Casey Mize Projections & Betting Odds | OPTIMAL
OPTIMAL

Casey Mize

sd SP MLB

Casey Mize is projected for 3.5 strikeouts. The best price on Over 3.5 is -1623 at Kalshi. Casey Mize has gone over 3.5 strikeouts in 3 of the last 10 games (30%), versus the 94% the market implies.

Casey Mize projections and betting odds for Strikeouts, Outs. Compare lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and other sportsbooks.

Next Game Sep 26

Props & Odds

Strikeouts O/U 3.5

3.5proj

Hit rate vs Over 3.5

market implies 94%
Last 5
40%
2 of 5
Last 10
30%
3 of 10
Last 20
55%
11 of 20
Last 56
70%
39 of 56
Last 12 games against a line of 3.5
line 3.5
5 @LAA
3 vs KC
1 @ARI
6 vs MIL
3 @CLE
0 vs MIN
1 @TB
4 @CIN
7 vs WSH
0 @COL
2 vs MIA
1 vs ARI

Projected range

projection 3.5
0.0 9.4

Most likely 1.9–5.2 Typical 0.3–6.7

Odds analysis

  • Kalshi -1623
  • Coinbase -1623

Recent games

Opp Date W/L W IP OUT HIT K BB R
vs ARI 09-26 L 0 4.0 12 7 1 2 7
vs MIA 09-20 W 0 3.0 9 5 2 5 5
@ COL 09-15 W 1 5.0 15 8 0 2 2
vs WSH 09-09 W 0 5.7 17 4 7 1 3
@ CIN 09-02 L 0 4.0 12 5 4 1 4
@ TB 08-28 L 0 5.0 15 6 1 1 2
vs MIN 08-23 W 0 2.7 8 4 0 1 4
@ CLE 08-16 W 1 6.0 18 3 3 1 0
vs MIL 08-11 W 0 6.0 18 5 6 2 2
@ ARI 08-06 L 0 3.3 10 9 1 3 8
vs KC 07-25 L 0 6.0 18 3 3 0 1
@ LAA 07-19 L 0 3.3 10 5 5 1 1
vs PHI 07-11 L 0 5.7 17 5 5 2 3
@ TEX 07-05 W 1 6.7 20 5 4 2 2
@ NYY 06-29 W 1 7.0 21 1 10 0 0
vs NYY 06-23 L 0 5.7 17 8 6 1 4
@ HOU 06-17 L 0 4.7 14 6 3 1 3
vs LAA 05-27 W 0 4.0 12 2 6 1 0
vs CLE 05-21 L 0 6.7 20 4 4 0 2
vs TOR 05-16 L 0 6.0 18 2 4 0 0
@ ATL 04-28 L 0 2.3 7 3 3 1 2
vs MIL 04-22 W 1 6.0 18 3 7 3 1
@ BOS 04-17 L 0 6.7 20 3 7 1 0
vs MIA 04-11 W 1 5.7 17 6 5 1 1
@ MIN 04-06 L 0 4.3 13 7 4 3 5

FAQ

What are Casey Mize's projections?

OPTIMAL projects Casey Mize for 3.5 strikeouts and 13.8 outs. Half of the projected outcomes for strikeouts fall between 1.9 and 5.2, and four in five between 0.3 and 6.7.

What are the best odds on Casey Mize Over 3.5 strikeouts?

The best price on Casey Mize Over 3.5 strikeouts is -1623 at Kalshi, among 2 sportsbooks pricing the line.

How often has Casey Mize gone over 3.5 strikeouts?

Casey Mize has gone over 3.5 strikeouts in 2 of the last 5, 3 of the last 10, 11 of the last 20 and 39 of the last 56 games. The best price implies 94%.

What props does Casey Mize have?

Sportsbooks have posted 2 props for Casey Mize: strikeouts and outs. Each one on this page shows OPTIMAL's projection, the hit rate against the line and every book's price.

How does OPTIMAL project Casey Mize?

OPTIMAL builds its projections from the player prop odds posted across sportsbooks and betting exchanges. Instead of a single number it gives a full range of outcomes for each stat, so you can see how likely a line is to hit. Hit rates come from Casey Mize's game logs.

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