Brad Lord Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
Optimal Bet

Brad Lord Earned Runs

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Brad Lord is projected for 0.9 earned runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is -175 at BetMGM, against a fair line of -143. He has cleared 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (50%), versus the 64% the market implies.

Brad Lord projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 2

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 0.5

0.9proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 64%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
50%
10 of 20
Last 87
51%
44 of 87
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
0 @PHI
1 vs CIN
2 @NYM
0 @MIA
0 vs COL
1 vs MIA
0 vs ATL
1 @LAD
2 @SD
3 vs LAA
0 vs PHI
0 @STL

Projected range

projection 0.9
0.0 4.0

Most likely 0.0–1.0 Typical 0.0–2.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair -143
  • Fair odds -143
  • BetMGM -175

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ STL 09-19 W 0 2.0 6 1 3 0 0
vs PHI 09-15 W 0 0.3 1 0 0 0 0
vs LAA 09-12 W 0 1.0 3 2 1 1 3
@ SD 09-09 L 0 2.0 6 4 0 0 2
@ LAD 09-07 L 0 1.7 5 4 0 1 1
vs ATL 09-02 L 0 3.3 10 2 6 1 0
vs MIA 08-29 W 0 2.3 7 2 4 1 1
vs COL 08-25 L 0 2.3 7 0 2 1 0
@ MIA 08-21 L 0 2.7 8 0 1 1 0
@ NYM 08-15 L 0 0.7 2 1 1 4 2
vs CIN 08-09 W 0 2.7 8 2 4 0 1
@ PHI 08-05 W 0 1.0 3 0 0 0 0
vs PIT 07-05 L 0 1.3 4 4 0 1 5
@ BOS 07-01 W 0 2.3 7 2 1 2 0
@ BAL 06-26 L 0 2.7 8 2 5 3 1
vs PHI 06-23 L 0 0.7 2 5 2 1 6
@ TB 06-20 W 0 3.0 9 2 5 0 0
vs KC 06-15 W 1 3.0 9 2 2 1 2
vs SEA 06-13 W 0 2.0 6 0 2 1 0
@ SF 06-10 W 1 2.7 8 3 1 2 0
@ ARI 06-06 W 0 2.0 6 0 1 0 0
vs MIA 06-03 L 0 1.3 4 0 2 3 0
vs SD 05-30 W 1 2.0 6 0 2 1 0
@ ATL 05-23 W 0 3.0 9 1 3 0 0
vs NYM 05-19 W 0 3.0 9 2 3 0 1

FAQ

Where can I find Brad Lord Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Brad Lord Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Brad Lord Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Brad Lord's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Brad Lord Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Brad Lord Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Brad Lord Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Brad Lord's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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