AJ Smith-Shawver Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

AJ Smith-Shawver Earned Runs

atl RP MLB

AJ Smith-Shawver is projected for 2.3 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is +118 at ProphetX, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +130. AJ Smith-Shawver has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 5 of the last 10 games (50%), versus the 46% the market implies.

AJ Smith-Shawver projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 8

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.3proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 46%
Last 5
20%
1 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
40%
8 of 20
Last 21
38%
8 of 21
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
7 @WSH
2 @PHI
2 @NYM
4 @MIN
3 vs LAD
5 @WSH
4 vs TB
2 @CHC
0 @HOU
2 vs CIN
1 @MIA
3 @LAD

Projected range

projection 2.3
0.0 6.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 1.0–4.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair +130
  • Optimal +130
  • ProphetX +118
  • Pinnacle +115
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island +112
  • BetOnline +112
  • Novig +111
  • BetMGM +110
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +110
  • Caesars +109
  • DraftKings +108
  • Courtside +108
  • Onyx Odds +108
  • Kalshi +105
  • Coinbase +105
  • Fanatics +105
  • Underdog +104
  • Underdog Fantasy +102
  • Fliff +100
  • Sleeper -102
  • betr -120

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ LAD 10-03 L 0 2.7 8 3 2 2 3
@ MIA 09-27 L 0 1.3 4 1 3 0 1
vs CIN 09-24 L 0 2.0 6 1 0 0 2
@ HOU 09-20 W 0 2.0 6 1 4 0 0
@ CHC 09-14 L 0 5.0 15 4 2 3 2
vs TB 09-08 L 0 3.3 10 5 3 2 4
@ WSH 09-01 L 0 4.0 12 6 5 3 5
vs LAD 08-26 W 0 5.0 15 5 3 3 3
@ MIN 08-19 L 0 4.3 13 5 3 3 4
@ NYM 07-29 L 0 4.3 13 4 4 2 2
@ PHI 05-29 L 0 2.7 8 3 1 1 2
@ WSH 05-22 L 0 3.0 9 8 1 3 7
vs WSH 05-15 W 1 6.0 18 2 6 2 0
@ PIT 05-10 W 0 5.7 17 5 7 2 1
vs CIN 05-05 W 1 8.0 24 1 5 4 0
@ COL 04-30 W 1 5.3 16 4 5 1 2
@ TB 04-12 W 0 5.0 15 6 7 2 2
vs MIA 04-05 L 0 4.7 14 7 6 3 3
@ SD 03-30 L 0 4.0 12 6 4 3 2
@ SD 10-02 L 0 1.3 4 4 1 0 3
@ CHC 05-23 W 0 4.3 13 3 4 2 0

FAQ

What is AJ Smith-Shawver's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects AJ Smith-Shawver for 2.3 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 1.0 and 3.0, and four in five between 1.0 and 4.0.

What are the best odds on AJ Smith-Shawver Over 2.5 earned runs?

The best price on AJ Smith-Shawver Over 2.5 earned runs is +118 at ProphetX, among 19 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +130.

How often has AJ Smith-Shawver gone over 2.5 earned runs?

AJ Smith-Shawver has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 1 of the last 5, 5 of the last 10, 8 of the last 20 and 8 of the last 21 games. The best price implies 46%.

What props does AJ Smith-Shawver have?

Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for AJ Smith-Shawver: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks, earned runs and record a win. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project AJ Smith-Shawver?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from AJ Smith-Shawver's game logs.

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