AJ Smith-Shawver Outs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
Optimal Bet

AJ Smith-Shawver Outs

atl RP MLB

AJ Smith-Shawver is projected for 15.4 outs. The best price on Over 14.5 is -147 at Novig, against a fair line of -145. He has cleared 14.5 in 3 of his last 10 games (30%), versus the 60% the market implies.

AJ Smith-Shawver projections and betting odds for Outs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 8

Props & Odds

Outs O/U 14.5

15.4proj

Hit rate vs Over 14.5

market implies 60%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
30%
3 of 10
Last 20
39%
7 of 18
Last 18
39%
7 of 18
Last 12 games against a line of 14.5
line 14.5
24 vs CIN
17 @PIT
18 vs WSH
9 @WSH
8 @PHI
13 @NYM
13 @MIN
15 vs LAD
12 @WSH
10 vs TB
15 @CHC
6 @HOU

Projected range

projection 15.4
6.3 24.5

Most likely 12.8–18.0 Typical 10.4–20.4

Odds analysis

Over 14.5 · fair -145
  • Fair odds -145
  • Novig -147
  • Kalshi -149
  • Coinbase -149
  • ProphetX -150
  • Underdog -157
  • DraftKings -165
  • Onyx Odds -165
  • Courtside -165
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) -170
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) -170
  • Caesars -170
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) -170
  • Fanduel -174
  • BetMGM -175
  • Pinnacle -178
  • Fanatics -180
  • theScore -180
  • Underdog Fantasy -186
  • Fliff -190
  • Sleeper -192
  • ParlayPlay -196
  • Bally Bet -200
  • BetRivers -200
  • SugarHouse -200
  • betPARX -200

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ HOU 09-20 W 0 2.0 6 1 4 0 0
@ CHC 09-14 L 0 5.0 15 4 2 3 2
vs TB 09-08 L 0 3.3 10 5 3 2 4
@ WSH 09-01 L 0 4.0 12 6 5 3 5
vs LAD 08-26 W 0 5.0 15 5 3 3 3
@ MIN 08-19 L 0 4.3 13 5 3 3 4
@ NYM 07-29 L 0 4.3 13 4 4 2 2
@ PHI 05-29 L 0 2.7 8 3 1 1 2
@ WSH 05-22 L 0 3.0 9 8 1 3 7
vs WSH 05-15 W 1 6.0 18 2 6 2 0
@ PIT 05-10 W 0 5.7 17 5 7 2 1
vs CIN 05-05 W 1 8.0 24 1 5 4 0
@ COL 04-30 W 1 5.3 16 4 5 1 2
@ TB 04-12 W 0 5.0 15 6 7 2 2
vs MIA 04-05 L 0 4.7 14 7 6 3 3
@ SD 03-30 L 0 4.0 12 6 4 3 2
@ SD 10-02 L 0 1.3 4 4 1 0 3
@ CHC 05-23 W 0 4.3 13 3 4 2 0

FAQ

Where can I find AJ Smith-Shawver Outs odds today?

This page shows live AJ Smith-Shawver Outs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are AJ Smith-Shawver Outs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for AJ Smith-Shawver's Outs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer AJ Smith-Shawver Outs props?

Optimal Bet compares AJ Smith-Shawver Outs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on AJ Smith-Shawver Outs?

Use the projections section above to see how AJ Smith-Shawver's projected Outs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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