Max Fried Earned Runs Projections & Betting Odds - Optimal Bet
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Max Fried Earned Runs

nyy SP MLB

Max Fried is projected for 1.5 earned runs. The best price on Over 1.5 is +105 at DraftKings, against a fair line of +123. He has cleared 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games (20%), versus the 49% the market implies.

Max Fried projections and betting odds for Earned Runs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 22

Props & Odds

Earned Runs O/U 1.5

1.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 1.5

market implies 49%
Last 5
20%
1 of 5
Last 10
20%
2 of 10
Last 20
40%
8 of 20
Last 54
48%
26 of 54
Last 12 games against a line of 1.5
line 1.5
5 @MIL
3 @BAL
0 vs PIT
3 @CWS
1 @CHC
0 vs ATL
1 vs SEA
1 vs BOS
1 @SD
1 vs COL
1 @MIN
4 vs TB

Projected range

projection 1.5
0.0 5.0

Most likely 1.0–2.0 Typical 0.0–3.0

Odds analysis

Over 1.5 · fair +123
  • Fair odds +123
  • DraftKings +105
  • Onyx Odds +105

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs TB 09-22 L 0 6.7 20 6 4 2 4
@ MIN 09-15 W 1 7.0 21 6 6 0 1
vs COL 09-10 W 0 3.3 10 1 7 2 1
@ SD 09-05 L 0 5.7 17 4 4 1 1
vs BOS 08-29 W 0 3.7 11 3 4 1 1
vs SEA 08-13 L 0 5.0 15 5 4 2 1
vs ATL 08-07 W 0 6.3 19 3 7 2 0
@ CHC 08-01 L 0 5.3 16 2 7 1 1
@ CWS 07-27 W 0 3.0 9 5 4 2 3
vs PIT 07-22 W 0 5.0 15 1 7 1 0
@ BAL 05-13 L 0 3.0 9 5 2 1 3
@ MIL 05-08 L 0 6.0 18 6 5 3 5
vs BAL 05-03 W 0 5.3 16 6 6 3 3
@ TEX 04-28 W 1 6.0 18 4 5 2 0
@ BOS 04-22 W 1 8.0 24 3 9 2 0
vs LAA 04-16 L 0 5.3 16 3 3 3 5
@ TB 04-11 L 0 8.0 24 6 6 0 3
vs MIA 04-05 L 0 6.7 20 5 4 3 3
@ SEA 04-01 W 1 7.0 21 3 6 1 0
@ SF 03-26 W 1 6.3 19 2 4 1 0
@ TOR 10-05 L 0 3.0 9 8 1 2 7
vs BOS 09-30 L 0 6.3 19 4 6 3 0
vs CWS 09-24 W 1 7.0 21 4 7 2 1
@ BAL 09-18 W 1 7.0 21 3 13 1 0
@ BOS 09-13 W 1 5.3 16 9 6 2 2

FAQ

Where can I find Max Fried Earned Runs odds today?

This page shows live Max Fried Earned Runs odds from every major sportsbook including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and more. Lines update in close to real-time so you can compare and find the best value.

How are Max Fried Earned Runs projections calculated?

Optimal Bet reverse engineers player prop odds across sportsbooks and betting exchanges to calculate projections. Instead of a single number, we generate a full probability distribution for Max Fried's Earned Runs so you can see the range of likely outcomes and where the value sits.

What sportsbooks offer Max Fried Earned Runs props?

Optimal Bet compares Max Fried Earned Runs lines from all major US sportsbooks and exchanges including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX, Novig, and more. Availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Should I bet the over or under on Max Fried Earned Runs?

Use the projections section above to see how Max Fried's projected Earned Runs compares to each sportsbook's line. The best approach is top-down: compare odds across books to find where one sportsbook is offering better value than the rest. When a line is significantly off from the consensus, that's where the edge is.

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