Andrew Alvarez Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Andrew Alvarez Earned Runs

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Andrew Alvarez is projected for 5.8 earned runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is -10645 at Kalshi. He has cleared 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (70%), versus the 99% the market implies.

Andrew Alvarez projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 19

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 0.5

5.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 99%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
70%
7 of 10
Last 20
80%
16 of 20
Last 29
69%
20 of 29
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
3 vs NYY
3 @COL
1 vs TOR
2 @PHI
1 vs CIN
2 @NYM
1 @TEX
3 vs COL
0 vs MIA
3 @LAD
0 vs LAA
0 @STL

Projected range

projection 5.8
1.0 12.0

Most likely 4.0–7.0 Typical 3.0–9.0

Odds analysis

  • Kalshi -10645
  • Coinbase -10645

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ STL 09-19 W 0 6.0 18 5 8 1 0
vs LAA 09-12 W 0 7.0 21 1 8 4 0
@ LAD 09-07 L 0 4.3 13 4 5 2 3
vs MIA 08-30 L 0 6.0 18 2 6 3 0
vs COL 08-25 L 0 4.7 14 5 6 2 3
@ TEX 08-21 L 0 5.0 15 4 5 3 1
@ NYM 08-14 L 0 5.7 17 2 4 1 2
vs CIN 08-08 W 0 5.3 16 3 2 1 1
@ PHI 08-03 L 0 6.3 19 3 5 3 2
vs TOR 07-27 L 0 4.3 13 4 3 3 1
@ COL 07-21 W 0 4.3 13 6 2 3 3
vs NYY 07-12 L 0 2.0 6 4 2 1 3
vs HOU 07-07 L 0 5.7 17 4 3 5 5
@ BOS 07-01 W 1 4.7 14 2 6 1 0
@ BAL 06-26 L 0 4.3 13 6 5 3 2
@ TB 06-21 L 0 4.0 12 4 6 0 1
vs KC 06-15 W 0 4.0 12 5 5 1 1
@ SF 06-10 W 0 4.0 12 5 4 5 2
vs MIA 06-03 L 0 4.7 14 4 5 1 1
vs SD 05-29 L 0 3.0 9 5 1 2 3
@ ATL 05-24 W 0 1.3 4 1 1 1 0
vs NYM 05-20 W 0 4.0 12 2 5 1 2
vs BAL 05-15 W 0 3.0 9 3 5 1 2
vs SF 04-19 W 1 4.3 13 3 5 0 0
@ ATL 09-24 W 0 4.3 13 2 5 3 0

FAQ

Where can I find Andrew Alvarez Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Andrew Alvarez Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Andrew Alvarez Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Andrew Alvarez's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Andrew Alvarez Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Andrew Alvarez Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Andrew Alvarez Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Andrew Alvarez's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.