Michael Soroka Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
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Michael Soroka Earned Runs

ari SP MLB

Michael Soroka is projected for 2.4 earned runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is -600 at Sportsbook Rhode Island. He has cleared 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games (80%), versus the 86% the market implies.

Michael Soroka projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 22

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 0.5

2.4proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 86%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
80%
8 of 10
Last 20
80%
16 of 20
Last 44
75%
33 of 44
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
2 @COL
1 vs COL
2 @SF
4 vs LAD
1 vs WSH
1 @CIN
0 vs MIN
0 vs COL
2 @ATL
6 vs CIN
3 @KC
1 vs MIA

Projected range

projection 2.4
0.0 7.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 1.0–4.0

Odds analysis

  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -600
  • Kalshi -5268
  • Coinbase -5268

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs MIA 09-16 L 0 5.0 15 2 6 1 1
@ KC 09-09 L 0 4.0 12 3 4 1 3
vs CIN 08-23 L 0 3.3 10 6 3 3 6
@ ATL 08-16 L 0 5.7 17 6 5 1 2
vs COL 08-11 W 0 4.3 13 3 4 3 0
vs MIN 06-20 W 0 1.0 3 2 0 0 0
@ CIN 06-13 L 0 7.0 21 2 7 0 1
vs WSH 06-07 W 1 7.0 21 3 6 2 1
vs LAD 06-03 L 0 6.0 18 6 6 1 4
@ SF 05-27 W 1 6.0 18 4 3 0 2
vs COL 05-23 L 0 6.0 18 4 2 0 1
@ COL 05-17 W 1 5.7 17 6 8 2 2
@ TEX 05-12 W 1 6.3 19 3 5 1 0
vs PIT 05-07 L 0 6.3 19 7 6 2 1
@ MIL 04-30 L 0 3.0 9 10 2 2 8
vs CWS 04-23 L 0 5.0 15 7 6 1 1
vs TOR 04-18 W 1 7.0 21 5 5 0 2
@ PHI 04-10 W 1 5.7 17 5 10 2 4
vs ATL 04-04 W 1 5.0 15 4 3 3 1
vs DET 03-31 W 1 5.0 15 4 10 1 0
@ MIL 10-04 L 0 1.0 3 5 1 2 3
vs SD 10-01 L 0 0.7 2 0 0 0 0
vs STL 09-28 W 0 0.7 2 0 0 0 0
vs NYM 09-25 L 0 1.0 3 0 1 0 0
vs NYM 09-23 L 0 1.7 5 3 1 1 0

FAQ

Where can I find Michael Soroka Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Michael Soroka Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Michael Soroka Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Michael Soroka's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Michael Soroka Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Michael Soroka Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Michael Soroka Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Michael Soroka's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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