AJ Smith-Shawver Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
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AJ Smith-Shawver Earned Runs

atl RP MLB

AJ Smith-Shawver is projected for 2.3 earned runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is -850 at Sportsbook Rhode Island. He has cleared 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games (80%), versus the 89% the market implies.

AJ Smith-Shawver projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 8

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 0.5

2.3proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 89%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
80%
8 of 10
Last 20
78%
14 of 18
Last 18
78%
14 of 18
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
0 vs CIN
1 @PIT
0 vs WSH
7 @WSH
2 @PHI
2 @NYM
4 @MIN
3 vs LAD
5 @WSH
4 vs TB
2 @CHC
0 @HOU

Projected range

projection 2.3
0.0 6.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 1.0–4.0

Odds analysis

  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -850
  • Kalshi -2580
  • Coinbase -2580

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ HOU 09-20 W 0 2.0 6 1 4 0 0
@ CHC 09-14 L 0 5.0 15 4 2 3 2
vs TB 09-08 L 0 3.3 10 5 3 2 4
@ WSH 09-01 L 0 4.0 12 6 5 3 5
vs LAD 08-26 W 0 5.0 15 5 3 3 3
@ MIN 08-19 L 0 4.3 13 5 3 3 4
@ NYM 07-29 L 0 4.3 13 4 4 2 2
@ PHI 05-29 L 0 2.7 8 3 1 1 2
@ WSH 05-22 L 0 3.0 9 8 1 3 7
vs WSH 05-15 W 1 6.0 18 2 6 2 0
@ PIT 05-10 W 0 5.7 17 5 7 2 1
vs CIN 05-05 W 1 8.0 24 1 5 4 0
@ COL 04-30 W 1 5.3 16 4 5 1 2
@ TB 04-12 W 0 5.0 15 6 7 2 2
vs MIA 04-05 L 0 4.7 14 7 6 3 3
@ SD 03-30 L 0 4.0 12 6 4 3 2
@ SD 10-02 L 0 1.3 4 4 1 0 3
@ CHC 05-23 W 0 4.3 13 3 4 2 0

FAQ

Where can I find AJ Smith-Shawver Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live AJ Smith-Shawver Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are AJ Smith-Shawver Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for AJ Smith-Shawver's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer AJ Smith-Shawver Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares AJ Smith-Shawver Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on AJ Smith-Shawver Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how AJ Smith-Shawver's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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