Max Fried Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Max Fried

nyy SP MLB

Max Fried is projected for 4.4 strikeouts. The best price on Over 4.5 is -100 at Pinnacle, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +110. Max Fried has gone over 4.5 strikeouts in 6 of the last 10 games (60%), versus the 50% the market implies.

Max Fried projections and betting odds for Strikeouts. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Oct 7

Props & Odds

Strikeouts O/U 4.5

4.4proj

Hit rate vs Over 4.5

market implies 50%
Last 5
80%
4 of 5
Last 10
60%
6 of 10
Last 20
60%
12 of 20
Last 56
64%
36 of 56
Last 12 games against a line of 4.5
line 4.5
7 vs PIT
4 @CWS
7 @CHC
7 vs ATL
4 vs SEA
4 vs BOS
4 @SD
7 vs COL
6 @MIN
4 vs TB
6 vs BOS
7 vs TB

Projected range

projection 4.4
0.2 8.6

Most likely 3.2–5.6 Typical 2.1–6.7

Odds analysis

Over 4.5 · fair +110
  • Optimal +110
  • Pinnacle -100

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs TB 10-08 L 0 5.7 17 7 7 0 4
vs BOS 10-01 W 1 6.0 18 3 6 1 1
vs TB 09-22 L 0 6.7 20 6 4 2 4
@ MIN 09-15 W 1 7.0 21 6 6 0 1
vs COL 09-10 W 0 3.3 10 1 7 2 1
@ SD 09-05 L 0 5.7 17 4 4 1 1
vs BOS 08-29 W 0 3.7 11 3 4 1 1
vs SEA 08-13 L 0 5.0 15 5 4 2 1
vs ATL 08-07 W 0 6.3 19 3 7 2 0
@ CHC 08-01 L 0 5.3 16 2 7 1 1
@ CWS 07-27 W 0 3.0 9 5 4 2 3
vs PIT 07-22 W 0 5.0 15 1 7 1 0
@ BAL 05-13 L 0 3.0 9 5 2 1 3
@ MIL 05-08 L 0 6.0 18 6 5 3 5
vs BAL 05-03 W 0 5.3 16 6 6 3 3
@ TEX 04-28 W 1 6.0 18 4 5 2 0
@ BOS 04-22 W 1 8.0 24 3 9 2 0
vs LAA 04-16 L 0 5.3 16 3 3 3 5
@ TB 04-11 L 0 8.0 24 6 6 0 3
vs MIA 04-05 L 0 6.7 20 5 4 3 3
@ SEA 04-01 W 1 7.0 21 3 6 1 0
@ SF 03-26 W 1 6.3 19 2 4 1 0
@ TOR 10-05 L 0 3.0 9 8 1 2 7
vs BOS 09-30 L 0 6.3 19 4 6 3 0
vs CWS 09-24 W 1 7.0 21 4 7 2 1

FAQ

What are Max Fried's projections?

OPTIMAL projects Max Fried for 4.4 strikeouts. Half of the projected outcomes for strikeouts fall between 3.2 and 5.6, and four in five between 2.1 and 6.7.

What are the best odds on Max Fried Over 4.5 strikeouts?

The best price on Max Fried Over 4.5 strikeouts is -100 at Pinnacle. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +110.

How often has Max Fried gone over 4.5 strikeouts?

Max Fried has gone over 4.5 strikeouts in 4 of the last 5, 6 of the last 10, 12 of the last 20 and 36 of the last 56 games. The best price implies 50%.

What props does Max Fried have?

Sportsbooks have posted 1 prop for Max Fried: strikeouts. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Max Fried?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Max Fried's game logs.

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