Nolan Arenado Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet

Nolan Arenado

ari 3B MLB

Nolan Arenado is projected for 0.2 home runs. The best price on Over 0.5 is +475 at Fanatics, against a fair line of +530. He has cleared 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games (50%), versus the 17% the market implies.

Nolan Arenado projections and betting odds for Home Runs, Hits, Walks, and more. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 23

Props & Odds

Home Runs O/U 0.5

0.2proj

Hit rate vs Over 0.5

market implies 17%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
30%
6 of 20
Last 200
16%
31 of 200
Last 12 games against a line of 0.5
line 0.5
0 @KC
0 @KC
1 @KC
1 vs TEX
0 vs TEX
1 vs TEX
0 vs MIA
0 vs MIA
1 vs MIA
0 vs NYY
0 vs NYY
1 vs NYY

Projected range

projection 0.2
0.0 2.0

Most likely 0.0–0.0 Typical 0.0–1.0

Odds analysis

Over 0.5 · fair +530
  • Fair odds +530
  • Fanatics +475
  • bet365 +475
  • Sportsbook Rhode Island +460
  • Polymarket US +456
  • Novig +456
  • DraftKings +453
  • Onyx Odds +453
  • Courtside +453
  • Kalshi +440
  • Coinbase +440
  • Hard Rock Bet (IL,OH) +425
  • Hard Rock Bet (FL) +425
  • Caesars +425
  • Hard Rock Bet (IN,CO,NJ,TN,VA,AZ,MI) +425
  • Fanduel +420
  • theScore +400
  • ProphetX +400
  • Fliff +380
  • Underdog Fantasy +349
  • ParlayPlay +332
  • Dabble +264
  • betr +200

Recent games

Opp Date W/L AB R HIT 1B 2B 3B HR TB H+R+R BB RBI SB
vs NYY 09-20 W 4 1 1 0 0 0 1 4 6 0 4 0
vs NYY 09-20 W 4 1 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 0 0
vs NYY 09-19 L 4 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0
vs MIA 09-17 L 4 1 2 1 0 0 1 5 4 0 1 0
vs MIA 09-16 L 3 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
vs MIA 09-15 W 4 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
vs TEX 09-13 L 4 2 2 0 1 0 1 6 7 0 3 0
vs TEX 09-13 L 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
vs TEX 09-12 W 3 1 2 0 1 0 1 6 4 1 1 0
@ KC 09-09 L 3 1 2 1 0 0 1 5 4 1 1 0
@ KC 09-08 W 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
@ KC 09-07 W 4 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 1 1 0
@ HOU 09-06 W 4 1 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 0 2 0
@ HOU 09-05 W 4 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ HOU 09-05 L 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
vs PHI 09-02 W 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs PHI 09-02 L 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs PHI 09-01 L 4 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
@ SF 08-30 L 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ SF 08-29 W 4 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0
@ SF 08-29 W 5 1 2 1 1 0 0 3 3 0 0 0
vs CHC 08-26 W 3 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0
vs CHC 08-26 W 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs CHC 08-25 L 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
vs CIN 08-23 W 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

FAQ

What betting props are available for Nolan Arenado?

Nolan Arenado has a variety of MLB player props available on game day, including strikeouts and hits. Visit this page when games are upcoming to see all available props with odds from every major sportsbook.

Where can I find Nolan Arenado betting odds and projections?

This page is your complete Nolan Arenado betting hub. It includes updated odds from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks, plus projections and historical game logs to help you make informed betting decisions.

How do I find value bets for Nolan Arenado props?

Optimal Bet compares odds across every major sportsbook for each Nolan Arenado prop. The key is top-down analysis: when one book's line is significantly different from the consensus across other books, that's a potential value opportunity. Use the projections alongside game logs to confirm the edge.