Ryne Nelson Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
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Ryne Nelson Earned Runs

ari SP MLB

Ryne Nelson is projected for 2.8 earned runs. The best price on Over 2.5 is -134 at Pinnacle, against a fair line of -115. He has cleared 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games (40%), versus the 57% the market implies.

Ryne Nelson projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Jun 15

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 2.5

2.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 2.5

market implies 57%
Last 5
20%
1 of 5
Last 10
40%
4 of 10
Last 20
40%
8 of 20
Last 50
32%
16 of 50
Last 12 games against a line of 2.5
line 2.5
6 vs SD
1 @CHC
1 vs NYM
3 @TEX
3 vs SF
1 vs COL
4 @SEA
2 vs LAD
7 @MIA
2 vs LAA
0 vs MIA
0 vs NYY

Projected range

projection 2.8
0.0 7.0

Most likely 2.0–4.0 Typical 1.0–5.0

Odds analysis

Over 2.5 · fair -115
  • Fair odds -115
  • Pinnacle -134

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs NYY 09-20 W 0 1.3 4 0 2 0 0
vs MIA 09-17 L 0 1.3 4 1 0 2 0
vs LAA 06-16 W 1 7.0 21 9 5 0 2
@ MIA 06-10 L 0 4.0 12 8 2 1 7
vs LAD 06-05 W 0 7.0 21 5 3 2 2
@ SEA 05-31 L 0 5.3 16 7 3 0 4
vs COL 05-24 W 1 8.0 24 6 3 3 1
vs SF 05-20 W 0 7.0 21 8 3 2 3
@ TEX 05-14 L 0 7.0 21 4 8 0 3
vs NYM 05-09 L 0 6.7 20 2 7 1 1
@ CHC 05-02 L 0 5.7 17 4 4 2 1
vs SD 04-26 W 0 5.0 15 7 4 2 6
vs TOR 04-19 L 0 0.3 1 8 1 1 8
@ BAL 04-13 L 0 5.3 16 3 7 2 1
@ NYM 04-08 W 1 5.7 17 5 5 0 1
vs ATL 04-03 L 0 4.7 14 3 3 3 2
@ LAD 03-28 L 0 4.7 14 2 4 3 4
vs LAD 09-25 L 0 6.0 18 7 9 0 3
vs PHI 09-20 L 0 5.0 15 5 1 2 2
@ MIN 09-13 W 0 6.0 18 4 4 3 0
vs BOS 09-07 L 0 6.0 18 3 3 3 1
vs TEX 09-02 L 0 6.0 18 4 7 1 3
@ MIL 08-27 W 1 6.0 18 6 3 0 1
vs CIN 08-23 W 0 6.0 18 4 6 2 3
@ COL 08-17 L 0 6.3 19 8 4 0 4

FAQ

Where can I find Ryne Nelson Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Ryne Nelson Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Ryne Nelson Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Ryne Nelson's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Ryne Nelson Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Ryne Nelson Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Ryne Nelson Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Ryne Nelson's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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