Tarik Skubal Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
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Tarik Skubal Earned Runs

lad SP MLB

Tarik Skubal is projected for 1.4 earned runs. The best price on Over 1.5 is +130 at BetMGM, against a fair line of +148. He has cleared 1.5 in 7 of his last 10 games (70%), versus the 43% the market implies.

Tarik Skubal projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 19

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 1.5

1.4proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 43%
Last 5
60%
3 of 5
Last 10
70%
7 of 10
Last 20
65%
13 of 20
Last 59
46%
27 of 59
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
0 @LAA
1 vs KC
3 vs BAL
2 @CHC
3 vs KC
1 vs MIL
3 vs PIT
1 @DET
2 vs STL
2 vs CIN
0 @CIN
4 vs SF

Projected range

projection 1.4
0.0 5.0

Most likely 1.0–2.0 Typical 0.0–3.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair +148
  • Fair odds +148
  • BetMGM +130
  • DraftKings +125
  • Fanatics +125
  • Onyx Odds +125

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs SF 09-20 W 1 5.0 15 8 3 2 4
@ CIN 09-14 W 1 7.0 21 3 9 1 0
vs CIN 09-09 W 1 7.3 22 4 5 2 2
vs STL 09-04 W 0 5.7 17 10 6 1 2
@ DET 08-28 W 0 6.0 18 4 7 0 1
vs PIT 08-22 W 1 7.0 21 5 11 1 3
vs MIL 08-16 L 0 6.0 18 7 7 2 1
vs KC 08-11 W 0 5.0 15 4 6 2 3
@ CHC 08-05 L 0 6.0 18 4 6 2 2
vs BAL 07-29 L 0 6.7 20 4 6 1 3
vs KC 07-24 W 1 7.3 22 4 12 2 1
@ LAA 07-19 W 1 7.0 21 5 9 0 0
vs PHI 07-12 L 0 5.0 15 4 5 1 2
vs OAK 07-07 W 1 5.0 15 5 9 2 1
@ NYY 06-30 W 1 6.0 18 1 9 0 1
vs NYY 06-24 L 0 6.0 18 4 9 0 4
vs CWS 06-19 W 0 5.7 17 7 8 1 3
@ CLE 06-13 L 0 4.7 14 5 4 1 2
@ ATL 04-29 L 0 7.0 21 5 7 0 2
vs MIL 04-23 W 0 6.0 18 7 5 0 4
@ BOS 04-18 W 1 6.0 18 4 10 2 1
vs MIA 04-12 W 1 6.7 20 2 7 2 1
@ MIN 04-07 L 0 4.7 14 8 7 2 4
@ ARI 04-01 L 0 7.0 21 6 3 0 1
@ SD 03-26 W 1 6.0 18 3 6 0 0

FAQ

Where can I find Tarik Skubal Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Tarik Skubal Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Tarik Skubal Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Tarik Skubal's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Tarik Skubal Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Tarik Skubal Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Tarik Skubal Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Tarik Skubal's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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