Michael Soroka Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Michael Soroka Earned Runs

ari SP MLB

Michael Soroka is projected for 1.9 earned runs. The best price on Over 1.5 is -136 at Caesars, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -123. Michael Soroka has gone over 1.5 earned runs in 4 of the last 10 games (40%), versus the 58% the market implies.

Michael Soroka projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 27

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 1.5

1.9proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 58%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
40%
4 of 10
Last 20
50%
10 of 20
Last 46
50%
23 of 46
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
2 @SF
4 vs LAD
1 vs WSH
1 @CIN
0 vs MIN
0 vs COL
2 @ATL
6 vs CIN
3 @KC
1 vs MIA
1 @COL
3 @SD

Projected range

projection 1.9
0.0 6.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 0.0–4.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair -123
  • Optimal -123
  • Caesars -136
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -136
  • Splash Sports -137
  • BetOnline -137
  • DraftKings -138
  • Onyx Odds -138
  • Courtside -138
  • BetMGM -140
  • Novig -141
  • Polymarket US -142
  • Underdog Fantasy -148
  • ProphetX -148
  • Kalshi -148
  • Coinbase -148
  • Underdog -150
  • Fliff -155
  • Sleeper -156

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ SD 09-27 L 0 4.7 14 3 4 2 3
@ COL 09-23 W 1 7.0 21 2 9 1 1
vs MIA 09-16 L 0 5.0 15 2 6 1 1
@ KC 09-09 L 0 4.0 12 3 4 1 3
vs CIN 08-23 L 0 3.3 10 6 3 3 6
@ ATL 08-16 L 0 5.7 17 6 5 1 2
vs COL 08-11 W 0 4.3 13 3 4 3 0
vs MIN 06-20 W 0 1.0 3 2 0 0 0
@ CIN 06-13 L 0 7.0 21 2 7 0 1
vs WSH 06-07 W 1 7.0 21 3 6 2 1
vs LAD 06-03 L 0 6.0 18 6 6 1 4
@ SF 05-27 W 1 6.0 18 4 3 0 2
vs COL 05-23 L 0 6.0 18 4 2 0 1
@ COL 05-17 W 1 5.7 17 6 8 2 2
@ TEX 05-12 W 1 6.3 19 3 5 1 0
vs PIT 05-07 L 0 6.3 19 7 6 2 1
@ MIL 04-30 L 0 3.0 9 10 2 2 8
vs CWS 04-23 L 0 5.0 15 7 6 1 1
vs TOR 04-18 W 1 7.0 21 5 5 0 2
@ PHI 04-10 W 1 5.7 17 5 10 2 4
vs ATL 04-04 W 1 5.0 15 4 3 3 1
vs DET 03-31 W 1 5.0 15 4 10 1 0
@ MIL 10-04 L 0 1.0 3 5 1 2 3
vs SD 10-01 L 0 0.7 2 0 0 0 0
vs STL 09-28 W 0 0.7 2 0 0 0 0

FAQ

What is Michael Soroka's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Michael Soroka for 1.9 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 1.0 and 3.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 4.0.

What are the best odds on Michael Soroka Over 1.5 earned runs?

The best price on Michael Soroka Over 1.5 earned runs is -136 at Caesars, among 17 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -123.

How often has Michael Soroka gone over 1.5 earned runs?

Michael Soroka has gone over 1.5 earned runs in 3 of the last 5, 4 of the last 10, 10 of the last 20 and 23 of the last 46 games. The best price implies 58%.

What props does Michael Soroka have?

Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for Michael Soroka: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks, earned runs and record a win. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Michael Soroka?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Michael Soroka's game logs.

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