Andrew Alvarez Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Andrew Alvarez Earned Runs

wsh RP MLB

Andrew Alvarez is projected for 1.9 earned runs. The best price on Over 1.5 is -141 at Novig, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -127. Andrew Alvarez has gone over 1.5 earned runs in 5 of the last 10 games (50%), versus the 59% the market implies.

Andrew Alvarez projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 25

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 1.5

1.9proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 59%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
50%
10 of 20
Last 30
50%
15 of 30
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
3 @COL
1 vs TOR
2 @PHI
1 vs CIN
2 @NYM
1 @TEX
3 vs COL
0 vs MIA
3 @LAD
0 vs LAA
0 @STL
5 vs NYM

Projected range

projection 1.9
0.0 6.0

Most likely 1.0–3.0 Typical 0.0–4.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair -127
  • Optimal -127
  • Novig -141
  • DraftKings -146
  • Onyx Odds -146
  • Courtside -146
  • Polymarket US -148
  • BetOnline -154
  • Kalshi -154
  • Coinbase -154
  • ProphetX -156
  • Underdog Fantasy -157
  • Caesars -159
  • Fliff -170
  • Sleeper -172
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island -174
  • BetMGM -175
  • Underdog -179
  • Fanatics -180

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs NYM 09-25 W 0 4.7 14 7 7 3 5
@ STL 09-19 W 0 6.0 18 5 8 1 0
vs LAA 09-12 W 0 7.0 21 1 8 4 0
@ LAD 09-07 L 0 4.3 13 4 5 2 3
vs MIA 08-30 L 0 6.0 18 2 6 3 0
vs COL 08-25 L 0 4.7 14 5 6 2 3
@ TEX 08-21 L 0 5.0 15 4 5 3 1
@ NYM 08-14 L 0 5.7 17 2 4 1 2
vs CIN 08-08 W 0 5.3 16 3 2 1 1
@ PHI 08-03 L 0 6.3 19 3 5 3 2
vs TOR 07-27 L 0 4.3 13 4 3 3 1
@ COL 07-21 W 0 4.3 13 6 2 3 3
vs NYY 07-12 L 0 2.0 6 4 2 1 3
vs HOU 07-07 L 0 5.7 17 4 3 5 5
@ BOS 07-01 W 1 4.7 14 2 6 1 0
@ BAL 06-26 L 0 4.3 13 6 5 3 2
@ TB 06-21 L 0 4.0 12 4 6 0 1
vs KC 06-15 W 0 4.0 12 5 5 1 1
@ SF 06-10 W 0 4.0 12 5 4 5 2
vs MIA 06-03 L 0 4.7 14 4 5 1 1
vs SD 05-29 L 0 3.0 9 5 1 2 3
@ ATL 05-24 W 0 1.3 4 1 1 1 0
vs NYM 05-20 W 0 4.0 12 2 5 1 2
vs BAL 05-15 W 0 3.0 9 3 5 1 2
vs SF 04-19 W 1 4.3 13 3 5 0 0

FAQ

What is Andrew Alvarez's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Andrew Alvarez for 1.9 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 1.0 and 3.0, and four in five between 0.0 and 4.0.

What are the best odds on Andrew Alvarez Over 1.5 earned runs?

The best price on Andrew Alvarez Over 1.5 earned runs is -141 at Novig, among 17 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -127.

How often has Andrew Alvarez gone over 1.5 earned runs?

Andrew Alvarez has gone over 1.5 earned runs in 2 of the last 5, 5 of the last 10, 10 of the last 20 and 15 of the last 30 games. The best price implies 59%.

What props does Andrew Alvarez have?

Sportsbooks have posted 6 props for Andrew Alvarez: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed, walks, earned runs and record a win. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Andrew Alvarez?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Andrew Alvarez's game logs.

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