Aaron Civale Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Aaron Civale Earned Runs

chc RP MLB

Aaron Civale is projected for 3.5 earned runs. The best price on Over 3.5 is +100 at Pinnacle, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +115. Aaron Civale has gone over 3.5 earned runs in 0 of the last 10 games (0%), versus the 50% the market implies.

Aaron Civale projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Jul 4

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 3.5

3.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 3.5

market implies 50%
Last 5
0%
0 of 5
Last 10
0%
0 of 10
Last 20
5%
1 of 20
Last 59
24%
14 of 59
Last 12 games against a line of 3.5
line 3.5
0 vs CWS
0 @SEA
0 vs CIN
0 vs CIN
0 @MIA
0 @MIL
0 vs PIT
1 vs ATL
0 @CIN
1 vs MIA
1 @BOS
1 @SD

Projected range

projection 3.5
0.0 9.0

Most likely 2.0–5.0 Typical 1.0–6.0

Odds analysis

Over 3.5 · fair +115
  • Optimal +115
  • Pinnacle +100

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ SD 09-30 L 0 1.0 3 3 0 0 1
@ BOS 09-25 L 0 2.3 7 3 0 1 1
vs MIA 09-22 L 0 2.0 6 1 2 0 1
@ CIN 09-19 W 0 0.7 2 1 0 1 0
vs ATL 09-16 W 0 1.3 4 2 0 0 1
vs PIT 09-13 L 0 2.0 6 1 2 2 0
@ MIL 09-08 L 0 2.0 6 0 4 0 0
@ MIA 09-04 W 0 3.0 9 1 3 2 0
vs CIN 08-30 L 0 1.0 3 0 2 1 0
vs CIN 08-28 L 0 2.3 7 2 2 0 0
@ SEA 08-23 W 1 4.0 12 1 2 0 0
vs CWS 08-19 L 0 1.3 4 0 2 3 0
vs STL 08-16 L 0 2.0 6 2 4 0 0
@ WSH 08-13 L 0 3.3 10 3 1 0 1
vs TOR 08-06 W 0 3.0 9 4 3 0 1
vs NYY 08-02 L 0 1.3 4 1 0 0 0
@ STL 07-30 W 0 0.7 2 0 1 0 0
@ PIT 07-26 L 0 2.0 6 1 3 0 0
vs DET 07-22 W 0 2.3 7 4 2 2 2
@ CWS 07-10 L 0 2.3 7 6 4 1 4
vs MIA 07-05 L 0 4.7 14 6 6 2 4
@ LAA 06-28 L 0 5.0 15 7 2 1 4
@ SF 06-24 L 0 4.0 12 6 5 0 2
vs PIT 06-18 L 0 3.0 9 9 2 2 6
vs SEA 05-26 L 0 4.0 12 9 2 1 7

FAQ

What is Aaron Civale's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Aaron Civale for 3.5 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 2.0 and 5.0, and four in five between 1.0 and 6.0.

What are the best odds on Aaron Civale Over 3.5 earned runs?

The best price on Aaron Civale Over 3.5 earned runs is +100 at Pinnacle. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +115.

How often has Aaron Civale gone over 3.5 earned runs?

Aaron Civale has gone over 3.5 earned runs in 0 of the last 5, 0 of the last 10, 1 of the last 20 and 14 of the last 59 games. The best price implies 50%.

What props does Aaron Civale have?

Sportsbooks have posted 4 props for Aaron Civale: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Aaron Civale?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Aaron Civale's game logs.

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