Ryne Nelson Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
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Ryne Nelson Earned Runs

ari SP MLB

Ryne Nelson is projected for 2.8 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is -134 at Pinnacle, against OPTIMAL's fair price of -115. Ryne Nelson has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 3 of the last 10 games (30%), versus the 57% the market implies.

Ryne Nelson projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Jun 15

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 57%
Last 5
0%
0 of 5
Last 10
30%
3 of 10
Last 20
40%
8 of 20
Last 52
31%
16 of 52
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
1 vs NYM
3 @TEX
3 vs SF
1 vs COL
4 @SEA
2 vs LAD
7 @MIA
2 vs LAA
0 vs MIA
0 vs NYY
0 @SD
2 @SD

Projected range

projection 2.8
0.0 7.0

Most likely 2.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair -115
  • Optimal -115
  • Pinnacle -134

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
@ SD 09-27 L 0 1.0 3 3 2 0 2
@ SD 09-26 W 0 0.3 1 1 0 0 0
vs NYY 09-20 W 0 1.3 4 0 2 0 0
vs MIA 09-17 L 0 1.3 4 1 0 2 0
vs LAA 06-16 W 1 7.0 21 9 5 0 2
@ MIA 06-10 L 0 4.0 12 8 2 1 7
vs LAD 06-05 W 0 7.0 21 5 3 2 2
@ SEA 05-31 L 0 5.3 16 7 3 0 4
vs COL 05-24 W 1 8.0 24 6 3 3 1
vs SF 05-20 W 0 7.0 21 8 3 2 3
@ TEX 05-14 L 0 7.0 21 4 8 0 3
vs NYM 05-09 L 0 6.7 20 2 7 1 1
@ CHC 05-02 L 0 5.7 17 4 4 2 1
vs SD 04-26 W 0 5.0 15 7 4 2 6
vs TOR 04-19 L 0 0.3 1 8 1 1 8
@ BAL 04-13 L 0 5.3 16 3 7 2 1
@ NYM 04-08 W 1 5.7 17 5 5 0 1
vs ATL 04-03 L 0 4.7 14 3 3 3 2
@ LAD 03-28 L 0 4.7 14 2 4 3 4
vs LAD 09-25 L 0 6.0 18 7 9 0 3
vs PHI 09-20 L 0 5.0 15 5 1 2 2
@ MIN 09-13 W 0 6.0 18 4 4 3 0
vs BOS 09-07 L 0 6.0 18 3 3 3 1
vs TEX 09-02 L 0 6.0 18 4 7 1 3
@ MIL 08-27 W 1 6.0 18 6 3 0 1

FAQ

What is Ryne Nelson's earned runs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Ryne Nelson for 2.8 earned runs. Half of the projected outcomes for earned runs fall between 2.0 and 4.0, and four in five between 1.0 and 5.0.

What are the best odds on Ryne Nelson Over 2.5 earned runs?

The best price on Ryne Nelson Over 2.5 earned runs is -134 at Pinnacle. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is -115.

How often has Ryne Nelson gone over 2.5 earned runs?

Ryne Nelson has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 0 of the last 5, 3 of the last 10, 8 of the last 20 and 16 of the last 52 games. The best price implies 57%.

What props does Ryne Nelson have?

Sportsbooks have posted 4 props for Ryne Nelson: strikeouts, outs, hits allowed and earned runs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Ryne Nelson?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Ryne Nelson's game logs.

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