Aaron Civale Earned Runs

chc RP MLB

Aaron Civale is projected for 3.5 earned runs. The best price on Over 3.5 is +100 at Pinnacle, against a fair line of +115. He has cleared 3.5 in 0 of his last 10 games (0%), versus the 50% the market implies.

Aaron Civale projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Jul 4

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 3.5

3.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 3.5

market implies 50%

Last 5: 0%
Last 10: 0%
Last 20: 15%
Last 56: 25%

line 3.5

1 vs TOR

1 @WSH

0 vs STL

0 vs CWS

0 @SEA

0 vs CIN

0 @MIA

0 @MIL

0 vs PIT

1 vs ATL

0 @CIN

Projected range

projection 3.5

0.0 9.0

Most likely 2.0–5.0 Typical 1.0–6.0

Odds analysis

Over 3.5 · fair +115

Fair odds +115
Pinnacle +100

Recent games

Opp	Date	W/L	W	IP	OUT	HIT	K	BB	R
@ CIN	09-19	W	0	0.7	2	1	0	1	0
vs ATL	09-16	W	0	1.3	4	2	0	0	1
vs PIT	09-13	L	0	2.0	6	1	2	2	0
@ MIL	09-08	L	0	2.0	6	0	4	0	0
@ MIA	09-04	W	0	3.0	9	1	3	2	0
vs CIN	08-30	L	0	1.0	3	0	2	1	0
vs CIN	08-28	L	0	2.3	7	2	2	0	0
@ SEA	08-23	W	1	4.0	12	1	2	0	0
vs CWS	08-19	L	0	1.3	4	0	2	3	0
vs STL	08-16	L	0	2.0	6	2	4	0	0
@ WSH	08-13	L	0	3.3	10	3	1	0	1
vs TOR	08-06	W	0	3.0	9	4	3	0	1
vs NYY	08-02	L	0	1.3	4	1	0	0	0
@ STL	07-30	W	0	0.7	2	0	1	0	0
@ PIT	07-26	L	0	2.0	6	1	3	0	0
vs DET	07-22	W	0	2.3	7	4	2	2	2
@ CWS	07-10	L	0	2.3	7	6	4	1	4
vs MIA	07-05	L	0	4.7	14	6	6	2	4
@ LAA	06-28	L	0	5.0	15	7	2	1	4
@ SF	06-24	L	0	4.0	12	6	5	0	2
vs PIT	06-18	L	0	3.0	9	9	2	2	6
vs SEA	05-26	L	0	4.0	12	9	2	1	7
@ LAA	05-21	W	0	5.0	15	5	2	2	5
vs SF	05-16	W	1	5.0	15	6	2	1	2
@ BAL	05-09	W	1	5.0	15	6	6	3	0

FAQ

Where can I find Aaron Civale Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Aaron Civale Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Aaron Civale Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Aaron Civale's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Aaron Civale Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Aaron Civale Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Aaron Civale Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Aaron Civale's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

Aaron Civale Earned Runs

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 3.5

Hit rate vs Over 3.5

Projected range

Odds analysis

Recent games

FAQ

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