Casey Mize Outs Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Casey Mize Outs

sd SP MLB

Casey Mize is projected for 13.8 outs. The best price on Over 14.5 is +158 at Kalshi, against OPTIMAL's fair price of +174. Casey Mize has gone over 14.5 outs in 5 of the last 10 games (50%), versus the 39% the market implies.

Casey Mize projections and betting odds for Outs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 26

Props & Odds

Outs O/U 14.5

13.8proj

Hit rate vs Over 14.5

market implies 39%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
50%
5 of 10
Last 20
60%
12 of 20
Last 56
68%
38 of 56
Last 12 games against a line of 14.5
line 14.5
10 @LAA
18 vs KC
10 @ARI
18 vs MIL
18 @CLE
8 vs MIN
15 @TB
12 @CIN
17 vs WSH
15 @COL
9 vs MIA
12 vs ARI

Projected range

projection 13.8
9.2 18.5

Most likely 12.5–15.2 Typical 11.3–16.4

Odds analysis

Over 14.5 · fair +174
  • Optimal +174
  • Kalshi +158
  • Coinbase +158

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs ARI 09-26 L 0 4.0 12 7 1 2 7
vs MIA 09-20 W 0 3.0 9 5 2 5 5
@ COL 09-15 W 1 5.0 15 8 0 2 2
vs WSH 09-09 W 0 5.7 17 4 7 1 3
@ CIN 09-02 L 0 4.0 12 5 4 1 4
@ TB 08-28 L 0 5.0 15 6 1 1 2
vs MIN 08-23 W 0 2.7 8 4 0 1 4
@ CLE 08-16 W 1 6.0 18 3 3 1 0
vs MIL 08-11 W 0 6.0 18 5 6 2 2
@ ARI 08-06 L 0 3.3 10 9 1 3 8
vs KC 07-25 L 0 6.0 18 3 3 0 1
@ LAA 07-19 L 0 3.3 10 5 5 1 1
vs PHI 07-11 L 0 5.7 17 5 5 2 3
@ TEX 07-05 W 1 6.7 20 5 4 2 2
@ NYY 06-29 W 1 7.0 21 1 10 0 0
vs NYY 06-23 L 0 5.7 17 8 6 1 4
@ HOU 06-17 L 0 4.7 14 6 3 1 3
vs LAA 05-27 W 0 4.0 12 2 6 1 0
vs CLE 05-21 L 0 6.7 20 4 4 0 2
vs TOR 05-16 L 0 6.0 18 2 4 0 0
@ ATL 04-28 L 0 2.3 7 3 3 1 2
vs MIL 04-22 W 1 6.0 18 3 7 3 1
@ BOS 04-17 L 0 6.7 20 3 7 1 0
vs MIA 04-11 W 1 5.7 17 6 5 1 1
@ MIN 04-06 L 0 4.3 13 7 4 3 5

FAQ

What is Casey Mize's outs projection?

OPTIMAL projects Casey Mize for 13.8 outs. Half of the projected outcomes for outs fall between 12.5 and 15.2, and four in five between 11.3 and 16.4.

What are the best odds on Casey Mize Over 14.5 outs?

The best price on Casey Mize Over 14.5 outs is +158 at Kalshi, among 2 sportsbooks pricing the line. OPTIMAL's fair price, with the vig taken out, is +174.

How often has Casey Mize gone over 14.5 outs?

Casey Mize has gone over 14.5 outs in 2 of the last 5, 5 of the last 10, 12 of the last 20 and 38 of the last 56 games. The best price implies 39%.

What props does Casey Mize have?

Sportsbooks have posted 2 props for Casey Mize: strikeouts and outs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Casey Mize?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Casey Mize's game logs.

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