Andrew Alvarez Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Andrew Alvarez

wsh RP MLB

Andrew Alvarez is projected for 4.6 strikeouts. The best price on Over 4.5 is -117 at Kalshi, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -113. Andrew Alvarez has gone over 4.5 strikeouts in 8 of the last 10 games (80%), versus the 54% the market implies.

Andrew Alvarez projections and betting odds for Strikeouts, Outs, Hits Allowed, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 25

Props & Odds

Strikeouts O/U 4.5

4.6proj

Hit rate vs Over 4.5

market implies 54%
Last 5
100%
5 of 5
Last 10
80%
8 of 10
Last 20
65%
13 of 20
Last 30
60%
18 of 30
Last 12 games against a line of 4.5
line 4.5
2 @COL
3 vs TOR
5 @PHI
2 vs CIN
4 @NYM
5 @TEX
6 vs COL
6 vs MIA
5 @LAD
8 vs LAA
8 @STL
7 vs NYM

Projected range

projection 4.6
0.0 10.5

Most likely 2.9–6.3 Typical 1.3–7.9

Odds analysis

Over 4.5 · fair -113
  • Optimal -113
  • Kalshi -117
  • Coinbase -117
  • Novig -117
  • PrizePicks -120
  • Polymarket US -121
  • Underdog -122
  • BetOnline -123
  • ProphetX -125
  • Fanduel -125
  • Circa -125
  • Rebet -127
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -130
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) -130
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -130
  • Fanatics -130
  • Caesars -132
  • betPARX -132
  • theScore -135
  • Pinnacle -135
  • DraftKings -139
  • Onyx Odds -139
  • Courtside -139
  • ParlayPlay -143
  • Sleeper -149
  • BetMGM -150
  • Fliff -150
  • Underdog Fantasy -152
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -154
  • DraftKings Pick6 -157
  • Dabble -365

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs NYM 09-25 W 0 4.7 14 7 7 3 5
@ STL 09-19 W 0 6.0 18 5 8 1 0
vs LAA 09-12 W 0 7.0 21 1 8 4 0
@ LAD 09-07 L 0 4.3 13 4 5 2 3
vs MIA 08-30 L 0 6.0 18 2 6 3 0
vs COL 08-25 L 0 4.7 14 5 6 2 3
@ TEX 08-21 L 0 5.0 15 4 5 3 1
@ NYM 08-14 L 0 5.7 17 2 4 1 2
vs CIN 08-08 W 0 5.3 16 3 2 1 1
@ PHI 08-03 L 0 6.3 19 3 5 3 2
vs TOR 07-27 L 0 4.3 13 4 3 3 1
@ COL 07-21 W 0 4.3 13 6 2 3 3
vs NYY 07-12 L 0 2.0 6 4 2 1 3
vs HOU 07-07 L 0 5.7 17 4 3 5 5
@ BOS 07-01 W 1 4.7 14 2 6 1 0
@ BAL 06-26 L 0 4.3 13 6 5 3 2
@ TB 06-21 L 0 4.0 12 4 6 0 1
vs KC 06-15 W 0 4.0 12 5 5 1 1
@ SF 06-10 W 0 4.0 12 5 4 5 2
vs MIA 06-03 L 0 4.7 14 4 5 1 1
vs SD 05-29 L 0 3.0 9 5 1 2 3
@ ATL 05-24 W 0 1.3 4 1 1 1 0
vs NYM 05-20 W 0 4.0 12 2 5 1 2
vs BAL 05-15 W 0 3.0 9 3 5 1 2
vs SF 04-19 W 1 4.3 13 3 5 0 0

FAQ

What are Andrew Alvarez's projections?

OPTIMAL projects Andrew Alvarez for 4.6 strikeouts, 14.9 outs and 4.4 hits allowed. Half of the projected outcomes for strikeouts fall between 2.9 and 6.3, and four in five between 1.3 and 7.9.

What are the best odds on Andrew Alvarez Over 4.5 strikeouts?

The best price on Andrew Alvarez Over 4.5 strikeouts is -117 at Kalshi, among 30 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -113.

How often has Andrew Alvarez gone over 4.5 strikeouts?

Andrew Alvarez has gone over 4.5 strikeouts in 5 of the last 5, 8 of the last 10, 13 of the last 20 and 18 of the last 30 games. The best price implies 54%.

What props does Andrew Alvarez have?

Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for Andrew Alvarez: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks, earned runs and record a win. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Andrew Alvarez?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Andrew Alvarez's game logs.

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