fanduel -118
ProphetX -120
Onyx Odds -120
DraftKings -120
PrizePicks -120
Fliff -120
Courtside -120
betr -120
DraftKings Pick6 -122
Dabble -122
Sleeper -128
Bally Bet -129
BetRivers -129
SugarHouse -129
ParlayPlay -130
Rebet -131
Underdog -132
Splash Sports -137

Assists O/U 3.5

3.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 3.5

market implies 47%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 60%
Last 20: 50%
Last 147: 28%

line 3.5

2 @TOR

6 @WAS

3 @CHA

4 vs MIN

1 vs DET

4 @CHA

4 vs DAL

8 @ATL

3 vs IND

2 @LAL

4 @LAC

4 @GS

Projected range

projection 3.5

0.0 9.6

Most likely 1.7–5.3 Typical 0.1–6.9

Odds analysis

Over 3.5 · fair +117

Rebounds O/U 3.5

3.3proj

Hit rate vs Over 3.5

market implies 47%

Last 5: 20%
Last 10: 20%
Last 20: 35%
Last 147: 31%

line 3.5

4 @TOR

0 @WAS

3 @CHA

3 vs MIN

2 vs DET

7 @CHA

0 vs DAL

6 @ATL

3 vs IND

3 @LAL

3 @LAC

1 @GS

Projected range

projection 3.3

0.0 10.1

Most likely 1.3–5.3 Typical 0.0–7.0

Odds analysis

Over 3.5 · fair +120

Points + Assists O/U 15.5

15.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 15.5

market implies 51%

Last 5: 60%
Last 10: 50%
Last 20: 55%
Last 147: 28%

line 15.5

12 @TOR

30 @WAS

9 @CHA

6 vs MIN

8 vs DET

19 @CHA

16 vs DAL

25 @ATL

21 vs IND

11 @LAL

11 @LAC

17 @GS

Projected range

projection 15.5

0.0 33.9

Most likely 10.2–20.8 Typical 5.3–25.7

Odds analysis

Over 15.5 · fair +109

Optimal +109
Fanduel -104
Novig -104
ProphetX -106
Onyx Odds -108
DraftKings -108
Courtside -108
Fliff -110
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -110
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -110
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -110
Caesars -113
Bally Bet -113
BetRivers -113
SugarHouse -113
betPARX -113
ParlayPlay -116
Sleeper -119
PrizePicks -120
betr -120
Dabble -122

Points + Rebounds O/U 15.5

15.4proj

Hit rate vs Over 15.5

market implies 50%

Last 5: 40%
Last 10: 30%
Last 20: 45%
Last 147: 31%

line 15.5

14 @TOR

24 @WAS

9 @CHA

5 vs MIN

9 vs DET

22 @CHA

12 vs DAL

23 @ATL

21 vs IND

12 @LAL

10 @LAC

14 @GS

Projected range

projection 15.4

0.0 35.0

Most likely 9.7–21.1 Typical 4.6–26.2

Odds analysis

Over 15.5 · fair +111

Optimal +111
ProphetX -101
Fanduel -102
Novig -102
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -105
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -105
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -105
Onyx Odds -108
DraftKings -108
Caesars -108
Courtside -108
Bally Bet -110
BetRivers -110
SugarHouse -110
betPARX -110
Fliff -110
ParlayPlay -115
Sleeper -116
PrizePicks -120
Sportsbook Rhode Island -120
betr -120
Dabble -122

Assists + Rebounds O/U 6.5

6.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 6.5

market implies 55%

Last 5: 40%
Last 10: 40%
Last 20: 50%
Last 147: 33%

line 6.5

6 @TOR

6 @WAS

6 @CHA

7 vs MIN

3 vs DET

11 @CHA

4 vs DAL

14 @ATL

6 vs IND

5 @LAL

7 @LAC

5 @GS

Projected range

projection 6.8

0.0 16.3

Most likely 4.1–9.5 Typical 1.6–12.0

Odds analysis

Over 6.5 · fair -114

Optimal -114
PrizePicks -120
BetOnline -122
Onyx Odds -124
DraftKings -124
Bally Bet -124
BetRivers -124
SugarHouse -124
betPARX -124
Courtside -124
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -130
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -130
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -130
Fanduel -136
Caesars -136
Fliff -140
ProphetX -141
ParlayPlay -143
Underdog Fantasy -145
Sportsbook Rhode Island -148
Sleeper -149
Dabble -365

Points + Assists + Rebounds O/U 18.5

19.3proj

Hit rate vs Over 18.5

market implies 54%

Last 5: 40%
Last 10: 30%
Last 20: 45%
Last 147: 32%

line 18.5

16 @TOR

30 @WAS

12 @CHA

9 vs MIN

10 vs DET

26 @CHA

16 vs DAL

31 @ATL

24 vs IND

14 @LAL

14 @LAC

18 @GS

Projected range

projection 19.3

0.0 40.6

Most likely 13.1–25.5 Typical 7.5–31.0

Odds analysis

Over 18.5 · fair -104

Optimal -104
BetOnline -118
Onyx Odds -120
DraftKings -120
PrizePicks -120
Courtside -120
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -120
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -120
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -120
Fanduel -120
betr -120
Dabble -122
Novig -122
ProphetX -125
Caesars -125
Fliff -125
Underdog -127
ParlayPlay -132
Sleeper -135

Blocks O/U 2.5

0.3proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

Last 5: 0%
Last 10: 0%
Last 20: 0%
Last 147: 0%

line 2.5

0 @TOR

0 @WAS

0 @CHA

1 vs MIN

0 vs DET

0 @CHA

0 vs DAL

0 @ATL

0 vs IND

0 @LAL

0 @LAC

0 @GS

Projected range

projection 0.3

0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Steals O/U 0.5

1.1proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 69%

Last 5: 80%
Last 10: 90%
Last 20: 75%
Last 147: 46%

line 0.5

0 @TOR

1 @WAS

1 @CHA

1 vs MIN

1 vs DET

1 @CHA

3 vs DAL

1 @ATL

0 vs IND

1 @LAL

1 @LAC

3 @GS

Projected range

projection 1.1

0.0 4.0

Most likely 0.0–2.0 Typical 0.0–2.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair -172

Optimal -172
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -220
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -220
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -220
Onyx Odds -237
DraftKings -237
Courtside -237
Underdog Fantasy -239
BetOnline -250
ParlayPlay -345
Kalshi -404
Coinbase -404

Steals + Blocks O/U 3.5

1.2proj

Hit rate vs Over 3.5

Last 5: 0%
Last 10: 0%
Last 20: 0%
Last 147: 2%

line 3.5

0 @TOR

1 @WAS

1 @CHA

2 vs MIN

1 vs DET

1 @CHA

3 vs DAL

1 @ATL

0 vs IND

1 @LAL

1 @LAC

3 @GS

Projected range

projection 1.2

0.0 4.0

Most likely 0.0–2.0 Typical 0.0–3.0

3PT Made O/U 0.5

1.1proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 68%

Last 5: 80%
Last 10: 70%
Last 20: 60%
Last 147: 54%

line 0.5

2 @TOR

1 @WAS

0 @CHA

0 vs MIN

1 vs DET

1 @CHA

1 vs DAL

2 @ATL

1 vs IND

1 @LAL

0 @LAC

3 @GS

Projected range

projection 1.1

0.0 4.0

Most likely 0.0–2.0 Typical 0.0–3.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair -183

Optimal -183
BetOnline -213
Kalshi -218
Coinbase -218
Fanatics -225
Novig -228
Rebet -230
Caesars -230
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -230
Hard Rock Bet (FL) -230
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -230
Fanduel -235
Bally Bet -235
BetRivers -235
SugarHouse -235
betPARX -235
Onyx Odds -236
DraftKings -236
Courtside -236
Underdog -250
ProphetX -254
Sportsbook Rhode Island -254
ParlayPlay -345
DraftKings Pick6 -365

Double Double O/U 0.5

0.0proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 3%

Last 5: 0%
Last 10: 0%
Last 20: 5%
Last 147: 1%

line 0.5

0 @TOR

0 @WAS

0 @CHA

0 vs MIN

0 vs DET

0 @CHA

0 vs DAL

0 @ATL

0 vs IND

0 @LAL

0 @LAC

0 @GS

Projected range

projection 0.0

0.0 1.0

Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–0.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +2076

Fliff +2820 +1.2%
Onyx Odds +2600
DraftKings +2600
Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +2250
Hard Rock Bet (FL) +2250
Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +2250
Novig +2226
Optimal +2076
Fanduel +2000
bet365 +2000
Caesars +1800
Kalshi +1464
Coinbase +1464
ParlayPlay +1265
ProphetX +1187

Recent games

Opp	Date	W/L	MIN	PTS	AST	REB	P+A	P+R	A+R	P+A+R	STL	BLK	S+B	3PM	TO	DD	TD
@ GS	11-06	L	29	13	4	1	17	14	5	18	3	0	3	3	5	0	0
@ LAC	11-05	W	35	7	4	3	11	10	7	14	1	0	1	0	1	0	0
@ LAL	11-03	L	30	9	2	3	11	12	5	14	1	0	1	1	4	0	0
vs IND	10-31	W	24	18	3	3	21	21	6	24	0	0	0	1	1	0	0
@ ATL	10-28	W	31	17	8	6	25	23	14	31	1	0	1	2	2	0	0
vs DAL	10-26	L	34	12	4	0	16	12	4	16	3	0	3	1	0	0	0
@ CHA	10-24	L	36	15	4	7	19	22	11	26	1	0	1	1	2	0	0
vs DET	10-24	L	29	7	1	2	8	9	3	10	1	0	1	1	1	0	0
vs MIN	10-21	L	24	2	4	3	6	5	7	9	1	1	2	0	0	0	0
@ CHA	04-14	L	22	6	3	3	9	9	6	12	1	0	1	0	2	0	0
@ WAS	04-10	W	27	24	6	0	30	24	6	30	1	0	1	1	3	0	0
@ TOR	04-09	L	32	10	2	4	12	14	6	16	0	0	0	2	1	0	0
@ TOR	04-07	L	26	7	1	3	8	10	4	11	0	0	0	1	3	0	0
vs WAS	04-04	W	24	16	4	7	20	23	11	27	0	1	1	0	3	0	0
vs BOS	04-01	L	38	18	6	3	24	21	9	27	3	0	3	2	1	0	0
vs PHI	03-30	W	36	20	3	10	23	30	13	33	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
@ IND	03-29	L	36	15	3	5	18	20	8	23	0	0	0	0	1	0	0
@ CLE	03-27	L	26	10	5	3	15	13	8	18	1	0	1	0	3	0	0
@ CLE	03-25	W	34	14	2	5	16	19	7	21	1	1	2	1	5	0	0
vs SA	03-23	L	23	7	3	1	10	8	4	11	2	0	2	0	2	0	0
@ HOU	03-22	L	31	19	3	5	22	24	8	27	0	0	0	2	2	0	0
vs LAL	03-20	L	33	11	5	2	16	13	7	18	0	0	0	0	4	0	0
@ CHA	03-17	L	28	14	0	2	14	16	2	16	0	0	0	1	4	0	0
vs ORL	03-15	L	35	15	3	3	18	18	6	21	2	0	2	2	1	0	0
vs MIL	03-12	W	38	28	6	6	34	34	12	40	1	0	1	2	1	0	0

FAQ

What are Pelle Larsson's projections for Nov 8?

OPTIMAL projects Pelle Larsson for 12.1 points, 3.5 assists and 3.3 rebounds against the Sacramento Kings on Nov 8. Half of the projected outcomes for points fall between 7.3 and 16.9, and four in five between 3.0 and 21.2.

What are the best odds on Pelle Larsson Over 11.5 points?

The best price on Pelle Larsson Over 11.5 points is -114 at Polymarket, among 26 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -102.

How often has Pelle Larsson gone over 11.5 points?

Pelle Larsson has gone over 11.5 points in 3 of the last 5, 5 of the last 10, 11 of the last 20 and 46 of the last 147 games. The best price implies 53%.

What props does Pelle Larsson have for Nov 8?

Sportsbooks have posted 12 props for Pelle Larsson against the Sacramento Kings on Nov 8: points, assists, rebounds, points + assists, points + rebounds, assists + rebounds, points + assists + rebounds, blocks and more. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Pelle Larsson?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Pelle Larsson's game logs.